Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
So FL is dead. Man the polls were way off there. (Original Post) Statistical Nov 2020 OP
It was off in 2018 too. According to polls, FL should have a democratic senator and governor, Claustrum Nov 2020 #1
How off were the polls? Most of the polls I saw averaged effectively said it was a tie still_one Nov 2020 #2
538 average was +3. The top rated polls were +3 to +5 in the closing week. Statistical Nov 2020 #12
Those numbers are within the MOE. I never had any illusions that Florida, and especially still_one Nov 2020 #14
Except it is not close. Trump is likely carrying FL by 3 possibly more. Statistical Nov 2020 #31
Has Florida been called for trump yet? 3 points is within the margin of error still_one Nov 2020 #33
Post removed Post removed Nov 2020 #3
I edited that. DashOneBravo Nov 2020 #13
really? mercuryblues Nov 2020 #17
Whites voting against a candidate with a pro immigrant policy i get dem4decades Nov 2020 #24
Naw that's not what you said. DashOneBravo Nov 2020 #35
It can't suck enough. CentralMass Nov 2020 #4
Florida is an anomaly, I think. The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2020 #5
Been here 22 years. The number of goobers NoMoreRepugs Nov 2020 #6
Breakdown of the goober to gomer ratio? dchill Nov 2020 #16
Good one, I needed that. NoMoreRepugs Nov 2020 #21
I have lived in and visited Florida frequently. I know. I KNOW! dchill Nov 2020 #36
Ha, me too nt coti Nov 2020 #37
I'm seriously wondering about the Dejoy factor, also. coti Nov 2020 #22
This is within the stated margin of error. nt Codeine Nov 2020 #7
It was rated as a toss up. The polls weren't way off. Well, some of them were. octoberlib Nov 2020 #8
I feel bad for the kickass kids living there dustyscamp Nov 2020 #9
How about this. Give FL Dems a quarter of the money & resources next time round My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #10
There needs to be a root and branch reorganisation of the FL Dems. There's something seriously OnDoutside Nov 2020 #15
Lol- and move that $$$ to TX and MT! nt coti Nov 2020 #28
Texas is the future (not joking) My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #30
Agreed. Texas is the long term play. Make that purple and the GOP has no solid roadmap to 270. Statistical Nov 2020 #34
polls were pretty close in florida throughout ... rarely (if ever) beyond the margin of error fishwax Nov 2020 #11
There's 1 million vote estimate to count if MSNBC estimates are correct uponit7771 Nov 2020 #18
Hard to believe that Obama won it twice. Crunchy Frog Nov 2020 #19
Yeah, it's just a fucked up state coti Nov 2020 #20
Joe Scarborough, who should know, has been saying for weeks these polls were false AngryOldDem Nov 2020 #23
Gosh I thought maybe this time FL would go our way. 😢 nt Raine Nov 2020 #25
Not according to this: Nictuku Nov 2020 #26
They reversed the numbers. Everyone else include FL website is Trump +3 not -3. Statistical Nov 2020 #27
No Florida was tied or up 2% only. Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #29
I live here and run a business here superpatriotman Nov 2020 #32
I don't trust edhopper Nov 2020 #38

Claustrum

(4,845 posts)
1. It was off in 2018 too. According to polls, FL should have a democratic senator and governor,
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:40 PM
Nov 2020

Which we know didn't happen.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
12. 538 average was +3. The top rated polls were +3 to +5 in the closing week.
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:48 PM
Nov 2020

That is off enough to draw questions. Maybe FL is just really hard to poll. Like I said the good news is Florida demographics are somewhat unique so it may not play out anywhere else.

still_one

(92,061 posts)
14. Those numbers are within the MOE. I never had any illusions that Florida, and especially
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:50 PM
Nov 2020

Georgia at the very best would be close

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
31. Except it is not close. Trump is likely carrying FL by 3 possibly more.
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:04 PM
Nov 2020

Sorry pollers showing Biden +4 when Trump wins FL by +3 or more that is a 7 pt swing and they have some explaining to do. The only possible good news is that FL may not reflect the rest of the country.

Response to Statistical (Original post)

dem4decades

(11,269 posts)
24. Whites voting against a candidate with a pro immigrant policy i get
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:55 PM
Nov 2020

I don't agree with it but i get it.

Immigrants voting against a pro immigrant candidate just suck.

OnDoutside

(19,948 posts)
15. There needs to be a root and branch reorganisation of the FL Dems. There's something seriously
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:51 PM
Nov 2020

bad going on there. I will await the numbers on the FL Puerto Rican community where there were worrying noises about not enough effort being done to register them, back about a month ago.

fishwax

(29,148 posts)
11. polls were pretty close in florida throughout ... rarely (if ever) beyond the margin of error
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:47 PM
Nov 2020

It's disappointing, but it isn't a huge surprise, I'm afraid.

coti

(4,612 posts)
20. Yeah, it's just a fucked up state
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:53 PM
Nov 2020

Truly, no offense meant to Floridians. Just tired of this stuff during elections.

AngryOldDem

(14,061 posts)
23. Joe Scarborough, who should know, has been saying for weeks these polls were false
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 09:54 PM
Nov 2020

It stings, but I’m not surprised.

Florida is to election night what Iowa is to the primaries. Not worth the weight given to them.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»So FL is dead. Man the p...