Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
25 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Arizona update coming at 2:00 AM on CNN (Original Post) applegrove Nov 2020 OP
Praying it's good news for Biden/Harris Catherine Vincent Nov 2020 #1
We've been hearing it's "imminent" for the last two hours. Orange Buffoon Nov 2020 #2
Cuomo said it was coming in 15 minutes at 1:48 AM. applegrove Nov 2020 #5
Cut them some slack! They've had a unruly crowd chanting outside and had to call the police Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #8
They're having "problems transmitting" them sweetloukillbot Nov 2020 #23
what time zone? TlalocW Nov 2020 #3
I'm in Eastern Standard Time, east coast applegrove Nov 2020 #9
So in 4ish minutes TlalocW Nov 2020 #10
Maybe 6 minutes. But tune in now. applegrove Nov 2020 #12
An extra two minutes??? TlalocW Nov 2020 #14
LOL! My cable just went out. Can you tell me what the news is. I can't applegrove Nov 2020 #18
I'm just reloading DU TlalocW Nov 2020 #21
TV back on. I guess there was no new numbers. Hopefully they come soon. applegrove Nov 2020 #22
Biden's lead will shrink, so don't be surprised, but he's expected to carry the state Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #4
PA has fewer votes left than we thought qazplm135 Nov 2020 #6
How is he going to end up 100k ahead, though? Blaukraut Nov 2020 #11
It still only requires 68 percent to tie qazplm135 Nov 2020 #15
Thx for the breakdown! 100k would be nice, but we just need a solid win, like MI or WI Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #20
Dave Wasserman at Cook Report is really skeptical of those numbers... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #13
not disagreeing with him obviously qazplm135 Nov 2020 #17
Wasserman calling bullshit budkin Nov 2020 #16
I would guess that 212,000 difference is a batch of votes they finished counting standingtall Nov 2020 #19
It's probably going to be much like the last one... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #7
Yep grantcart Nov 2020 #25
11,000 gain for Trump on new batch of 65,000 ballots with 300,000 more to count, days to go Baclava Nov 2020 #24

applegrove

(118,492 posts)
18. LOL! My cable just went out. Can you tell me what the news is. I can't
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:05 AM
Nov 2020

get things up and running on the tv right now.

Thekaspervote

(32,705 posts)
4. Biden's lead will shrink, so don't be surprised, but he's expected to carry the state
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 02:54 AM
Nov 2020

He’s currently at 79,000+ Final total will be approx +29,000.

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
6. PA has fewer votes left than we thought
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 02:55 AM
Nov 2020

only 488K not over 700K BUT Biden only needs 68 percent of that and something like 120K is Philly where he's going to be North of 80.
Which will reduce the remaining percentage to I think something like 61 percent of the remainder give or take...it's late and I haven't slept much so my math may be off.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
11. How is he going to end up 100k ahead, though?
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 02:58 AM
Nov 2020

He's still 165k behind, and 488k isn't a lot to work with anymore. And my math is terrible, so forgive me, too.

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
15. It still only requires 68 percent to tie
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:03 AM
Nov 2020

and he's hitting higher than that AND 120+ are in Philly where he is getting well over 80 percent, sometimes 90.

If he just continues doing the average he is doing, he would approach 100K (maybe not quite getting there).

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
13. Dave Wasserman at Cook Report is really skeptical of those numbers...
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:00 AM
Nov 2020

...as it would imply that Philadelphia has considerably lower turnout than 2016, which we aren’t seeing anywhere else. He adds that, even if the lower number is true, it doesn’t change his prediction of the outcome.

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
17. not disagreeing with him obviously
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:04 AM
Nov 2020

and the numbers are still below what Biden's be doing all day and all night in absentee votes.

So it's not panic time, but it's just possibly less than we expected.

standingtall

(2,785 posts)
19. I would guess that 212,000 difference is a batch of votes they finished counting
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:05 AM
Nov 2020

but have not reported yet. I remember them saying on the news they were counting like 230,000 votes tonight. Which is why I make that guess.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
7. It's probably going to be much like the last one...
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 02:56 AM
Nov 2020

...as I understand this will be the last of the late mail-ins, which have been running around 2:1 Republican. After this, the remaining ballots are Election Day drop-offs, which are far more balanced.

So don’t freak out if these show our lead dropping a lot more. It sounds like this will be the last “bad” batch.

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
24. 11,000 gain for Trump on new batch of 65,000 ballots with 300,000 more to count, days to go
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 04:06 AM
Nov 2020

Next count update, 7pm tomorrow evening in AZ. No real way to tell if gains continue.

Biden still has around 70,000 lead overall

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Arizona update coming at ...