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Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:05 PM

I think we won Ohio!!!

Trump is done of we win Ohio. He can't lose any states.

27 replies, 3249 views

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Arrow 27 replies Author Time Post
Reply I think we won Ohio!!! (Original post)
BlueLucy Nov 2020 OP
MissB Nov 2020 #1
spooky3 Nov 2020 #2
Farmgirl1961 Nov 2020 #3
spooky3 Nov 2020 #5
PTWB Nov 2020 #4
Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #14
FakeNoose Nov 2020 #6
BlueInPhilly Nov 2020 #7
VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #8
radius777 Nov 2020 #9
marybourg Nov 2020 #10
Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2020 #11
crickets Nov 2020 #12
Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #18
underpants Nov 2020 #13
Cbus Girl Nov 2020 #15
onetexan Nov 2020 #16
Ms. Toad Nov 2020 #17
mvd Nov 2020 #19
Ms. Toad Nov 2020 #20
mvd Nov 2020 #21
Ms. Toad Nov 2020 #22
mvd Nov 2020 #23
Ms. Toad Nov 2020 #24
mvd Nov 2020 #26
manicdem Nov 2020 #25
manicdem Nov 2020 #27

Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:05 PM

1. I think so too



They still have same day votes to continue to come in.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

2. It may be early but things are looking better than the polls! Nt

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

3. Where do you see the projections on Ohio???

n/t

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Reply #3)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

5. MSNBC is reporting in detail now nt

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

4. Don't count your chickens.

 

A lot of this is early vote and only half counted. We gotta hold on.

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Response to PTWB (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

14. so true! Not knowing if early vote completely in is SO

Important. It gives you false hope.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:08 PM

6. So awesome! Great job Ohio Dems, you rock!



This is amazing news. Love you Ohio Dems!


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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:09 PM

7. Can you please post links?

I have trashed so many threads tonight - doom and gloom - just people posting their worst feelings and taking me down with them.

For good news, I need confirmation and not another baseless pronouncements. Thanks.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:10 PM

8. Biden is running way ahead of Clinton's 2016 numbers in OH

I think he has a good shot at Ohio.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:10 PM

9. Doing much better in the suburbs than Hillary

and the totals seem to be holding as same day comes in.

If we win OH (which is not a must win) then game over.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

10. While it LOOKS good, NYT has not even set up a needle for OH.

Some types of ballots will not be certified until 11/28 per nyt.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

11. It's early, with mailed ballots counted first.

It should be more of a nail-biter later.

Biden could definitely win, though!

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

12. Looking good so far. 55% of the estimated vote total has been reported.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-ohio.html

Joseph R. Biden Jr. Democrat 1,823,776 52.3%
Donald J. Trump* Republican 1,618,675 46.4
Total reported 3,486,290

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Response to crickets (Reply #12)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:14 PM

18. But what % of our vote is already in?

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

13. No way.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

15. 🙏💙🌊

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:13 PM

16. MSNBC is also showing PA with Biden leading -- 64 to 34

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:14 PM

17. Way too early to tell.

Early voting was heavily Democratic. Those are the totals that are posted. Apparently the Cuyahoga County turnout was lower than 2016 - which does not bode well for carrying Ohio.

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #17)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:15 PM

19. We're outperforming Hillary margins in many places in OH

I am optimistic for now.

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Response to mvd (Reply #19)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:19 PM

20. The outperformance is meaningless because of the shift in voting.

In the precincts I worked tonight, the early votes were nearly double the in-person votes. That is unheard of - and early votes run heavily Democratic. In person run heavily Republican.

To win, Biden would need to have outperformed Clinton by almost double to hold through the later-posted heavily Republican votes. The station I was listening to on the way home was not optimistic about Ohio based on the low turnout in Cleveland proper. The precincts I worked at had similar demographics - and only 54% turnout. (2/3 of it early voting,)

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #20)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:21 PM

21. And what if the shift isn't enough for Trump to make up?

Very, very possible! If we rack it up in Democratic areas, there is a lot to make up.

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Response to mvd (Reply #21)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:24 PM

22. It's a time shift, not a quantity shift -

That makes this early lead an illusion.

Essentially we're counting all the Biden votes first and all the Trump votes last - and my point is that we're not racking it up in Democratic areas. Cleveland's turnout was apparently lower than 2016. I don't know 2016's turnout in the precincts I worked this year - but the turnout was a pitiful 54%. You don't rack it up with a turnout in the low 50s.

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #22)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:25 PM

23. You are putting too much into Cleveland

And a big R lean on Election Day. I still think Biden holds the lead. We’ll see. Also see post #8.

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Response to mvd (Reply #23)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:27 PM

24. Cleveland is where Democrats win. n/t

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #24)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:34 PM

26. Could be a close win but still a win

I have no idea why Cleveland would be lower, however. Not sure what happened.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:32 PM

25. OMG Stump is catching up

Its painful to watch the Ohio numbers. Biden was up 8% not long ago. then 5%. 4%. Now only 2.7% up within the past hour.

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Response to manicdem (Reply #25)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:34 PM

27. WTH now it's 1.9%

In just a few minutes it went from 2.7% to 1.9% now.

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