PA - 11/10 update - Still over a 45k lead and should keep growing

[Roland99]

PA
Biden: 3,365,338
trump: 3,320,235
Other: 87,273

New Biden: 373
New trump: 583
New Other: 115

% New Biden: 34.83%
% New trump: 54.44%
% New Other: 10.74%

Diff: 45,103
Remaining (Est): 55,121
Trend: Trump is averaging 31.3% Trump needs 91.4%




BTW, no NV update for this morning

[SheltieLover]

1. Excellent! 👏👏👏👏

Ty!

[exboyfil]

2. Now greater than Trump's vote difference in 2016

[Statistical]

3. Yeah PA should be at least 1% (68K vote margin) and might be as much as 1.5% (100K vote margin)

once the last vote is counted. Despite a lot of election night worries (red mirage) it won't even really be all that close. Now AZ that will be close but not PA.

On edit: AZ not NV.

[LisaL]

4. I think you mean AZ will be close?

NT

[Statistical]

5. Yes yes sorry. I blame a lack of coffee. Fixed. nt

[arlyellowdog]

6. Senator Casey called it

When everyone was panicking about the PA provisional ballots a week ago, Bob Casey said the provincials would break Democratic and Biden would win by 100,000 votes. Nate Cohn just said that exact thing: Biden by 100,000 votes.

[Roland99]

7. I think 70-75k is the high side at this point

still well above any level of doubt!

[arlyellowdog]

8. You can see how they get to 100,000

On Nate Cohn’s Twitter

[Roland99]

9. yeah..I just don't think absentee/provisionals are going to provide another 55k

a 70/30 split of the remaining 56k results in about 68k total vote lead

[BumRushDaShow]

10. Here in Philly, as of last night, we still had 10 of 1703 polling Divisions not reported

Philly then added the votes from 3 of those 10 that were outstanding, in a 1:02 am EST update, but still have 7 Divisions outstanding (Divisions are usually cover a couple thousand voters each) - https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/ResultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY

Unofficial 2020 General Election Results
November 3, 2020
Results Last Updated11/10/2020 1:02:09 AM EST

Voter Turnout
63.00%
Total Ballots Cast 711,414
Registered Voters 1,129,308
Ballots Cast by Mail: 353642
Ballots Cast at Polling Place: 357772

Divisions Reporting
99%
Divisions Reported 1,696
Total Divisions 1,703

PRESIDENT AND VICE-PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
(VOTE FOR 1)

Divisions Reported: 1696 / 1703

JOSEPH R BIDEN AND KAMALA D HARRIS
Democratic 80.95% 571,788

DONALD J TRUMP AND MICHAEL R PENCE
Republican 18.12% 127,973

JO JORGENSEN AN D JEREMY SPIKE COHEN
Libertarian 0.66% 4,651

Write-in
Nonpartisan 0.28% 1,967

Total Votes
706,379