General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLooks like Georgia goes to Biden
from https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/11/07/us/biden-trump:
The state must also deal with ballots from military and overseas voters, which will be counted if they arrived in the mail before the end of business on Friday and were postmarked by Tuesday.
Biden's lead is 7,248: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html
Total Votes: Biden leads with 2,461,455 votes, Trump trails with 2,454,207 votes.
Timestamp In The Lead Vote Margin Votes Remaining (est.) Change Batch Breakdown Batch Trend Hurdle
7 hours ago Biden 7,248 Unknown 5,110 Biden 77.6% / 22.4% Trump Trump is averaging 31.1% Unknown
9 hours ago Biden 4,430 Unknown 74 Biden 73.6% / 26.4% Trump Trump is averaging 33.0% Unknown
12 hours ago Biden 4,395 Unknown 163 Biden 82.5% / 17.5% Trump Trump is averaging 33.0% Unknown
coti
(4,612 posts)Recounts don't stop calling races.
PJMcK
(22,023 posts)But sure, call it. It's basically meaningless but if it pisses off Trump and his crew, I'm all for it!
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)They can run one, but modern day recounts move at most several hundred votes, not even low thousands.
10,000? It's done.
central scrutinizer
(11,639 posts)coti
(4,612 posts)That "explanation" reeks of rationalization. You don't not call races because of possible recounts. You presume the accuracy of the figures you have - even if very close-- until they are proven otherwise.
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)jaxexpat
(6,813 posts)And if the armed "observers" had been supporting Democratic candidates they would have been reported as poor sports with bad intentions, insurrectionists unable to deal with facts on the ground.
Rich people are the most cowardly.
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)634-5789
(4,175 posts)Response to gristy (Original post)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
David__77
(23,367 posts)I hope that happens!
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)Paint it blue on the screen. It's over in Georgia.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)They might have some provisional ballots left, but those should have been either accepted or rejected yesterday, so how long would it take to count accepted provisional ballots?
Dem2
(8,168 posts)As noted on the alex.github link, they're the only state with an "unknown" remaining total of ballots.
That being said, it appears there's not enough remaining even if the baboon-anus got 100% of them, it really should be called.
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)On the low end! Might even hit 11,000.
Trump would have to take over 66% of 30,000 remaining ballots to make it up. There are not 30,000 remaining ballots.
He'd have to take 75% of 20,000 remaining ballots to simply tie. There are not 20,000 remaining ballots.
Sure, they're in "recount territory," but seriously, when have you ever heard of a recount reversing a 10,000 vote lead? Most modern recounts don't move the vote count in the tens or hundreds. The Florida recount shifted the votes a few hundred here and there.
So, there are not enough ballots out there, and Trump can't pull the needed percentages if there were. No recount in modern history has reversed a 7,000 vote margin, much less the 10,000 that's surely coming.
It is at this point delusional and irresponsible not to call the state. It's a done deal. Biden's won Georgia.
gab13by13
(21,283 posts)leighbythesea2
(1,200 posts)Kornacki would never have the cajones to say that.
Pisces
(5,599 posts)catbyte
(34,359 posts)the provisionals?
gab13by13
(21,283 posts)Provisionals historically trend Democratic according to Kornacki.
yaesu
(8,020 posts)BobTheSubgenius
(11,562 posts)It's a very thin margin of victory, but there are a few good points to note. Now, it may well be that there is a clause in GA's electoral law that requires a recount if the difference in vote tally falls below a certain number.
But...it's icing on the cake, which is the best part. And it's worth remembering that Bush "won" FL in much shadier circumstances and WELL under 1000 votes. 500 and something, as I remember.
And something I mentioned in a thread a few days ago...even losing GA in a razor-thin tally is not a bad thing, in an of itself. Making progress in the Bible Belt!!!
Dukkha
(7,341 posts)Cry more, Deplorables!
JGug1
(320 posts)With military votes not counted, I don't see how Georgia can be called for Joe Biden.
There have been some reports that the military isn't happy with Trump but it traditionally
has voted Republican. I guess we'll see where it stands when the final vote is in.