Be careful getting too over confident on early returns.

[Drunken Irishman]

North Carolina looks good right now but there's some concern Biden isn't winning it by the margins he needs to to push back against Trump in same-day voting. This is why the NYT, despite Biden winning by nine-points, gives Trump a 57% chance of winning.

[cilla4progress]

1. DI, do you expect any kind of a rerun relative to 2018,

when it was the votes rolling in over a few days that really made the blue wave?

[Drunken Irishman]

3. Unfortunately, no.

I think Biden is unlikely to be playing catch up in many swing states. He'll be playing defense.

[Claustrum]

5. It looks like early mail in votes are reported first in the sun belt.

So Biden is playing defense with his numbers. The mid-western states will be different as they didn't get to count votes till early today.

[Claustrum]

2. Yes. I think Biden needs 2:1 lead to keep Trump's election day vote edge.

But maybe it will be closer to tie on election day votes.

[Windy City Charlie]

4. It's not trending well at all

I'm afraid it's going be another 4 years....each state Trump needed to flip from the polling he's getting. Just like 2016.