General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBiden is exceeding Hillarys percentages almost everywhere except Miami-Dade
And the Miami Dade number is a big one. What went wrong there?
budkin
(6,699 posts)I dont know if he can make it up.
catbyte
(34,367 posts)soothsayer
(38,601 posts)I believe it. That was mostly junk mail in the video.
crickets
(25,960 posts)NorthOf270
(290 posts)tinrobot
(10,893 posts)Extreme fuckery.
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)bought into the whole Biden's a socialist thing.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)Miami is a unique situation.
EarlG
(21,944 posts)Gamarra, a political science and international relations professor with extensive experience polling in Latin America and Hispanic voters in Florida, pointed to recent large-sample surveys of Latinos in the state and in the Latino-heavy county of Miami-Dade. They showed Biden underperforming with this crucial Democratic leaning segment of the electorate, though hes still running ahead of President Donald Trump by double digits. The race overall in the state is essentially tied.
Floridas Latino community is a diverse mix of people with roots across Latin America. Theres a large population of Republican-leaning Cubans in Miami-Dade and a growing number of Democratic-leaning voters with Puerto Rican, Colombian, Nicaraguan, Dominican and Venezuelan heritage in Miami and elsewhere in the state. Many register as independents but typically vote Democratic. Those independents especially recently arrived Spanish-speakers are seen as more up for grabs because theyre less tied to U.S. political parties and are more likely than longtime voters to be influenced by mainstream news outlets and social media.
Democrats fear thats where the role of disinformation and conspiracy theories might prove effective against Biden, because it plants seeds of doubt in an otherwise-Democratic bloc of the electorate that the former vice president needs to win. The net effect would be to depress turnout, possibly enabling Trump to carry a state that is essential to his reelection.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/14/florida-latinos-disinformation-413923
It remains to be seen whether Biden will make up the margins with white voters, seniors, suburbanites, etc. elsewhere in the state.
crimycarny
(1,351 posts)Because it means that the GOP can win simply by disinformation campaigns. How do you defeat that in the coming years? Since the GOP has no issues cheating and even working with our enemies, they can simply repeat these tactics year after year.
The AI program from Canada that successfully predicted 2016 and 2018 has Biden at 372 electoral votes though (yesterday it was 367). And they show FL as going to Biden. TX has been 50/50 with probability leaning Trump but today its leaning Biden.
https://advancedsymbolics.com/us-election-2/
Maybe TX will save us? Stranger things have happened. Maybe GOP assumed TX in the bag so didnt spend a lot of money on a disinformation campaign there until too late.
I cant take much more of this!
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)is where Biden is making it up.
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)This is the "red mirage" they were talking about. Biden is over performing in other counties.
SomedayKindaLove
(529 posts)With 60% of vote in. No votes from the Panhandle included in that total.
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)For what it's worth
triron
(21,995 posts)crimycarny
(1,351 posts)Thats more encouraging.
mvd
(65,170 posts)So much doom and gloom. Had to trash a thread giving up on the election already!
Codeine
(25,586 posts)That would be a big deal.
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)I heard it several times watching live coverage on CNN.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)Thanks.
MoonlitKnight
(1,584 posts)Volusia is more disappointing.
Looking good elsewhere.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Klaralven
(7,510 posts)Ford_Prefect
(7,878 posts)that would strip away the false glow of his perfidy and erase the shadows of doubt he casts.