Democrats Lead In Georgia Senate Races

[babylonsister]

https://politicalwire.com/2020/12/22/democrats-lead-in-georgia-senate-races/


Democrats Lead In Georgia Senate Races
December 22, 2020 at 8:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard

A new SurveyUSA poll in Goergia finds Jon Ossoff (D) leading Sen. David Perdue (R) in their U.S. Senate runoff, 51% to 46%.

In the other Senate runoff, Raphael Warnock (D) leads Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R), 52% to 45%

From the pollster: “Georgia is a hot mess and no opinion pollster could possibly say what will happen when votes are counted in 2 weeks… Any outcome is possible, including victories for the 2 Republican incumbent US Senators. But: the polling data at this hour does not support that, and heading into Christmas week, Democratic challengers Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock appear to be benefiting — at least momentarily — from a GOP cacophony.”

[bottomofthehill]

1. I have no trust in polling

[Karma13612]

3. Nor do I.

Especially after the election we just had.

The default should just be:

Act as if we’re 5 points down. From sun up to sun down.

And I worry that this COVID relief bill just passed will help the GOP.

“Oh look! Our elected officials are watching out for us!” And Purdue/Loeffler will hammer it on the campaign trail that the “loser Libs” did everything they could to obstruct them from passing a bill to help the American public.

Never mind that the House passed a good bipartisan bill like a half a year ago.

Messaging is everything!!!!

[Tommymac]

17. "Only $600" is damn powerful meme too. It resonates really good with The Sixpack's.

Four figures is harder to put down.

But 'Only a paltry $600 from The Current Rich Senators' is exactly like those rich bastards saying

"Let Them Eat Cake."

[LiberalLovinLug]

32. Democrats should campaign on "elect us and get another $600 at least"

[HUAJIAO]

39. "Messaging is everything!!!!" YUP. And we are not good at it.

[dubyadiprecession]

4. Yes, there never seems to be an established formula for getting an accurate pulse of the average...

Voter. It seems like pollsters are just pulling data from their ass’s most of the time!

[Dopers_Greed]

36. Polling is just a forecast

Forecasts are by nature inexact. They just predict possible outcomes, where in reality, only one will actually happen.

[Tom Rinaldo]

5. The bright spot is that Georgia polling for November's election turned out to be pretty accurate

I'm not sure why pollsters managed to make accurate predictions in the Presidential and Senate races for Georgia then but were often far off in other places. We can hope that the same holds true for Georgia now.

[BannonsLiver]

21. I expect the GOP to win both seats.

[AllyCat]

23. "Win"

Fixed it for ya.

[BannonsLiver]

24. Come out on top, secure the seats, ring the bell, get the W

However you want to put it.

[AllyCat]

25. Yup. They managed to take Senate seats I thought for sure

They would lose in November. Don’t trust the polls anymore but I trust the GOP even less.

[paleotn]

30. And pollsters would be the first to say...

they're wrong....if they're honest, anyway. The question isn't if they're wrong or not, it's how wrong are they and why. So many things can go wrong, from not guessing which segments will actually show up at the polls in large numbers to just randomness in sampling. Humans don't act with the precision and consistency of Newtonian mechanics, so some would say it's foolish to expect any reasonable amount of certainty in applying mathematics to human behavior. But some brave souls still try.

[Bengus81]

40. Nope...don't believe any polling BS and keep donating and fighting for those two seats

[musclecar6]

2. Yeah

It will be a fight to the finish.

[yellowcanine]

6. The Trump/Kemp feud will suppress Republican turnout.

Hopefully that will be enough combined with a strong Dem turnout.

[beachbumbob]

7. worthless. All we know, who's GOTV efforts are better will win

[mucifer]

12. You can donate here for Dem Georgia GOTV:

https://unitehere.org/campaign/take-back-2020/

They have 600 people on the ground going very targeted and safely GOTV. They want to get more people door to door. As AL Franken says in this interview "door knock for Wornock" of course Ossoff, too.

There are many other groups going door to door for Wornock and Ossoff. So fingers crossed.

[ananda]

19. Thank you, just donated!

Go Dems!

[mountain grammy]

20. I listen to Al's podcast every week..

and think about who we lost. Every Democrat should too.
Also donated, as I do to most of his causes.

[klook]

26. Thank you -- just listened to this one this morning.

Yes, it’s “Door knock for Warnock.” And “Vote your Ossoff!”

Thanks for the link. I’m donating to these guys today! Great organization and a great discussion with Al Franken.

As a member of a high-risk household, I’m not up for door-to-door canvassing, but I’m happy to support Unite Here.

[Iliyah]

8. I do not trust Gov. Kemp . . .

[MoonRiver]

9. I don't either, but he's not the SoS anymore.

The current SoS, even though a Repuke, seems to be honest.

[helpisontheway]

10. Unfortunately I don't believe it. Vote! nt

[greenjar_01]

11. We're still doing the polling thing?

[Johnny2X2X]

13. Yeah

Polls still have some validity, but are taken with a big grain of salt. Georgia polls were pretty accurate though, including this one.

I think not having Trump on the ballot is the X Factor. We'll see how that plays out, but right now it's looking like we've got a 50% chance at winning each race.

[GoCubsGo]

14. Great news, but...

Still close enough for the Fuckers to steal.

[bucolic_frolic]

15. Polls face methodology problems

MAGAts won't answer their phones and don't trust pollsters whom they think are part of the Deepest State. So perhaps they are undercounted and aren't truthful. Ya think?

So the only hope here is they are unmotivated. It's hard to believe they are not hearing about it on TV or from the MAGAt echo chamber.

So I'd say flip those polls by 6% to get a more accurate guesstimate.

[kimbutgar]

16. Keep showing those ads of Loefflers and Perdue's mega mansions

And ask can they represent your interests in Georgia ?

And they only voted to give you $600 and tax breaks for three martini business lunches.

[Thekaspervote]

18. Forget Christmas! I'll take a dem win in GA any day

[BobTheSubgenius]

22. Within several different scenarious, having the D candidates doing this well would be an achievement

It still is an achievement - don't get me wrong. But in other years, such a strong showing could be cause enough for congratulations, and "get 'em next time" might be a fitting denouement.

But with the Senate hanging in the balance, well...

[Yeehah]

27. Please Good People of Georgia!

You can begin a new era!

[Captain Zero]

28. I've donated a couple times already from my recliner in

Indianapolis. It's easy. Go to ActBlue.com , give Republicans New Years Hell from your recliner.

[vercetti2021]

29. Fuck polling

They were wrong again during the election

[Blasphemer]

31. The polls keep swinging wildly. Last week's polling was different. Turnout is all that matters. nt

[yellowdogintexas]

33. I have been phone banking for Georgia

and if the people I am talking to are an indication of the vote, we really can pull this off.

My husband is much more pessimistic based on 538 but he isn't talking to these folks .

These voters are revved up! They want to talk about it. They are really stoked about the win in November and the fact that history will turn on a dime based on what they do.

You can find volunteer opportunites at the Warnock and Ossoff websites.

Or you can donate through the ActBlue fundraiser right here on DU

[mtnsnake]

35. +1000

[BlueWavePsych]

34. Take nothing for granted. GOTV

[Skeptical Thomas]

37. Polls???

You gotta be kidding me!

[quakerboy]

38. Which means we are losing and need to try harder

As the Trump nutters keep telling us.. theres a lot of electronic voting machines in Georgia.

[marble falls]

41. What's with all the undecided???

[Botany]

42. Which means the Ds have to win by a large margin to squeek out victories.

Both Fox and CNBC* were pushing that both Loeffler and Perdue were leading in the polls today.


* I saw both reports when channel surfing.