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Any news from TX, GA, AZ, NC (Original Post) kansasobama Nov 2020 OP
Arizona has already begun counting early ballots. n/t ChazII Nov 2020 #1
On The Bright Side sfstaxprep Nov 2020 #2
Yup, if Biden gets FL, this is over. apnu Nov 2020 #7
Do you have to tell poll workers in Florida if you're a Democrat Glorfindel Nov 2020 #3
I didn't tell them but OriginalGeek Nov 2020 #25
I see. Thanks a lot Glorfindel Nov 2020 #30
any time! OriginalGeek Nov 2020 #31
Texas Tribune reports.. ananda Nov 2020 #4
Do you think Texas will flip? apnu Nov 2020 #9
I have no idea only because.. ananda Nov 2020 #14
Before you totally freak on FL Fahrenthold451 Nov 2020 #5
And Rasmussen is hard right-wing lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #11
Where are you getting that? getagrip_already Nov 2020 #6
This poster for the last week has been posting gabeana Nov 2020 #8
Pretty Much Aepps22 Nov 2020 #18
IKR? AmericanCanuck Nov 2020 #19
100% this obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #24
Yeah, it's a load of crap. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #13
What is your source for this? MineralMan Nov 2020 #10
Thanks my fellow DUers kansasobama Nov 2020 #12
BS on the underperforming! getagrip_already Nov 2020 #16
Posters presented you with data contrary to your assertion Sunsky Nov 2020 #17
You are 100% wrong obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #27
More doom and gloom? Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #15
PS MFM008 Nov 2020 #20
Hmmm, and I'm reading big turnout mcar Nov 2020 #21
It's a refrain with the OP obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #23
Thanks and great kansasobama Nov 2020 #28
I've noticed mcar Nov 2020 #36
lolz obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #22
Hmm we all have the same objective kansasobama Nov 2020 #26
1. He isn't from FL 2. he isn't an actual analyst 3. there are zero numbers obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #29
Okay thanks for the info kansasobama Nov 2020 #33
Stay Calm Aepps22 Nov 2020 #32
Thanks for the support kansasobama Nov 2020 #34
Wish I had posts like this in my Cali thread dustyscamp Nov 2020 #35
Why should we care what this guy says? mcar Nov 2020 #37
That tweet says nothing. Renew Deal Nov 2020 #38

sfstaxprep

(9,998 posts)
2. On The Bright Side
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:23 PM
Nov 2020

Joe doesn't Need Florida. But Drumpf does, so he should be terrified that it's even close.

apnu

(8,759 posts)
7. Yup, if Biden gets FL, this is over.
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:26 PM
Nov 2020

Florida, interestingly enough has been counting early votes since 22 days before today. (Seen at the link below.)

I expect Florida to start announcing votes as normal.

https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/absentee-and-mail-voting-policies-in-effect-for-the-2020-election.aspx

PA, on the other hand, couldn't start counting early votes until 7 AM today. I expect they will announce much later tonight... really late.

So if we see FL go to Biden Trump is done.

If we see FL go to Trump, no big deal, we don't need that state. If NC and/or GA flip, Biden also wins (plus MI, and WI are needed there)

Glorfindel

(9,739 posts)
3. Do you have to tell poll workers in Florida if you're a Democrat
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:24 PM
Nov 2020

or a rePuke in a general election? That seems very strange to me. Why would they need to know?

OriginalGeek

(12,132 posts)
25. I didn't tell them but
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:25 PM
Nov 2020

when they look you up your voter ID card is on their screen so they see it anyway. Could have avoided that by filling out the mail-in ballot and dropping it in the collection box.

ananda

(28,881 posts)
4. Texas Tribune reports..
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:24 PM
Nov 2020

After 9.7 million people voted early, some experts believe Texas might be on a path to potentially surpass 12 million voters when all is said and done.

Also from Adam Bennett: To the 1 million or so registered voters in Harris Co. still needing to cast their ballot:
You can go to ANY of the 800+ polling sites (check locations/wait times below

At 11 a.m., more than 75,000 votes have been cast in Harris County so far on #ElectionDay

Harris Co. Clerk says he'll release the unofficial tally as usual: Early voting + mail ballots (1.4M+) around 7p, the rest of the results as they come in. @cghollins
: “We will not have an election week here in Harris County, we will have an Election Night!

apnu

(8,759 posts)
9. Do you think Texas will flip?
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:29 PM
Nov 2020

The volumes in Texas are insane. How many of these "new" voters could be for Trump? How popular is he in Texas for real?

I wonder that many of these new voters are Dems motivated to go to the polls when Texas for us is often so depressing when voting.

ananda

(28,881 posts)
14. I have no idea only because..
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:34 PM
Nov 2020

I got my hopes up for Beto defeating Cruz,
only to be dashed!

However, here's hoping!!!

Fahrenthold451

(436 posts)
5. Before you totally freak on FL
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:25 PM
Nov 2020

Scott Rasmussens last poll had Ind voters breaking hard to Biden AND 10% Republican defection. So say of the 2M early cast Vite you have 200k Rs voting Biden and maybe 50k Ds voting Trump. That squares things. Then you give 10% of Indies to Biden and that gives Biden a 200k lead. Then if you really want to go crazy, take another 100k of Rs abstaining or voting third party.


In other words, f*cking close.

getagrip_already

(14,868 posts)
6. Where are you getting that?
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:25 PM
Nov 2020

I see only 50K more GOP votes for TODAY only. They are still only at 52% of todays vote, and they NEED to be over 65% to catch up to our early vote advantage.

And Miami Dade hasn't even reported yet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/htmlview?pru=AAABdbLo6lo*W9MhyaLnsTc-bxmS93sN3Q#

obamanut2012

(26,154 posts)
24. 100% this
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:24 PM
Nov 2020

And, some of us on here have actually worked EV polls the past two weeks and have told them they are 100% wrong, and they insist WE are wrong.

At this point it is just annoying, but they are scaring some posters and they need to stop now.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
12. Thanks my fellow DUers
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:33 PM
Nov 2020

You know why I am freaking out. Dems are underperforming in Florida and I just don't get it. It is life and death and all I see is GOP are ahead. Just want it to go for us. Hope independents help. Some of you helped me freak a tad bit less.

Also Florida has perfected the art of suppression. How many Miami Dade ballots will arrive from USPS tonight

Thanks

getagrip_already

(14,868 posts)
16. BS on the underperforming!
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:37 PM
Nov 2020

The gop is underperforming. They need 65%os todays vote. They are 52%.

They are way behind the firewall right now.

Sunsky

(1,737 posts)
17. Posters presented you with data contrary to your assertion
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 02:40 PM
Nov 2020

about FL and you ignored it to post more doom and gloom. I know where this post belongs.

obamanut2012

(26,154 posts)
27. You are 100% wrong
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:26 PM
Nov 2020

But, you know that.

You have been told by those of us on the ground here you are wrong, but you ignore it.

It isn't working, so stop.

obamanut2012

(26,154 posts)
23. It's a refrain with the OP
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:22 PM
Nov 2020

Over the last few days. I'm on the ground here, and did poll work here in SOFL, and what they generally say is either 100% wrong, or creatively skewed.

We are kicking ass here in SOFL.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
26. Hmm we all have the same objective
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:26 PM
Nov 2020

Sorry some see it as gloom and doom. Far from it. Just worried. We all have the same objective-some are over-confident, less confident, nervous, brave, foolhardy, all strands.

Anyway, here is a source:




Feel free to comment

obamanut2012

(26,154 posts)
29. 1. He isn't from FL 2. he isn't an actual analyst 3. there are zero numbers
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:28 PM
Nov 2020

The numbers that are REAL and real time are OPPOSITE of what you say.

Typical for this OP. All of it.

Stop it.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
34. Thanks for the support
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 03:35 PM
Nov 2020

I am sure Biden will win. I want Biden to smash him so that the country never comes this close to dictatorship.

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