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Music Man

(1,664 posts)
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:24 PM Nov 2020

According to The Guardian, Biden is just 37K behind Trump in GA but Fulton is in. Can that be right?

I believe The Guardian follows AP: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/nov/03/us-election-2020-live-results-donald-trump-joe-biden-who-won-presidential-republican-democrat

I thought there were many more outstanding votes from the Atlanta area left to be counted throughout the night. Anyone know what's up?

19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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According to The Guardian, Biden is just 37K behind Trump in GA but Fulton is in. Can that be right? (Original Post) Music Man Nov 2020 OP
According to the Guardian, DeKalb hasn't reported all votes yet. Kaleva Nov 2020 #1
You'll have to show me where you see that. Music Man Nov 2020 #3
I made an error, First posted Fulton County but it's DeKalb that hasn't fully reported yet. Kaleva Nov 2020 #5
OK, thanks! Still wondering what's up. Music Man Nov 2020 #6
plenty of other places left qazplm135 Nov 2020 #2
Atlanta is in Fulton County but immediately east of Atlanta is DeKalb County DemInBuckhead Nov 2020 #4
That's very helpful! Thank you. Music Man Nov 2020 #9
I live in Dekalb County CatWoman Nov 2020 #11
Grew up there, decades ago. Hoyt Nov 2020 #18
Actually there a dinky little part in Clayton County too. KentuckyWoman Nov 2020 #15
Fulton elections supervisor said their results wouldn't be in until close to midnight wishstar Nov 2020 #7
Fulton still has 7% more to come according to CNN Jarqui Nov 2020 #8
And in all of these, it's early/absentee ballots that are being counted... SKKY Nov 2020 #17
I used the prevailing % rates for each candidate in each county and Jarqui Nov 2020 #19
I'm not certain because NYT is reporting the same vote totals in those counties but says In It to Win It Nov 2020 #10
Fulton County Director of Elections says they're still counting votes greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #12
About 120K votes left in Ga oswaldactedalone Nov 2020 #13
CNN says that Ga's Sec of State says 122,500 ballots still to count, half from Fulton Goodheart Nov 2020 #14
Yes. But DeKalb County is not all in. TrishaJ Nov 2020 #16

Music Man

(1,664 posts)
3. You'll have to show me where you see that.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:28 PM
Nov 2020

When I click on the map, it says Fulton is 100% reporting.

Hoping you're right

Kaleva

(40,365 posts)
5. I made an error, First posted Fulton County but it's DeKalb that hasn't fully reported yet.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:30 PM
Nov 2020

Music Man

(1,664 posts)
6. OK, thanks! Still wondering what's up.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:31 PM
Nov 2020

Given the numbers others have been talking about on this board tonight, I'm trying to make heads or tails of what 100% in means in this case.

EDIT: Looks like I got my question partially answered below (re: DeKalb County).

DemInBuckhead

(124 posts)
4. Atlanta is in Fulton County but immediately east of Atlanta is DeKalb County
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:29 PM
Nov 2020

There's even a little part of Atlanta that sticks out into DeKalb. Anyway, DeKalb is even more blue than Fulton and it still has votes remaining. It has always reported late, and that's obviously the case this time as well.

KentuckyWoman

(7,401 posts)
15. Actually there a dinky little part in Clayton County too.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:40 PM
Nov 2020

Just north of where the City of Forest Park ends.

wishstar

(5,829 posts)
7. Fulton elections supervisor said their results wouldn't be in until close to midnight
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:32 PM
Nov 2020

He said they were not going to release numbers piecemeal tonight, but all at one time when their final counting is completed later tonight and can be certified by their elections board at one time. In person got released previously, but tonight they are counting the additional absentees expected to be around 35,000. But there are other Dem leaning counties reporting tonight also.

Jarqui

(10,909 posts)
8. Fulton still has 7% more to come according to CNN
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:33 PM
Nov 2020
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president?iid=politics_election_bop
but the difference is 40k ...

All these Dem counties have votes to come:

Dekalb has 10% to come

Clayton has 16% to come

Douglas has 7%

Cobb 8%

Richmond has 14%

Chatham 13%

Dougherty 43%

Muskogee 11%


(could have missed some .. I see nothing close to comparable for Trump)






SKKY

(12,801 posts)
17. And in all of these, it's early/absentee ballots that are being counted...
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:41 PM
Nov 2020

...and that is what makes all the difference.

Jarqui

(10,909 posts)
19. I used the prevailing % rates for each candidate in each county and
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:24 PM
Nov 2020

extrapolated the votes for each candidate when Joe was behind 40,000 or so.

It calculates to Joe gaining 84,000 more votes than Trump.

I ignored the 3rd candidate because I did not have that data easily.
So 84,000 slightly overstates Joe's projected pickup.

But if it's absentee ballots, that probably more than offsets ignoring the 3rd candidate because Dems do very well with absentee ballots.

This state is definitely still in play and Joe has a very decent shot of winning it.

If Joe wins this, it gets really hard for Trump to steal the election in the courts.

In It to Win It

(12,651 posts)
10. I'm not certain because NYT is reporting the same vote totals in those counties but says
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:35 PM
Nov 2020

Dekalb is at 90% complete and Fulton at 93%

I'm not sure if either one is correct on votes left to count

 

greenjar_01

(6,477 posts)
12. Fulton County Director of Elections says they're still counting votes
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:38 PM
Nov 2020

Should be done after midnight tonight.

 

Goodheart

(5,760 posts)
14. CNN says that Ga's Sec of State says 122,500 ballots still to count, half from Fulton
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:39 PM
Nov 2020

So, Biden needs an 82-43 split.

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