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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhat conservatives will say about the BLS report coming it at 7.8%
"That's because more people stopped looking for work."
Actually, nope. The reason for the drop is that previous months' job numbers were revised upward dramatically. We actually weren't at 8.1% last month when you work in the revisions. We were at 7.9%.
"The BLS is cooking its numbers to help Obama."
The BLS methodology has been in place since the 1930s. The crosstabs and full numbers are there for everyone to see. The ability to "cook the books" simply doesn't exist.
The reason the 7.8% number seems like such a dramatic change for the better is because the BLS was way off the past several months.
The household survey shows that 800,000 more Americans are employed than it showed a month ago. That is because the survey was way off to the low side over the past half year.
There is no way for Romney and company to spin this report as bad. The UE rate the day Obama was sworn in was 7.9%.
Every talking point that Romney had about the economy is now neutered. The only thing he has left is to talk about the deficit and debt.
This election effectively ended today. And it might help down-ballot too.
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What conservatives will say about the BLS report coming it at 7.8% (Original Post)
scheming daemons
Oct 2012
OP
What I don't understand is why was the survey off the past half year. Why is it not off now?
cags
Oct 2012
#3
My guess is the big number includes workers like Teachers and a few seasonal workers.
bluestate10
Oct 2012
#6
ananda
(35,172 posts)1. I knew the report would be good!
Hehheh
Mariana
(15,626 posts)2. Conservatives have no idea how these numbers
are calculated, or how the data are acquired in the first place. And you know what else? They don't WANT to know. They prefer to fabricate wild conspiracy theories.
cags
(1,914 posts)3. What I don't understand is why was the survey off the past half year. Why is it not off now?
What information do they use to do the adjustments?
bluestate10
(10,942 posts)6. My guess is the big number includes workers like Teachers and a few seasonal workers.
Teachers technically are not unemployed during the summer, but I know that some of my teachers when I was in school did look for summer jobs. Some states have had improving economies for months, those states could be hiring back cops that were laid off. Seasonal workers pick some types of Fall produce and there are some in sales jobs.
FSogol
(47,624 posts)4. K & R. GOTV. n/t
ck4829
(37,769 posts)5. "They're SKEWED!"