General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDoomsday Scenarios about January 20 and January 6 Are a Waste of Time
Trump will leave the White House. He might leave on his own a week or so before the 20th, and head down to Merde-a-GoGo, or he might resign about a week before, so he can collect his pardon from Pence.
Either way, he will not attempt to remain in the White House and undergo the humiliation of being removed physically from the place.
Either way, he will whine and tweet and say stupid things, because that is his nature. But he will not try to make some sort of futile stand at the White House.
He might keep saying, "I won by a lot," but that is a useless, nonsensical thing to do. It will not avail him of anything at all. He might attempt to keep suing, but those cases, too, will be thrown out of the courts as moot.
But, he will not attempt to remain in office after January 20. There is no way for him to do that without utter humiliation, and Donald J. Trump does not like the feeling of being humiliated.
So, that's not something to worry about. It truly is not.
We should also not be worried about January 6. Since Democrats have a majority in the House in the next Congress, no objection to any slate of delegates will be agreed to by the house. Without agreement in both houses, the electoral vote from all states will be counted as received from those states. That is what will happen. There might be a delay or two, while objections are squashed in the House and probably in the Senate as well, but that's all. At the end of the day, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris will be confirmed as President and Vice President by the Congress in joint session.
So, worry about other things, not about those things. We will have a new President on January 20. Trust me.
Turin_C3PO
(16,385 posts)No way Donald risks the image of getting physically dragged out of the White House by the Secret Service. I think theres a pretty good chance that your second scenario, with him resigning and getting pardoned by Pence, will come to pass.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)being charged with federal crimes committed while he was President. A self-pardon is an iffy proposition, I think.
Most of the scenarios being brought forward on DU are impossible ones, and are based on ignorance of the Constitution, congressional rules, and laws. Nothing is more sacred in our system of government that the orderly transition of power after elections. Nothing. That is the entire point of the Constitution in the first place.
So, all of the worrying is a waste of time. We have had an election. Biden won. The Electoral College has voted, and every state has transmitted its certification of votes. The election is over. All that remains is a formality, which will be duly carried out, despite any possible objections in Congress.
Those who want Donald Trump to remain in office are a small minority in Congress. They will not prevail. There is zero chance of that happening. Congress, as a whole, wouldn't tolerate such a thing.
Mike Pence will perform his ceremonial role, and it will be done. He will not say a word about any alternative process.
Towlie
(5,577 posts)
←
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)portraying Trump and being thrown out of the WH.
Maeve
(43,457 posts)Altho the streets of DC might not be a place you'd want to be....
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)will be far smaller than you might think on January 6.
BlueIdaho
(13,582 posts)The Proud boys will continue to disappoint their Führer. Add to that Pences refusal to fall on his sword for Gohmert and I suspect their efforts will be a tempest in a tea pot.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)BlueIdaho
(13,582 posts)There will be much sound and fury signifying nothing coming from DC.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)I've been doing that a lot lately.
jimlup
(8,010 posts)The Georgia runoff election. This is where we should be concentrating our efforts and attention.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)have any influence on the results, frankly. Interestingly enough, though, there will be two vacant seats in the Senate on January 6. The new senators will not be seated until the election is certified by the State of Georgia.
bucolic_frolic
(55,143 posts)just like he ran against Obama's legitimacy with birtherism, and he'll have some loyalists on the inside in the bureaucracy and court appointees he leaves behind. I do think it will fade as a strategy, over 2-3 years; it won't age well. What Congressional GOP does is more relevant to how the country moves forward.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)I expect to see Donald J. Trump to fade away pretty quickly.
EarnestPutz
(2,843 posts)....already just a shell of his former self.
obamanut2012
(29,369 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)He is running out of lenders.
He will milk his sucker tRumpanzees for all they are worth. He will be constantly boiling and bubbling below the surface, very present for his hardcore base but nowhere near as visible to the rest of us compared to how he has been.
No, he won't fade away quickly.
Tommymac
(7,334 posts)So tired of the many fearmongering and just plain untrue OP's in GD about this subject.
Get a grip folks, all the crap from the right and the MSM is just that - crap Kabuki.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)I'm sure I'll be writing other similar things from time to time. That's sort of what I do here.
yaesu
(9,328 posts)punished by every legal means possible.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Most will not break any laws. For example, some stupid person in congress might object to some state's electors. That's not illegal. Democrats have done that as well in the past.
Someone might protest in the street. I've done that many times, as a civil rights and anti-war activist. It's legal to protest in the streets.
We gain nothing by trying to prevent people from doing legal or constitutional things.
Let them do it, unless they are violent or violate laws. Remember, we might want to do the same one day.
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)As frustrating as it is, everything that Trump and his minions have been doing has been perfectly legal and within their rights. We WANT people to use the courts and statutes to address their issues. Yes, they are getting on everyone's nerves with their endless lawsuits, but so far, they are following the law. And doing what they're doing isn't insurrection or sedition or unconstitutional.That's what they're supposed to do if they're trying to change the results.
The results won't change, but I'm not going to get worked up about their using legal means to try to get what they want.
Turin_C3PO
(16,385 posts)what theyre doing is legal. However, I would say that their antics are very damaging to democracy long term. Theyre setting a precedent for the opposing Party to challenge the outcome in all future elections. And its possible that some day in the future, if and when the House and Senate are dominated by crazies, that a legitimate result will be overturned. Even though it would be completely legal, Id still call it election theft.
Thekaspervote
(35,820 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)those they think are their base.
dlk
(13,247 posts)He lost the election and doesnt get a do over. There has been far too much media indulgence of this petulant child. Whether its caused by privilege or cynical calculation doesnt matter. Its continuation is causing deep and lasting damage to our democracy. The time to cease is long overdue.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)until Biden moves into the White House.
dlk
(13,247 posts)Trump & so many Republicans seem to have to emotional maturity of a three year old.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)where we live. Focus on that. Do that. I promise you that you can do nothing except in your own state and districts. Act there.
bdamomma
(69,532 posts)Your post calms my nerves, thank you for that. I just want this to be over, and him gone and to be held accountable.
We got other serious things to think about esp. this virus, and all those who died who didn't need too.
Happy New Year!
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Traildogbob
(13,018 posts)Thats the way to start this year all positive, no more wasted days of trump what ifs. I like the way you talk boy. (Carl, 1996)
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)mudstump
(353 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)He will avoid that.
Firestorm49
(4,548 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)The "but what if?!" handwringing is really tiresome.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)It's always there, in one form or another.
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)It's been their since before the election. We were warned that Trump was going to steal it, he was going to rig the voting machines, the courts were going to side with him, the state officials were going to fix the results, etc. None of that has happened. But they still are setting their hair on fire.
skip fox
(19,502 posts)I'm retired, so time is accorded a different valance in my life.
But I'm also a cardiac patient having suffered several occasions of the heart (2 attacks, one 4-way by pass), and though this last several years have not threatened my life, they have made what time I have less productive and enjoyable.
And I'm a writer so I see Trump scheming and wonder what he might be planning. I don't want to waste your time with more of this but what if he could argue that House votes on the objection should be by state delegation, not total members?
No matter how unlikely the argument, we should be prepared for it.
(I'm going back to writing and no wasting time and health . . . for awhile.)
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Nor does the Constitution. January 6 is for tallying the EC votes. Objections will be handled according to the rules, which can only be changed with the consent of both houses. That consent will not be given by the House of Representatives, under any circumstances.
Majorities matter. They matter a great deal. No objections to slates of electors will be upheld. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris will be confirmed as our President and VP. Nothing will stop that.
What Trump things is irrelevant at this point. What he tries will also be irrelevant. Congress has this ball now, and will do what it has always done - confirm the EC votes. Even some GOP Senators will vote with Democrats should push come to shove.
Fiendish Thingy
(23,240 posts)You fear Trump could force a contingent election where house delegations choose the president- do you even know how that is triggered?
All 50 states have governor appointed and certified slates of electors; on January 6, it becomes an internal congressional process, beyond the jurisdiction of any court in the land. There are no supposedly legitimate alternate slates of electors appointed by state legislatures, only self-appointed alternates in sham events.
A contingent election occurs only if no candidate obtains a majority of the appointed electors. Since all 50 governors have appointed and certified their states electors, in compliance with state and federal laws, there will be no contingent election.
Armed with this knowledge, Any worry or anxiety on your part about a contingent election at this point is strictly recreational, and serves no purpose.
Edit:
Rereading your post, I see that you are worried that Trump will somehow force the house vote on objections to be done by state delegations; this is even further removed from reality, as the law clearly states how objections are to be handled, and, as I said before, internal congressional procedures are immune from judicial interference. Considering Trump has lost 60+ court cases, why do you think he would prevail on a theory not even Lin Wood is pursuing?
You need to get a new hobby.
obamanut2012
(29,369 posts)I am not being snarky saying that, nor when I say this: you need to stop. Both for yourself and for other posters who, like you, do not understand the minutiae of Federal and Constitutional law and process.
What you are asking literally cannot happen.
housecat
(3,138 posts)that without the full force of the government behind him, without powerful people to do his bidding, without endless money to steal, he is impotent. His stupid base is/was only held together by him, and they too will unravel. I hope.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Whatever can you mean?
DemoTex
(26,364 posts)Trump is but a walking shadow, a poor player,
That struts and frets his hour upon the stage,
And then is heard no more. His is a tale
Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury,
Signifying nothing.
Apologies to William Shakespeare (Macbeth)
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)GoneOffShore
(18,021 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)PatrickforO
(15,426 posts)I agree with you.
But never, ever, in my 62 years of life, have I seen someone as utterly disgraceful as Donald Trump.
I am not, however, embarassed for him. I do not feel bad for him. He is a monster who belongs in a federal prison cell for the rest of his life, as do his children and his son-in-law, traitors all. As much of a bleeding heart as I am, I am NOT inclined to forgive these people, or the ones in Congress who enabled them, nor am I inclined to forgive his die-hard white supremacist supporters.
These people are guilty of so many things it isn't even funny, and there need to be some investigations and trials. Biden can stay aloof, as he has signalled he will, but if the DOJ and IRS are doing their jobs independently of Biden, which is how it should be, then Biden CAN stay aloof and let the wheels of justice grind Trump and his treasonous ilk into orange powder.
And then the FBI needs to continue investigating these domestic terrorists, these Boogaloos, Proud Boys, Three Percenters and the other hate-filled pieces of human excrement.
In short, Mineral, I am disgusted that this republic could ever have come to this. And sad. This outgoing administration doesn't even have a plan to distribut the vaccine efficiently - they are down, what? Six million shots away from today's goal.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)We all hope he will take a fruitful one with regard to what you said.
essme
(1,207 posts)Sometimes the conspiracy theories get to me; and my mind wanders off into that, "what if...." wasteland.
Thank you for this.
jmowreader
(53,194 posts)...that the GOP leaders in the House and Senate will sit on their dissident members. Threats of being kept off the choice committees would work in most cases. McConnell and McCarthy know Trump lost. They know there's no legal way to keep him in the White House. And refusing to work with Biden or to accept his victory will just make the GOP caucuses look bad.
groundloop
(13,849 posts)Thankfully Biden won this election by a wide margin in all the key states, and as you say there's nothing they can do to change that fact.
But what will happen down the road if there's a very narrow victory? GOPers and the radical right are now out of the closet as far as being emboldened to take illegal and unethical steps to overturn an election. It's not inconceivable that we could see the perfect storm of a close election, some rat-fuckery from Roger Stone or one of his disciples, and a sympathetic judge.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Volunteer with your local Democratic Party organization and begin doing useful work with it. You will be surprised at how quickly you move into some position involved with leadership. If you are ready to work and are willing, you will find plenty to do.
In the end, individuals can do very little on their own when it comes to politics. Your voice is unlikely to be heard if you act alone. However, if you become part of legitimate political organizations and work hard, you can become a leader at some level. Over time, you can rise to higher levels of leadership.
In the process, you will learn more about politics and how things work. As you do, you will find additional opportunities to help make things happen.
One thing I can tell you is that simply participating in discussion areas like DU will not help avoid the things you fear. DU is a great place to share ideas and discuss things, but it has very little, if anything, to do with actual politics. That is why getting involved with actual political organization in your local area is so important.
Do that, and you will have a voice and far more influence that you can ever have posting on the Internet.
Response to groundloop (Reply #52)
MineralMan This message was self-deleted by its author.
The Animator
(1,140 posts)Indictments... Tons upon tons of Indictments.
Raining down upon Trump and his family like the deluge from the fucking bible...
I want justice for everyone hes harmed the last four years.
I want retribution, and vengance.
ancianita
(43,307 posts)If we don't already, we have to see Jan 6 for the third grade sore loser drama that even the loser will have to drop. We need to get ahead of all Republican drama in such a way that they can't keep up with our getting things done.
We need to hold our focus on the Future and then get a lot done as fast as we can -- harden up enforcement structures of law, reform the judiciary, keep corporate money out of politics, tax the .01%, end subsidies to Big Fossil, establish permanent Voting Rights Law, rebuild a cabinet of expertise and action, establish permanent legal structures to maintain good public health.
Whatever hundred other things we need to worry about, our new President's got this.
Thanks for your pragmatic insight.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Kitchari
(2,951 posts)CaptainTruth
(8,202 posts)I've been conferring with a few legal folks & I'm told that if Republicans controlled the House & Senate they could throw out enough electoral votes to steal the election for Trump & it would be totally Constitutional & legal.
Today's GOP no longer cares about democracy, the people, or our country, & I don't see any signs that will change. We lucked out this time because we control the House, but next time we might not be so lucky. This makes it imperative that we never allow the GOP to control both chambers of Congress.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)So, that has nothing to do with this election. Luck is not involved, however, with who has control of Congress. Instead, voters decide those issues, in their own states and districts.
It's not luck. It's hard work that gets people elected. Do some of that where you live, and you can worry less.
marie999
(3,334 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)So, I don't know what Pence is thinking. There's a lot of "information" out there that is little more than guesswork. That's why I proposed two possible outcomes. I don't know whether Pence would pardon Trump. I suspect he would, though. That is not information. It's just a speculation, just as it the information that Pence does not want to pardon Trump.
We do not know. Perhaps Trump knows. Perhaps Pence doesn't even know what he would do.
This thread is about January 20. It's not about whether Trump is pardoned.
Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)But who in the Republican elite would want to be president for a week and forever have to bear the stigma of granting tRump a pardon. I don't see Pence cooperating on a pardon, even though he is a toady.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)I don't do "vibes."
Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)Pence may have a different reading of politics than you or I do.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Pence is a traditional politician, and not a very effective one, at that. He excites nobody. He has no heft at all.
Populists sometimes win elections. We often regret electing them. Pence is not in any way inspiring. He has no characteristics that might carry him to a Presidency. None at all.
He is eminently forgettable, so I think we should just forget him. I'm sure we will.
oldsoftie
(13,538 posts)And how some of his supporters will view that if it happens.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)So, I expect he will be there on January 6, too.
oldsoftie
(13,538 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=2652540
More in the post.
Bettie
(19,704 posts)him being dragged out kicking and screaming...
BradBo
(1,012 posts)I think he will NOT go gently into that good night, Dylan Thomas.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)DFW
(60,186 posts)I am worried that this is a Republican dress-rehearsal for denying Democratic winners down the line from taking office. A majority of Congress knows what a nut case Trump is, and wants him gone. Democrats want him gone because he is awful, and Republicans want him gone because he is damaging their brand except in areas with nut case concentration. Obviously there is little hope in the short term or medium term for a state that prefers Tommy Tuberville to Doug Jones.
But at some point, there will be a malevolent but intelligent Republican (Cheney, e.g.) who may lose a close election, but have the votes in Congress to reverse a five point loss, if played right. This theater being played out this year isn't being put on by people who think they can prevent Biden from becoming president. It is being played out by people who are experimenting with ways of preventing someone like him from ever becoming president AGAIN.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Every election to Congress is a local election, in a state or district. You can help right where you live. You may already be doing so. What will not help prevent that is just writing on DU or other websites. It simply won't.
DFW
(60,186 posts)Düsseldorf was never a place whose votes were ever given great attention in any US Congressional district.
I contribute money, write for, and give views and suggestions to Senators, Congresspeople, and member of the press and think tanks with whom I am either acquainted or outright friends with back in the States. Two friends who were not in Congress as of Election Day either now are (as of one month ago) or will be (as of Monday) U.S. Senators, and I will be keeping in contact with them. Another is currently chairman of the House Judiciary Committee. My own Rep. back in Dallas (TX-32) talks a good talk, but is less than responsive except when raising money. Takes all kinds, I guess. At least he votes the right way, and Norm (Ornstein) at AEI liked him, which is no mean feat.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)I did not know that.
DFW
(60,186 posts)Been here for quite a long time. Both job related (station chief for Europe for my outfit) and a German wife who is not willing to move to North America. In normal times, I'm in a different country every day for work. Now, only once or twice a week, and the rest farming out stuff to the Europeans that work for me/us. I'm in touch with both Amerika Haus and the Democrats Abroad, but that's about all I have time for here, and even then I miss more than half of their shindigs due to to schedule conflicts. On occasion, I do guest spots on German media as a German-speaking representative of the Democrats Abroad, but that is really rare these days, as work takes precedence.
marie999
(3,334 posts)DFW
(60,186 posts)....is rather slim. Volcanoes United never made it to the Supreme Court.
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)in our own states and districts to make sure that Democrats win in future elections. Donald J. Trump ceases being President on January 20. Ignore him and focus on what is coming in one year, two years, and four years.
Paying any further attention to Donald Trump is a complete waste of time. Let the AGs in NY and other states deal with that asshole.
Focus on local politics. Support Democrats for every elected office. That is how we win.
BobTheSubgenius
(12,217 posts)Even though the FF make mistakes, mostly of the 'not being prescient' variety, it is a very well-thought out structure they created. I find impossible to imagine that they created statutes that allow "I don't want to." as a valid reason for throwing a peaceful transfer of power out the window.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)We will move on and try to do better than we did with Trump. I am hopeful that we can.
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)And that's the whole point.
Folk are acting as if the system is a self-executing being that is impervious to weaknesses and can protect itself from abuse. But the system is only as strong as we are because the system IS us and it works only when we make it work. If the system fails that will be because we let it fail.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)MineralMan
(151,269 posts)retread
(3,922 posts)Skittles
(171,717 posts)it's what they are doing to undermine belief in American institutions, in our democracy
hamsterjill
(17,577 posts)Plus all of the idiots around me, at least in Texas, wanting to start something so they can show off their gun collection.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)The other concerns are longer in range and will continue.
Skittles
(171,717 posts)it is MUCH more than that
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Skittles
(171,717 posts)IT ISN'T
DONE HERE
betsuni
(29,078 posts)EndlessWire
(8,103 posts)the riot he is encouraging. While I am encouraged by the court results, Pence's reaction (although that could just be leaving himself a way out,) and the fact that several Repubs have spoken against such a tactic, Trump is clearly positioning himself to steal the Presidency.
He might cause the riot, or arranged the riot, and then claim that he can't get out of DC despite the ability to land on the WH lawn. He might declare Martial Law and call in other actors to implement it. He might fire all the Joint Chiefs.
But, I think that all the Governors of Dem states could muster up enough recruits to fight the puny Blackwater and Proud Boy forces. I am not worried about January 6th. We could live right through to January 20th. We'd spend our time planning.
I am eager for a victory on January 5th. That will be the day we take the Senate. We can look forward to more hokum with the vote tabulation, but we can put up with that, too.
We have just as much resolve as we did in November. We will fight, and Trump will go.
I disagree that Trump can be humiliated. He is not normal. He will not concede, and he will not leave Washington early. Leaving Washington on the Helicopter will be like walking the plank for him, but he'll still be thinking up crap to do, and lawsuits to file.
Joe and Kamala need to have the WH deep cleaned and examined for bugs. So, I wish they would take their oaths in a secret location. Just in case.
kentuck
(115,407 posts)...and he can continue his con.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)He will not be President any longer. That is crucial to his popularity, since it gave him a platform and actual power. He will not have the second after January 20. He lost the election because enough people rejected him as President. Over 7 million gave Joe Biden the majority.
Trump will soon be in a vacuum, more or less.
crickets
(26,168 posts)I have been taking breaks from the news during the holidays because a lonely Christmas was enough to handle; the news cycle stress was too much. Probably going to continue to only glance through the headlines until Biden's term is underway. At that point, the nature of trump's headlines should change if NY has anything to say about it. My hope is that Letitia James has all sorts of surprises in store. Meanwhile, the new administration will be getting to work fixing the mess trump has left behind. It's going to take time, it's going to be a hard slog, but eventually things will turn around.
The country is a bit tattered, but still in one piece. It's gonna be okay.
MineralMan
(151,269 posts)Thanks!