Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:05 PM

BlueLucy (1,287 posts)

I think we won Ohio!!!

Trump is done of we win Ohio. He can't lose any states.

27 replies, 3249 views

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27 replies	Author	Time	Post
I think we won Ohio!!! (Original post)	BlueLucy	Nov 2020	OP
I think so too	MissB	Nov 2020	#1
It may be early but things are looking better than the polls! Nt	spooky3	Nov 2020	#2
Where do you see the projections on Ohio???	Farmgirl1961	Nov 2020	#3
MSNBC is reporting in detail now nt	spooky3	Nov 2020	#5
Don't count your chickens.	PTWB	Nov 2020	#4
so true! Not knowing if early vote completely in is SO	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#14
So awesome! Great job Ohio Dems, you rock!	FakeNoose	Nov 2020	#6
Can you please post links?	BlueInPhilly	Nov 2020	#7
Biden is running way ahead of Clinton's 2016 numbers in OH	VMA131Marine	Nov 2020	#8
Doing much better in the suburbs than Hillary	radius777	Nov 2020	#9
While it LOOKS good, NYT has not even set up a needle for OH.	marybourg	Nov 2020	#10
It's early, with mailed ballots counted first.	Buckeye_Democrat	Nov 2020	#11
Looking good so far. 55% of the estimated vote total has been reported.	crickets	Nov 2020	#12
But what % of our vote is already in?	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#18
No way.	underpants	Nov 2020	#13
🙏💙🌊	Cbus Girl	Nov 2020	#15
MSNBC is also showing PA with Biden leading -- 64 to 34	onetexan	Nov 2020	#16
Way too early to tell.	Ms. Toad	Nov 2020	#17
We're outperforming Hillary margins in many places in OH	mvd	Nov 2020	#19
The outperformance is meaningless because of the shift in voting.	Ms. Toad	Nov 2020	#20
And what if the shift isn't enough for Trump to make up?	mvd	Nov 2020	#21
It's a time shift, not a quantity shift -	Ms. Toad	Nov 2020	#22
You are putting too much into Cleveland	mvd	Nov 2020	#23
Cleveland is where Democrats win. n/t	Ms. Toad	Nov 2020	#24
Could be a close win but still a win	mvd	Nov 2020	#26
OMG Stump is catching up	manicdem	Nov 2020	#25
WTH now it's 1.9%	manicdem	Nov 2020	#27

Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:05 PM

MissB (15,161 posts)

1. I think so too

They still have same day votes to continue to come in.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

spooky3 (30,292 posts)

2. It may be early but things are looking better than the polls! Nt

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

Farmgirl1961 (1,456 posts)

3. Where do you see the projections on Ohio???

n/t

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Reply #3)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

spooky3 (30,292 posts)

5. MSNBC is reporting in detail now nt

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:06 PM

PTWB (4,131 posts)

4. Don't count your chickens.

A lot of this is early vote and only half counted. We gotta hold on.

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Response to PTWB (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

Laura PourMeADrink (39,024 posts)

14. so true! Not knowing if early vote completely in is SO

Important. It gives you false hope.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:08 PM

FakeNoose (25,006 posts)

6. So awesome! Great job Ohio Dems, you rock!

This is amazing news. Love you Ohio Dems!

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:09 PM

BlueInPhilly (856 posts)

7. Can you please post links?

I have trashed so many threads tonight - doom and gloom - just people posting their worst feelings and taking me down with them.

For good news, I need confirmation and not another baseless pronouncements. Thanks.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:10 PM

VMA131Marine (3,544 posts)

8. Biden is running way ahead of Clinton's 2016 numbers in OH

I think he has a good shot at Ohio.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:10 PM

radius777 (3,406 posts)

9. Doing much better in the suburbs than Hillary

and the totals seem to be holding as same day comes in.

If we win OH (which is not a must win) then game over.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

marybourg (11,178 posts)

10. While it LOOKS good, NYT has not even set up a needle for OH.

Some types of ballots will not be certified until 11/28 per nyt.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

Buckeye_Democrat (14,053 posts)

11. It's early, with mailed ballots counted first.

It should be more of a nail-biter later.

Biden could definitely win, though!

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:11 PM

crickets (22,114 posts)

12. Looking good so far. 55% of the estimated vote total has been reported.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-ohio.html

Joseph R. Biden Jr. Democrat 1,823,776 52.3%
Donald J. Trump* Republican 1,618,675 46.4
Total reported 3,486,290

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Response to crickets (Reply #12)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:14 PM

Laura PourMeADrink (39,024 posts)

18. But what % of our vote is already in?

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

underpants (170,766 posts)

13. No way.

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:12 PM

Cbus Girl (32 posts)

15. 🙏💙🌊

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:13 PM

onetexan (10,690 posts)

16. MSNBC is also showing PA with Biden leading -- 64 to 34

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Response to BlueLucy (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:14 PM

Ms. Toad (29,978 posts)

17. Way too early to tell.

Early voting was heavily Democratic. Those are the totals that are posted. Apparently the Cuyahoga County turnout was lower than 2016 - which does not bode well for carrying Ohio.

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #17)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:15 PM

mvd (64,307 posts)

19. We're outperforming Hillary margins in many places in OH

I am optimistic for now.

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Response to mvd (Reply #19)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:19 PM

Ms. Toad (29,978 posts)

20. The outperformance is meaningless because of the shift in voting.

In the precincts I worked tonight, the early votes were nearly double the in-person votes. That is unheard of - and early votes run heavily Democratic. In person run heavily Republican.

To win, Biden would need to have outperformed Clinton by almost double to hold through the later-posted heavily Republican votes. The station I was listening to on the way home was not optimistic about Ohio based on the low turnout in Cleveland proper. The precincts I worked at had similar demographics - and only 54% turnout. (2/3 of it early voting,)

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #20)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:21 PM

mvd (64,307 posts)

21. And what if the shift isn't enough for Trump to make up?

Very, very possible! If we rack it up in Democratic areas, there is a lot to make up.

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Response to mvd (Reply #21)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:24 PM

Ms. Toad (29,978 posts)

22. It's a time shift, not a quantity shift -

That makes this early lead an illusion.

Essentially we're counting all the Biden votes first and all the Trump votes last - and my point is that we're not racking it up in Democratic areas. Cleveland's turnout was apparently lower than 2016. I don't know 2016's turnout in the precincts I worked this year - but the turnout was a pitiful 54%. You don't rack it up with a turnout in the low 50s.

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #22)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:25 PM

mvd (64,307 posts)