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berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:25 PM Jan 2021

Seth Abramson Provides an Excellent Criminal Analysis of the Full Tape

I’m linking the thread-unroll of this tweet:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345844414250442753.html

Essentially, Trump exposes his own knowledge of his loss making a legal defense based on the belief he won impossible. Additionally, he makes direct threats and CoS Mark Meadows follows through in one place.

1/ In the full audio, Trump claims—insufficient to overcome the "willful ignorance" doctrine, of course—that "crowd size" proves he won Georgia. He also falsely claims "a couple hundred thousand forged signatures" in Fulton County, falsely claiming the county was never "checked."

2/ He falsely claims "at least 250,000 to 300,000" ballots were "dropped mysteriously into the rolls" in Fulton County, which" (he falsely insists) "hasn't been checked." Raffensperger *unambiguously* tells him all of this is wrong—yet again piercing any Trump defense to a crime.

3/ He confirms he knows the "margin" is 11,779—he cites the specific number multiple times—so when he later says "I want to find 11,780 votes" he's clearly indicating that his concern is to win the election, not election security. And he wants Raffensperger to "find" those votes.

4/ He says to Raffensperger, "you don't need [to 'find'] much of a number [of new votes]" because "in theory the number I lost by was 11,779." This is him *explicitly* directing—later trying to coerce—a government official into finding exactly the number of votes he needs to win.

5/ Much of this is nonsense—almost incomprehensible. He's complaining about a woman in Georgia named "Ruby" who he says is a "scammer and hustler," reviving the "water main break canard" whose usage by the GOP has been repeatedly debunked. He's monologuing like a cartoon villain.

6/ Everything Trump raises was litigated in state/federal court. He's taking cases he lost in their proper fora and trying to resurrect them with a man he feels he has power over and aims to threaten. That he tried the cases in court means—legally—he knows it's where they belong.

7/ Meadows is clear that he's trying to subvert the courts—asking Raffensperger to find a "less litigious" way to resolve Trump's complaints re: the Georgia results. It's an acknowledgment by Meadows that he wants an extrajudicial agreement between GOP executive-branch officials.

8/ At one point Trump says to Raffensperger, "What's the difference between winning the election by 2 votes and winning it by half a million votes?" This is in the context of him pleading with (later trying to coerce) Raffensperger into finding *just enough votes* for him to win.

9/ Trump's criminal intent in the #TrumpTapes is clear, as is the fact that (under the law's objective "reasonable person" standard) he had sufficient information to *know* with "high likelihood" that his claims that the election results in Georgia were somehow wrong was *false*.

10/ Trump claims to Raffensperger, in the #TrumpTapes, that from his "rallies" *alone* he knows that it's "not possible" he lost Georgia. No state/federal prosecutor would deem such statements to survive the "willful ignorance" doctrine—they fail the "reasonable person" standard.

11/ The call isn't the only evidence of criminality—the context surrounding it is likewise key. It's unthinkable that Trump wasn't told by WH counsel what he heard publicly—calls of this sort may be criminal. Trump seemed to acknowledge it by trying to get ahead of the call leak:



12/ Trump has a history of doing this: believing he can escape criminal liability by making public acts he originally conducted in secret—and very much aimed to *keep* secret. His prior use of the NSC Intelligence Collaboration Environment (NICE) server to hide calls is relevant.

13/ Trump repeatedly emphasizes to Raffensperger on the #TrumpTapes that he is giving the Georgia SoS "exact numbers" that he can use to "recalculate" the results so that Trump wins. He wants this elections official to *take data from the Trump campaign*. That's also legally key.

14/ It's under a third of the way into the call that Raffensperger tells Trump—saying this with all the knowledge and authority of his position as Georgia's chief elections official—that "the data that you have is wrong." Trump can't legally persist beyond that point—but he does.

15/ Trump's *own lawyer* says on the call—in Trump's hearing—that "we" (the Trump campaign) "don't have the records" to establish the exact number of "dead people" the campaign says voted.

This is seconds after Trump tells Raffensperger to *use the campaign's fraudulent data*(!)

16/ Trump confirms that he's heard what his lawyer said by *interrupting her* to reply to her statement that, in fact, the number Trump just gave Raffensperger *wasn't*—as Trump had insisted—an "exact number" that Raffensperger could add to Trump's tally.

This is election fraud.

17/ The #TrumpTapes audiotape only gets legally worse for Trump the more you listen to it. There's very, very little exculpatory evidence here. This tape is terrible—and we need some courageous state and federal prosecutors to make this unambiguous to American news-watchers. Now.

18/ When Georgia's chief elections official tells Trump that he will send the president *confirmed evidence* establishing that Trump's claims are *false*, Trump responds, "I don't care." I'm sorry to any other attorneys out there who may be timid, but there's clear mens rea here.

19/ When Trump's attorney says, "we don't know that" (regarding Trump's claim that there were 18,000 fraudulent ballots), Trump responds to her by saying, "It was 18,000 ballots—and each was run three times." Raffensperger had *just told him* a recount confirmed that was *false*.

20/ So we know Trump had been told the truth by both his own attorney *and* by Georgia's chief elections official, yet persisted in trying to threaten the latter to "recalculate" Georgia's tally, anyway—doing so just enough to change the election results.

This is election fraud.

21/ When Georgia SoS Brad Raffensperger tells Trump that he (Trump) is getting inaccurate information about the election in Georgia from social media, Trump replies, "This isn't social media [that I'm getting this information from], it's *Trump* media."

Yes. He really said that.

22/ Raffensperger tells Trump that Georgia law enforcement *and the FBI* have done forensic work to establish that Trump's data is wrong. Trump says law enforcement is either "dishonest or incompetent" and cites "Trump media." If you think the law says this is okay, you're wrong.

23/ You can't commit a federal crime and say, "Well, I had this *deranged, objectively unreasonable belief* that what I was doing was okay—despite *repeatedly* being told otherwise by the authorities."

Or, rather, you can only claim that via an *insanity defense*. Not otherwise.
24/ And now the threats start:

Trump tells Raffensperger, "It's more illegal for you [Raffensperger] than it is for them [the alleged vote-fraud plotters], because you know what they did, and you're not reporting. You know, that's a criminal offense. You can't let that happen."

25/ Trump has called himself "the nation's chief law enforcement officer." He believes himself to be so. And in this call he warns Raffensperger—"I'm notifying you"—that he's putting himself at "risk" of federal prosecution by Trump's DOJ if he doesn't change the election result.

26/ This call is incredible. I've never heard anything like it. The Ukraine call was so impeachable and criminal I wrote a whole book about it and all the crimes that surrounded it (Proof of Corruption, Macmillan, 2020) but this goes even straighter to the heart of our democracy.



65 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Seth Abramson Provides an Excellent Criminal Analysis of the Full Tape (Original Post) berni_mccoy Jan 2021 OP
Great thread dalton99a Jan 2021 #1
I'm listening to the tape on CNN now malaise Jan 2021 #2
Thank you Malaise, for sacrificing for those of us who can't listen to it. Tommymac Jan 2021 #16
Post removed Post removed Jan 2021 #3
But Biden's AG should prosecute this. triron Jan 2021 #6
Wish I Were Optimistic About Anything Happening sfstaxprep Jan 2021 #11
Are you saying Trumpism wins? Kingofalldems Jan 2021 #13
If no action is taken, probably so. Gore1FL Jan 2021 #20
I certainly believe that. dchill Jan 2021 #27
+1 n/t area51 Jan 2021 #38
Yes. Or appoint a special prosecutor to create any necessary political distance. berni_mccoy Jan 2021 #15
I think you misread the thread. Seth isn't expressing outrage even though it is outrageous berni_mccoy Jan 2021 #9
Yup. I and millions of others agree -/ robsbly 10s of millions. KPN Jan 2021 #34
Watch. There will be naysayers here on DU. I assure you. triron Jan 2021 #4
Here I am GusBob Jan 2021 #52
Good thread. Thanks. 58Sunliner Jan 2021 #5
Go fuck yourself Donald you fat piece of shit Blue Owl Jan 2021 #7
Apparently Timewas Jan 2021 #8
Yes, Seth Is Right, AGAIN, But Laws Don't Apply Here nt sfstaxprep Jan 2021 #12
Kicking to read later. n/t demmiblue Jan 2021 #10
I'm just glad there is a record of this shit. LuvNewcastle Jan 2021 #14
Yeah, it's disgusting and criminal LymphocyteLover Jan 2021 #17
Oh, wow! Aussie105 Jan 2021 #18
Bookmarking. Tommymac Jan 2021 #19
Exactly BigOleDummy Jan 2021 #44
And that is exactly why the Rethugs' behavior gets more outlandish avebury Jan 2021 #50
Agreed BigOleDummy Jan 2021 #56
Thank you so much for posting this! Excellent and informative analysis! Bookmarked! scarletwoman Jan 2021 #21
I can think of a possible defense for Trump here thesquanderer Jan 2021 #22
Trump would never allow that. It would also destroy any future career options berni_mccoy Jan 2021 #25
He's 74 years old and demonstrably demented, and $900,000,000,000 in debt. Grasswire2 Jan 2021 #40
Poor Seth Abramson - he'll be writing another book about Trump! bucolic_frolic Jan 2021 #23
Seth is genius.. I read his thread.. Cha Jan 2021 #63
This nation will see no greater day than the day Trump dies Orrex Jan 2021 #24
I feel ya. I've never hated anything, other than cancer and heart disease, more than tRump. OverBurn Jan 2021 #30
Do They Sell Extenders To Make A Flagpole Twice As Tall? Asking For A Friend. nt smb Jan 2021 #51
My money is on the storyline that he will be ... Whiskeytide Jan 2021 #53
When he dies, his corpse should be dragged through the streets from coast to coast Orrex Jan 2021 #58
This is a very helpful mcar Jan 2021 #26
holiday monkeyman1 Jan 2021 #28
Excellent post berni_mccoy msfiddlestix Jan 2021 #29
KNR Lucinda Jan 2021 #31
K&R n/t Kitchari Jan 2021 #32
This is fucked up on whole 'nother level. sarchasm Jan 2021 #33
Were state election laws broken? Thunderbeast Jan 2021 #35
It's time to start referring to Meadows, Trump's lawyers, and the so-called "Sedition Caucus" as RockRaven Jan 2021 #36
Although I believe Raffensberger referenced the GBI, not the FBI oldsoftie Jan 2021 #37
Georgia AG should announce state charges tomorrow cbdo2007 Jan 2021 #39
k&r Gidney N Cloyd Jan 2021 #41
There is no justice unless tRump is imprisoned! Duppers Jan 2021 #42
Seth Abramson has great analysis. This is spot on as usual. Vivienne235729 Jan 2021 #43
IMPORTANT: There is more to the thread at the link than was posted in the OP. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jan 2021 #45
you're right. more added, disturbing stuff too. Trump says he will 'get access' to the Fulton wiggs Jan 2021 #55
Lock him up! yuiyoshida Jan 2021 #46
K&R Every American should read this analysis. jimmyzvoice Jan 2021 #47
I wonder how many other states got a call like this Diraven Jan 2021 #48
LNR and bookmarking for this important piece. niyad Jan 2021 #49
Monday hope. BradBo Jan 2021 #54
The killing part of all this is Wednesdays Jan 2021 #57
Who knows what other states he may have tried this in? Jillgirl Jan 2021 #65
Quid pro no badboy67 Jan 2021 #59
I was pretty gobsmacked by the recording itself. BobTheSubgenius Jan 2021 #60
Thank you for saying what I think, only better written cp Jan 2021 #62
Good analysis! burrowowl Jan 2021 #61
What exactly was mant by "Trump media"? Poiuyt Jan 2021 #64

Tommymac

(7,334 posts)
16. Thank you Malaise, for sacrificing for those of us who can't listen to it.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 08:54 PM
Jan 2021

I'll be looking out for updates.

I just can't listen to the hour long version.

I'd be sticking sharp objects into my ear canals.

Response to berni_mccoy (Original post)

 

triron

(22,240 posts)
6. But Biden's AG should prosecute this.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:37 PM
Jan 2021

If he or she doesn't it sets a precedent for enormous criminality by an American president.

 

sfstaxprep

(10,599 posts)
11. Wish I Were Optimistic About Anything Happening
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:46 PM
Jan 2021

I think Biden is going to try and unite the country. It Won't work, but that's what he will push for.

We'll see how independent the AG is, and whether they still pursue something.

I seriously doubt it. And you are correct, it WILL set a precedent for criminality. That's what America has become.

Gore1FL

(22,951 posts)
20. If no action is taken, probably so.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:02 PM
Jan 2021

If Nixon hadn't been let off the hook, and Reagan and G.H.W. Bush didn't get let off the hook, and if G.W Bush hadn't gotten let off the hook, maybe there wouldn't be a Trump to worry about.

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
9. I think you misread the thread. Seth isn't expressing outrage even though it is outrageous
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:41 PM
Jan 2021

He’s doing a criminal analysis of what’s said in the tape. He did the same on the Ukraine issue. He was right then and he’s right now. Ultimately a near term accountability lies in the hands of Congress and I agree there is little possibility of that.

Long term accountability will lie in a special prosecutor appointed by Biden’s AG.

GusBob

(8,249 posts)
52. Here I am
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 11:16 AM
Jan 2021

Good morning

Just my opinion but, I don't think anything legally will happen from this phone call

Politically, not much either. If the election in GA goes GOP, DT will brag his phone call was the reason. If the GOP fails DT will say I told ya so

Honest question because I don't know who Seth is: has anything he has posted on twitter about the misdeeds of DT ever come to any meaningful legal outcome?

Timewas

(2,739 posts)
8. Apparently
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:40 PM
Jan 2021

He is allowed to do as he pleases with total disregard of any laws, nothing will become of this. The big boys play by different rules than us lowly peons.

LuvNewcastle

(17,821 posts)
14. I'm just glad there is a record of this shit.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 07:53 PM
Jan 2021

I know probably nothing will come of it, but I want to have this around as an example of the kind of slimeball we had for four years. And all these assholes who say that Trumpy has been mistreated because he loves America can suck my ass.

Aussie105

(7,921 posts)
18. Oh, wow!
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 08:55 PM
Jan 2021

A great read!

Trump is basically saying . . . I refute your reality and substitute my own. Make it be so, or suffer my wrath!

But nobody can do that. Nor would they want to. Too many things would be sacrificed in the process.

It's the patriotic duty of every citizen to oppose this insane person. And hit him over the head with consequences.

Tommymac

(7,334 posts)
19. Bookmarking.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 08:58 PM
Jan 2021

If the Dems don't prosecute, This Democracy is dead.

Simple as that.

No two party reach across the aisle bullshit here. No being Ms. Nice and letting him slide.

No but but but the political winds or climate or the public polls or lets all sing kumbaya and cry together.

He. MUST. BE. PROSECUTED. NOW.

BigOleDummy

(2,274 posts)
44. Exactly
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 09:04 AM
Jan 2021

I agree with you 100% and I'm sure we're not the only ones. I'm so afraid that in an (imo impossible) bid to "unite" the country we will lose it. Criminality MUST have consequences or the rule of law is a joke. If we toss that out the window we are doomed.

avebury

(11,197 posts)
50. And that is exactly why the Rethugs' behavior gets more outlandish
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 10:56 AM
Jan 2021

as time goes by. There has never been consequences for their actions. It makes me so pissed off at the Democrats and their "we need to unite" crap. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.

Many people vote Democrat when we get into a really bad situation like what has happened with a Trump Presidency. But make no mistake about it, it is never with the belief that the Democrats will actually rein in the Rethugs and hold them criminally responsible for their actions. You expect the Rethugs to act the way they are but there is no excuse for the Democrats to continually let them get away with it. That is when you start to see voters walk away from Democrats. It is easy to see why some people truly feel like there is not difference between the two parties because all the Democrats end of doing is to slowing down the Rethug march towards permanently taking control of this country.

I vote Democrat because the consequences of not doing that is catastrophic. At the same time I have no faith in their ability to take control and to smack down the Rethugs and really turn this country around. They have let the Rethugs get away with it for way too long and like we may very well have passed the point of no return. We expect more from the Democrats and we just don't get it.

thesquanderer

(13,006 posts)
22. I can think of a possible defense for Trump here
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:09 PM
Jan 2021

specifically in regard to, the statement:

You can't commit a federal crime and say, "Well, I had this *deranged, objectively unreasonable belief* that what I was doing was okay—despite *repeatedly* being told otherwise by the authorities."


It looks to me like his best possible defenses are diminshed capacity. The same things that can prevent someone from getting the death penalty. i.e. intellectual disability (essentially his defense attorneys would claim that he's a moron) or mental illness (inability to tell right from wrong, understand the consequences of his actions, etc.).

And these claims are would not be unbelievable.
 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
25. Trump would never allow that. It would also destroy any future career options
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:12 PM
Jan 2021

You can’t be the head of any company if you have these limitations.

There are limits to those defenses and he contradicts himself in several places where he knowingly exposes himself in a way that would prevent those defenses.

Grasswire2

(13,849 posts)
40. He's 74 years old and demonstrably demented, and $900,000,000,000 in debt.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 11:52 PM
Jan 2021

What possible future career options are there?

Orrex

(67,111 posts)
24. This nation will see no greater day than the day Trump dies
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:11 PM
Jan 2021

Whether it's from COVID or a massive stroke or falling into and drowning in an industrial vat of liquefied pig shit, it doesn't matter.

No event in the nation's history will be better for the country than his last breath.

Ratifying the Constitution? Pretty good.
Appomattox? A job well done.
V-Day? Congratulations to all involved.

But the day Trump dies? Unprecedented in its glory and magnificence.



I abhor the initiation of violence, but I'll have no objection if nature takes its course with this obese and pampered septuagenarian.

OverBurn

(1,292 posts)
30. I feel ya. I've never hated anything, other than cancer and heart disease, more than tRump.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:33 PM
Jan 2021

Whiskeytide

(4,656 posts)
53. My money is on the storyline that he will be ...
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 11:42 AM
Jan 2021

... the new Elvis. ТяцмрWorld will never accept his death. He will be working undercover at a gas station in West Virginia for decades getting the goods on the liberal child porn/blood pizza operations run by Soros, Obama and Hillary from their NY sewer lair. Just watch.

mcar

(46,058 posts)
26. This is a very helpful
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:14 PM
Jan 2021

I've read a few other Tweet threads but this one seems quite clear on it all. Thanks.

 

monkeyman1

(5,109 posts)
28. holiday
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:28 PM
Jan 2021

holiday on January 20th at 12 o pm !! declare that it is 2nd V-DAY FOR ALL GOVERMENT-MILITARY- CITIZENS OF U.S. ARE DECLARED FREE OF THE TRUMP TRIBE !!!! he will become individual # 1/

msfiddlestix

(8,178 posts)
29. Excellent post berni_mccoy
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:29 PM
Jan 2021

This has to be saved for ongoing and future reference. I know it will be floating on the front page for the moment but rest assured there are certain events so catastrophic about to unfold in the next few days that will suck all the air of this particular event.

I heard the first edited version of the call when posted on Wapo this morning. I don't think I need to torture myself by listening to the entire call at this time, thanks to this breakdown.

sarchasm

(1,310 posts)
33. This is fucked up on whole 'nother level.
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 09:41 PM
Jan 2021

This guy is a massive traitor, along with his sycophants in congress.

Thunderbeast

(3,819 posts)
35. Were state election laws broken?
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 10:05 PM
Jan 2021

I assume this kind of fraud and coercion is unlawful under Georgia statutes. Biden and the new AG may not need to prosecute. No pardons apply.... legal or not.

RockRaven

(19,375 posts)
36. It's time to start referring to Meadows, Trump's lawyers, and the so-called "Sedition Caucus" as
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 10:08 PM
Jan 2021

"Trump's criminal co-conspirators"

 

oldsoftie

(13,538 posts)
37. Although I believe Raffensberger referenced the GBI, not the FBI
Sun Jan 3, 2021, 10:13 PM
Jan 2021

I actually listened to that entire 1:02 shitshow
If I was Raffensberger i couldnt have been as polite

wiggs

(8,812 posts)
55. you're right. more added, disturbing stuff too. Trump says he will 'get access' to the Fulton
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 12:25 PM
Jan 2021

records...without saying how. Several possibilities including hacking by outside agents (we know they can), using the call and subsequent lawsuits as a crowbar to subpoena the records, going around SOS and AG to pressure underlings to release them, etc..

I've always wondered why Russia gained access to voter registration rolls and assumed it wasn't to just have fun. Alteration of names, signatures...planting of evidence to be 'found' later...who knows.

He and Perdue sure seem focused on signature comparison.

Diraven

(1,898 posts)
48. I wonder how many other states got a call like this
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 10:15 AM
Jan 2021

Even if this ploy worked for Georgia it wouldn't be enough to flip the election.

Wednesdays

(22,603 posts)
57. The killing part of all this is
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 12:44 PM
Jan 2021

that even if Rump were to turn all of Georgia's electoral votes, he still loses.

Jillgirl

(68 posts)
65. Who knows what other states he may have tried this in?
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 09:18 AM
Jan 2021

There may be other states' SOSs that have not come forward.

BobTheSubgenius

(12,217 posts)
60. I was pretty gobsmacked by the recording itself.
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 03:09 PM
Jan 2021

It was one of the most blatant instances of abuse of power to coerce a public servant doing his jobs that I've ever known of, in a supposedly "advanced" and "civilized" democracy. It barely rose above banana republic dictator.

Then, incredibly, it looked a WHOLE LOT worse when it was annotated by someone who understands this milieu. Someone, "the worst ever" got substantially worse.

cp

(8,295 posts)
62. Thank you for saying what I think, only better written
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 04:49 PM
Jan 2021

I listened to the recording in horror. This clarifies that it's even worse.

Poiuyt

(18,272 posts)
64. What exactly was mant by "Trump media"?
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 10:45 PM
Jan 2021

I assume trump was quoting Breitbart or some site like that.

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