Big Trump rallies didn't correlate to votes

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

WASHINGTON — As the 2020 campaign wound down, President Donald Trump held rallies across the country to fire up his supporters and get them out to vote. Many saw the rallies as a sign of big enthusiasm for Trump, but the data suggest the visits did not produce the desired impact for the president.

Comparing Trump campaign stops over the last two weeks of the race to election results shows that in the overwhelming majority of cases, Trump underperformed his 2016 margins in the counties he visited, in some cases by large amounts.

There were 30 Trump campaign stops in that period, according to an NBC News tally, in states from Arizona to Nebraska to Pennsylvania. In five counties that Trump visited he saw better results than he did in 2016, but in the remaining 25 his margins of victory got smaller, his margin of defeat grew or the county flipped Democratic.



The numbers are important to note because they raise questions about how journalists and analysts perceive campaigns.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/big-trump-rallies-didnt-correlate-to-votes/ar-BB1bsSdE?li=BBnb7Kz

If anything they just spread COVID-19 further.

[Thekaspervote]

1. Bernie Sanders was convinced his big rallies meant he would easily win the primary

[JI7]

6. Problem was it was the same people with money and time

going to the rallies.

There are some cases like Obama which show there is lots of interest but not always. We learn the truth when voting happens.

[judeling]

2. Bad analysis

Trump was doing flying Rallies. That means he was going to places that could support a 747 and had enough facilities to support crowds. That almost had to have him going to places that would be slightly hostile at best. More as the suburban shift had happened those areas had gotten more hostile.

If you want to measure the effect you have to consider the area and drive time. It isn't just the county they occurred in but those surrounding as well.

[PJMcK]

5. Fair enough but here's a question

Who decided where Trump should hold his rallies?

His campaign sucked from top to bottom. Thankfully!

Have a good week, judeling.

[MaryMagdaline]

3. I guess spreading Covid 19 was not endearing him to the locals

[Butterflylady]

4. Of course not, all he was doing was

Talking to the choir! Doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure that one out o sh*t I forgot who I was talking about.

[nevergiveup]

7. Trump needs to go to Georgia right now

and hit as many counties as he can.