Georgia and Arizona minimum splits needed to win

[Roland99]

AZ

Link to tweet

Estimating based off of https://yahoo.com/elections/state/az

Biden needs a MINIMUM of 42% of estimated remaining.

GA

Link to tweet

we need a 60/40 split

[kwolf68]

1. Biden got 41 in the first run

If that trend remains Dolt 45 could actually win Arizona. The numbers are there, if he plays 60% it may be over. Now we are trending into NEEDING PA.

[Roland99]

2. this would be a split *after* that last dump that was added

Meaning, trump can't get more than 58% of remaining

This also shows >450k remaining (statewide). May not be that many.

I've been comparing NYT and Yahoo Election sites and seems either % estimated remaining and/or votes counted so far are off between the sites or not updated to match

[Roland99]

4. MSNBC reported that Biden campaign was confident there were still sizeable chunks of Dem ballots

[kwolf68]

5. How can they really tell?

The first batch from that county was 59 for Dump. Why do they think the remaining won't be similar?

Kornacki did the math, if Dump gets 60%+ on remaining 600K Dump can win Arizona.

I am livid this state was called. Faux Noise of all people called it.

[Roland99]

6. Wasn't it Kornacki saying the Biden campaign said some dems were holding onto ballots

not mailing them but waiting to drop off election day?

[PTWB]

3. We've been saving that all day. No one listens.

It was called too early. We might win but it’s way, way too close.

[Hoyt]

7. Kornacki making me nervous again. If AZ closes for trump and he holds on in NC, GA and PA, he wins.

That's a lot of ifs, but Jeeezus.