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aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:00 PM Nov 2020

Who else is following the Maine Senate Race?


The Maine Senate race has 88% reporting. Susan Collins currently sits with 50.5% of the vote.

Correct me if I am wrong but what if Collins falls below 50%? Doesn't this mean they go to the rank listing on the ballot to determine the winner?

Why did we already concede this?
20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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dixiechiken1

(2,113 posts)
2. Doesn't matter if a candidate concedes...
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:03 PM
Nov 2020

A concession is nothing more than a courtesy. It is not "legally binding."

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
4. My source is the New York Times.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:06 PM
Nov 2020

That is what they are currently showing.

Either way, we conceded very early.

genxlib

(5,524 posts)
9. Bangor Daily News
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:09 PM
Nov 2020

Here https://bangordailynews.com/maine-elections/

Also shows similar of 51.2% and 97.4% called.

It does not seem close enough to get your hopes up. Even if it went to a ranked choice, it would take an overwhelmingly large percentage of the third party candidates to change the outcome with it being a squeaker under 50.

OAITW r.2.0

(24,453 posts)
5. Wow, interesting. I thought Collins had declared victory and Gideon conceded....
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:06 PM
Nov 2020

but if there are still 12% left and Collins's lead has shrunk to this level, I am encouraged. I wonder if these are mail-ins coming in way big in Gideon's favor? Will be taking another look! I voted for Sarah and was really bummed that Sue "2 terms only" Collins was in the driver's seat.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
8. I just wish I could find some clarity.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:08 PM
Nov 2020

Even at 99% reporting, she only has to fall 1 percent
to trigger a ballot ranking runoff.

OAITW r.2.0

(24,453 posts)
11. Then we are in run-off territory? That would be a huge turn of events!
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:11 PM
Nov 2020

I believe Sarah would crush Collins if this election became a national focus with a run off.

 

PTWB

(4,131 posts)
14. It isn't a traditional runoff.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:16 PM
Nov 2020

They have ranked choice voting - it is an instant runoff. There will not be another campaign. The folks already voted for their second choice and third choice and so on. They'll use that information to determine the winner assuming that Collins does fall below 50%.

OAITW r.2.0

(24,453 posts)
17. You'd think I'd know this....
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:21 PM
Nov 2020

as I voted in this race. There were 4 candidates.D/I/I/R. I ranked it D/I/I...no vote for Collins. I honestly knew nothing about either Independent. You are correct, no majority, vote...no ranked choice. I think Gideon could win this if it gets to the next round.

kurtcagle

(1,602 posts)
6. Concessions
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:07 PM
Nov 2020

Are not binding, though you obviously don't want the optics of going back on it. I suspect though, that if it looks like Collins can be taken down, the DNC will point to the vote itself. I'd say it's unlikely that this won't go the same way, but this is such a screwy race and the consequences are so high that the DNC would be fools not to take advantage of the opportunity.

Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

OAITW r.2.0

(24,453 posts)
13. As kurtcagle says above. ...it's "bad optics". Given the Republicaqn's history on "bad optics",
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:14 PM
Nov 2020

I say, screw them!

58Sunliner

(4,381 posts)
15. Bad optics is their brand.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:18 PM
Nov 2020

I deleted my other post because the NYT apparently does not have current info.
https://www.wmtw.com/article/maine-election-results-updates-nov-4/34571436
Unfortunately Collins did not fall below 50%.

GopherGal

(2,008 posts)
16. Don't they do ranked-choice voting?
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:18 PM
Nov 2020

Not that I really understand how it works, but I think there are other processes that would precede another vote.

OAITW r.2.0

(24,453 posts)
18. It would. One candidate needs 50% to win. If that threshold isn't met, they add your 2nd choice,
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 06:26 PM
Nov 2020

and 3rd,. if needed. I will be fascinated as to how this turns out.

Ranked choice came about when 67% of the Maine voters wanted someone other than Paul LePage for Governor (Dem or Ind). He got elected because we split the vote.

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