Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

dsc

(52,147 posts)
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:48 PM Nov 2020

So here is my predictions for President and Senate

I think Biden wins the Hillary states plus AZ, WI, MI, PA, NC, and GA. I think we gain enough seats to take control of the Senate. We lose AL but gain NC, ME, CO, AZ, and one GA seat. Sadly I think IA and SC are not going to happen. So I have Biden well into the 300's for EV and us at 51 for the Senate. I think the other GA will go to run off and we probably will lose it.

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
So here is my predictions for President and Senate (Original Post) dsc Nov 2020 OP
Reasoned prediction. I'm hopeful for Georgia, but it will be such a change I'll have to see it. Hoyt Nov 2020 #1
Sounds reasonable mvd Nov 2020 #2
I think we in NC are getting more liberal retirees than FL is dsc Nov 2020 #3
That would be good news since it extends beyond our firewall states mvd Nov 2020 #4
I'm hoping Kansas will elect Bollier. PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 2020 #5
 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
1. Reasoned prediction. I'm hopeful for Georgia, but it will be such a change I'll have to see it.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:54 PM
Nov 2020

Still a decent shot at winning.

mvd

(65,156 posts)
2. Sounds reasonable
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:55 PM
Nov 2020

I think we take FL. I put more stock in the polls than early voting numbers that can be misleading. Democrats in Florida probably don’t trust DeSantis with mail ins. Also unusual to lose FL while winning GA and NC.

I don’t think we win IA, but maybe win OH.

The reported youth vote is something that has me more confident of a Biden win.

dsc

(52,147 posts)
3. I think we in NC are getting more liberal retirees than FL is
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:03 PM
Nov 2020

we have an income tax here, unlike FL. And we get fewer retirees. We are getting an influx of workers, especially those in banking and computers. We are simply becoming more liberal over time and doing so faster than FL.

mvd

(65,156 posts)
4. That would be good news since it extends beyond our firewall states
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:08 PM
Nov 2020

My optimism with FL is because of so many decent polls plus the chance of a larger Election Day turnout from Democrats. Plus, seniors aren’t as happy with Dump this time.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»So here is my predictions...