600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona

[clutterbox1830]

"The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern."
- NATHANIEL RAKICH from 538

Here’s what’s left to count in Arizona. At first glance this would seem quite bad for Trump since it’s largely mail ballots, BUT mail ballots that arrived late in the process are considerably more R by party registration than the ones that arrived earlier.

- NATE SILVER from 538

[qazplm135]

1. Biden team has a graph

That shows the last three days of mail in vote in Maricopa was basically 50/50, if that holds then unlikely that they catch up.

[PubliusEnigma]

2. Joe Biden beat Donald Trump's ass in Arizona. Plus, 2 Democratic Senators. Solid Blue, baby!!!

[Ellipsis]

3. Both AP and Fox have called AZ for Biden.

[PTWB]

4. Gonna be close.

Link to tweet

[MissB]

5. He goes on to say that trump would need to win the remaining ballots

By 20-25%, and the rough estimate is 19% R ballots in the batch left.

[Dem2]

8. AND that Biden was outperforming the partisan tilt

So perhaps Shithead gets a 15% advantage and loses a close race.

[MissB]

9. Yeah I'm still sure that it'll go for Biden.

[DetroitLegalBeagle]

6. NYT and ABC withdrew the calls for AZ it looks.

AZ is now showing undecided on both of their maps.

[obamanut2012]

7. ONly Fox DD and AP called it

[DetroitLegalBeagle]

10. Ah ok