Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)
Fri Oct 5, 2012, 08:54 AM Oct 2012

What conservatives will say about the BLS report coming it at 7.8%


"That's because more people stopped looking for work."

Actually, nope. The reason for the drop is that previous months' job numbers were revised upward dramatically. We actually weren't at 8.1% last month when you work in the revisions. We were at 7.9%.


"The BLS is cooking its numbers to help Obama."

The BLS methodology has been in place since the 1930s. The crosstabs and full numbers are there for everyone to see. The ability to "cook the books" simply doesn't exist.


The reason the 7.8% number seems like such a dramatic change for the better is because the BLS was way off the past several months.

The household survey shows that 800,000 more Americans are employed than it showed a month ago. That is because the survey was way off to the low side over the past half year.


There is no way for Romney and company to spin this report as bad. The UE rate the day Obama was sworn in was 7.9%.


Every talking point that Romney had about the economy is now neutered. The only thing he has left is to talk about the deficit and debt.


This election effectively ended today. And it might help down-ballot too.
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
What conservatives will say about the BLS report coming it at 7.8% (Original Post) scheming daemons Oct 2012 OP
I knew the report would be good! ananda Oct 2012 #1
Conservatives have no idea how these numbers Mariana Oct 2012 #2
What I don't understand is why was the survey off the past half year. Why is it not off now? cags Oct 2012 #3
My guess is the big number includes workers like Teachers and a few seasonal workers. bluestate10 Oct 2012 #6
K & R. GOTV. n/t FSogol Oct 2012 #4
"They're SKEWED!" ck4829 Oct 2012 #5

Mariana

(15,626 posts)
2. Conservatives have no idea how these numbers
Fri Oct 5, 2012, 09:08 AM
Oct 2012

are calculated, or how the data are acquired in the first place. And you know what else? They don't WANT to know. They prefer to fabricate wild conspiracy theories.

cags

(1,914 posts)
3. What I don't understand is why was the survey off the past half year. Why is it not off now?
Fri Oct 5, 2012, 09:30 AM
Oct 2012

What information do they use to do the adjustments?

bluestate10

(10,942 posts)
6. My guess is the big number includes workers like Teachers and a few seasonal workers.
Fri Oct 5, 2012, 10:14 AM
Oct 2012

Teachers technically are not unemployed during the summer, but I know that some of my teachers when I was in school did look for summer jobs. Some states have had improving economies for months, those states could be hiring back cops that were laid off. Seasonal workers pick some types of Fall produce and there are some in sales jobs.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»What conservatives will s...