NY Times odds favor a Biden win in GA

[BainsBane]

Their projection needle has him at 56%.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

It’s now up to 62%. This has to be because all of the remaining votes are in the Atlanta area.

[Blue Owl]

1. Carville's Revenge

[Cha]

2. Thanks, Bains.. It would be

Amazing!

[Jamesyu]

3. That would be huge

Cuts off chances of Trump winning.

[qazplm135]

4. they think it tilts that way

not quite the same as thinking he will win, just that the odds lean his way.

[BainsBane]

12. Okay

“Tilting Biden“ is what they call it.

[BainsBane]

16. Still, that's good

if it turns out to be true.

[BlueStater]

5. Unfortunately, it looks like Perdue is going to win.

Ossoff ran a virtually flawless campaign and Perdue is a pitiful piece of racist shit who has done nothing for his state. I just don’t get it.

[BainsBane]

13. Yes.

Though that’s not a surprise.

[still_one]

6. Please make it so. That would give me some hope for the country

[marybourg]

7. I don't think that's what they're saying.

[Codeine]

8. No, they think it's basically 50/50. nt

[BainsBane]

10. 57% is the current number on the needle

that is not 50/50.

[mtnsnake]

9. At this point it would take a miracle. Trump is ahead by 240,000 votes with 84% tallied

[BainsBane]

11. A huge number of ballots from Atlanta have yet to

Be counted.

[mtnsnake]

20. From what I hear, Atlanta is a blue oasis surrounded by a huge red desert

so I sure do hope that GA can be flipped by that city. We could really use that right now, big time.

[Doodley]

15. Biden would need to be 25-30% ahead for the rest of the votes.

[BainsBane]

14. Now 62% for Biden.

[mtnsnake]

17. Where do you see that?

I'm seeing Biden at 46.6% on the NYT site.

[BainsBane]

18. It's not the percentage of the vote

But the probability of winning. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html

[mtnsnake]

19. OK thanks for the clarification

I was looking at the vote count, not the needle thing. Now I see what you mean, though.