The Remaining Vote in Pennsylvania Appears to Be Overwhelmingly for Biden

[BainsBane]

While we don't need PA to win, it would be nice.

By Nate Cohn
Nov. 4, 2020
Updated 9:29 a.m. ET

So far, Mr. Biden has won absentee voters in Pennsylvania, 78 percent to 21 percent, according to the Secretary of State’s office. The results comport with the findings of pre-election surveys and an analysis of absentee ballot requests, which all indicated that Mr. Biden held an overwhelming lead among absentee voters.

If Mr. Biden won the more than 1.4 million absentee votes by such a large margin, he would net around 800,000 votes — enough to overcome his deficit statewide.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that Mr. Biden will win the remaining absentee vote by quite so much. But so far, his standing in the tabulated absentee vote has almost exactly matched our pre-election projections for the absentee vote by county, based on New York Times/Siena polling and data from L2, a political data vendor.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/upshot/pennsylvania-election-results-ballots.html

[msongs]

1. PA is needed in case of a few faithless electors nt

[SleeplessinSoCal]

2. keep those lawyers busy making electors stand for the law.

PLEASE!

[Fiendish Thingy]

10. No Biden elector, selected by the campaign, will switch to Trump. Period. Nt

[OnDoutside]

15. IIRC, this was if the count dragged on so long that the State legislature stepped in and appointed

the electors themselves.

[Fiendish Thingy]

17. They can't do that without the agreement of the governor. Nt

[lindysalsagal]

3. Philly is deep blue. The founding fathers would be proud. Their city will save democracy.

[dutch777]

8. Right on!!!

Philly cheesesteak and beer for dinner!

[Bev54]

4. They are still missing a lot of mail in ballots

38.7% of central PA were not delivered and 34% in Philadelphia were not delivered.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/04/2020-presidential-election-postal-data-shows-ballot-delivery-rate.html

[mathematic]

5. Those ballots can still be delivered and counted

PA is counting anything received up to friday, as long as it was postmarked by election day.

[Bev54]

7. Good, I just hope they can find them.

[SheltieLover]

6. Geez, what a shock

Perhaps absentee ballots weren't as easy to hack?

Ty PA & all Dem voters!

[CentralMass]

11. You might be on to something.

[SheltieLover]

16. That the PA absentees matched polling is SCREAMING for attention

[crickets]

27. *ding*ding*ding* Absolutely!

[SheltieLover]

30. Yuppers!

Just read a current post in GD entitled "ballgame," which states PA Dem officials privately telling Buden camp that win will be 100-200k votes!

[rainin]

29. EXACTLY!!! We need to get rid of these machines! Stop attacking polsters

and consider that the polls might be correct after all.

[apcalc]

9. We will need it if Nev doesn't come through.

[BainsBane]

12. Why wouldn't Nevada come through?

The outstanding votes are in blue areas.

[apnu]

13. Let's find out. Count every vote! (nt)

[Blue Owl]

14. K&R

[klook]

18. Yes - 48 of 67 Pa. counties haven't reported absentee votes yet, per NYT.

Long way to go til their count is completed. Nevada, Arizona, and Michigan -- assuming they come through for Biden -- give him exactly 270. Pennsylvania sure would be nice, and Georgia or North Carolina would be golden. But if it's just 270 in the end, that's enough to evict the traitorous autocrat, so I'll take it.

[David__77]

19. I hope there are lots of these ballots outstanding at present.

It's nice to see the margin diminish. About a seventh of the margin was wiped out in the last hour or so, and that was with the addition of about 116k votes.

[Chakaconcarne]

20. CNN is reporting that Trump is going to SCOTUS over PA

Litigation is all he has left......

He must be in some pretty deep shit if he loses....

[BainsBane]

23. He has to start in the lower courts first

one can't first go to SCOTUS.

[calimary]

21. Well, in one respect, we DO need Pennsylvania.

To fatten our lead. Another state. Another “big” state. MORE Electoral College votes for a bigger load there, too.

More! Need MORE! As much more as we can add on!

[spooky3]

22. Biden is speaking now and just mentioned this! nt

[George II]

24. Since 11 AM his shortfall has been reduced from 492K to 466K to 458K to 253K at 4 PM.

[LuvLoogie]

25. Yes we do need Pennsylvania. Our souls need it.

Well at least, I need it.

[yaesu]

26. I want Biden to win PA just to watch the orange nazis throw another fit but seriously Biden

will probably take PA, AZ & NV so the more the merrier.

[BainsBane]

28. especially because

AZ may be tightening.

[BobTheSubgenius]

31. That is SOOOO much more heartening than when I went to bed last night.

Sadly, I have to keep my life plodding forward, so I haven't been able to keep up like I should.

[BainsBane]

32. that's for the best

Because the results are coming in at a glacial pace.

[roamer65]

33. I'd love to have PA.

290 EV’s.

[bucolic_frolic]

34. "Appears to be" is not a quantifiable vote increment

Shame on the NYT for printing such speculation

[hadEnuf]

35. Amazing how accurate polling is when there is a paper trail for votes

isn't it?