Ali Velshi mentioned tonite that there are Maricopa votes coming in that may allow Arizona to be

[triron]

called for Biden.

[mercuryblues]

1. Ya think?

Or are they going to wait until trump needs 125% of the remaining vote to finally call it?

[Eyeball_Kid]

2. I think it was the Tucson area/Pima County.

There would be a tilt on Biden's direction if it were votes from Pima.

[LisaL]

3. Biden is leading.

NT

[Dem2]

4. Even if Trump gets 70% of all the remaining ballots

Assuming the count that the Secretary of State has provided is correct, Trump will lose. He needs 86% of the remaining ballots to win. That's virtually impossible.

[SCantiGOP]

9. Not with Trump math

If he doesn’t believe science why do you think he would accept math?

[Dem2]

13. You make a good point

[soothsayer]

5. Woof woof, picking up speed #OperationWarpConcede

Link to tweet

?s=21


Caroline Casey
@Standupcoyote
Woof woof, picking up speed #OperationWarpConcede

[Cha]

6. Great & the NYT said "it was essentially

over" but "caution".

[Catherine Vincent]

7. Yes! I heard that

Lawrence O'Donnell just mentioned it as well.

[FakeNoose]

8. Have they scanned and counted the provisional ballots yet?

The provisional ballots can't be run until everything else is completed. So those are the ballots that were given out on election day, and a lot of them went to voters who returned their mail-in ballot and voted in-person instead. So ... mostly Dems.

Provisional ballots were also given to anyone who voted in-person and might have been unable to provide ID or maybe their address had changed since they registered or last voted. Again ... more likely Dems, or skewing younger anyway.

The provisional ballots are going to break for Biden I believe.

[LisaL]

10. Arizona's remaining ballots are not breaking for Joe.

Everything being counted is eating into his lead. But there are not many ballots left to be counted. And yes, they are counting provisional ballots.

[Towlie]

11. The current situation is this:

According to this site it's Biden 1,666,495, Trump 1,655,461. That's a Biden lead of 11,034.

And according to this site there are an estimated total of 16,040 remaining uncounted votes.

The total of votes cast in Arizona is therefore 3,337,996 and 1,668,998 are needed to win.

Biden therefore needs 2,503 votes or 15.6% of the remaining votes and Trump would need 13,537 votes or 84.4% of the remaining votes.

But I'm not sure that those two sites are coordinated together even though they're both in Katie Hobbs' name.

[LisaL]

12. The sites are coordinated together.

When new votes drop, the remaining ballots decrease by an appropriate amount.

[Towlie]

14. That hasn't been my experience. I've seen votes added while uncounted remains the same.

... or uncounted votes dropping while vote totals remained the same.

[LisaL]

15. Today the remaining votes were going down only.

NT

[Towlie]

16. Anyway, I hope you're right because Biden's lead has been steadily dropping.

11/06/20 11:09 AM 43,569
11/06/20 11:30 AM 43,779
11/06/20 02:49 PM 41,302
11/06/20 05:07 PM 39,769
11/08/20 06:01 PM 19,348
11/09/20 07:08 AM 16,985
11/09/20 02:51 PM 17,131
11/09/20 04:13 PM 16,730
11/10/20 07:24 AM 15,432
11/10/20 10:21 AM 14,746
11/10/20 03:47 PM 14,733
11/11/20 08:43 AM 12,813
11/11/20 11:56 PM 11,635
11/12/20 01:24 PM 11,537
11/12/20 07:14 PM 11,390
11/12/20 10:23 PM 11,034

[LisaL]

17. I know. AZ is the opposite of GA.

In GA, Biden was behind on election day (to the point that not many people believed he can pull it off) but he did phenomenally well with remaining ballots.
AZ is the opposite. Remaining ballots have been eating into Biden's lead.

[Towlie]

18. Ali Velshi didn't have it, Lawrence O'Donnell didn't have it, maybe Brian Williams will.

[Towlie]

19. Brian Williams on MSNBC just called Arizona.

Biden 1,668,684, Trump 1,657,250, 10,315 uncounted votes.

Biden leads by 11,434 votes with 10,315 votes uncounted. Trump needs 105.4% of the uncounted votes to win Arizona.

[radius777]

20. Biden will win AZ, Decision Desk HQ called it and

Wasserman said it was basically over.

Biden's lead has been dwindling due to the late arriving mail ballots and same day votes favoring Trump, but there are not enough votes left (about 16k, mostly from blue or purple areas) for Trump to overtake.

https://arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

[Towlie]

21. The CNN map now shows four flipped states (from Rep to Dem) and the score is Biden 290, Trump 217.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president#mapmode=call

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona show as flipped.