Trying to plot out the scenarios from the four remaining states in play

[Tommy_Carcetti]

We are currently up slightly in AZ and NV and down but quickly narrowing in PA and GA.

From what I understand, we win if:

We overtake PA and hold AZ regardless of NV or GA

We hold AZ and NV regardless of PA or GA

We overtake GA combined with a hold of AZ or overtaking PA

We lose if:

Trump overtakes AZ and NV and we can’t overtake both PA and GA

Are there any other outcomes where we get screwed beyond this one?

[BootinUp]

1. all we really need is PA.

if that fails, then GA and Arizona and Nevada enter the picture.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

4. All we need is PA... All we need is PA...All we need is PA...

...PA is all we need.

[ok_cpu]

2. I think it's either PA or any two of the remaining mainland states

For some reason AK hasn't been called yet, at least by the NYT. Don't think it's going blue, but Joe would still need the same states above if it would.

[exboyfil]

3. PA alone wins it

Or any two of the remaining three (AZ, NV, and GA)

GA alone leads to a 269-269 tie.

[Bradshaw3]

5. My unscientific take after looking at the numbers

GA - It's going to be razor thin either way and probably a recount.

AZ- Pima and Coconino looking good but numbers should be balanced out by the remaining red counties, with slight edge to Biden because of 55,000 out in Pima. So of course it comes down to Maricopa, which although blue overall has pockets of red that allowed drumpf to narrow the margin in the last batches. I just don't know where those remaining votes are coming from, so another nail-biter.

PA- I'll leave this to the experts who all seem to think Biden wins by 100,000 or more.

NV - Ralston was surprised by the outcome here; still thinks Dems win but isn't sure, so WTF.

Joe just needs to win PA. But fuuuucccckkkk this isn't the decisive win we hoped for and needed. Have to look forward to 2022 when the senate looks a lot more promising.