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Polybius

(15,398 posts)
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 03:43 PM Jan 2021

So who's gonna win today's GA Senate races, and by how much? Predictions?

I'm sure we won't know who wins until later in the week, but who do you think actually wins? Which race will be closer?

I predict that Kelly Loeffler loses by one point to Raphael Warnock. Her negative ratings are higher than David Perdue, and I believe he wins his race against Jon Ossoff, by about 2 points or less.

Hope I'm wrong, but I see a split ticket. GA still leans Red. I know they voted for Biden, but I just don't see them going for a Democratic Hat Trick.

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So who's gonna win today's GA Senate races, and by how much? Predictions? (Original Post) Polybius Jan 2021 OP
At the risk of sounding too enthusiastic, I'll go ahead and say both will comfortably win their CTyankee Jan 2021 #1
My bet is on both Warnock and Ossoff by 1-2% Vivienne235729 Jan 2021 #2
I'm optimistic. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #3
I hope you're right Polybius Jan 2021 #4
Our guys win by 11,780 votes soothsayer Jan 2021 #5
That would literally be the greatest thing ever. NT Bleacher Creature Jan 2021 #7
+1 appalachiablue Jan 2021 #19
I really don't see a split victory Cuthbert Allgood Jan 2021 #6
I am hopeful both Democrats win...those who need money and are hurting know that they will get Demsrule86 Jan 2021 #8
Unless a Gop filibuster be broken, don't hold your breath for $2000 beachbumbob Jan 2021 #11
More than 10 GOP Senators have already come out in favor of the $2,000 Polybius Jan 2021 #14
Not gonna happen, they came out in support knowing it's not happening. beachbumbob Jan 2021 #16
not so sure about that, winning both and showing GA as gone blue will rattle them Amishman Jan 2021 #21
I guess you miss the obstruction by GOP during most of Obama's terms?? beachbumbob Jan 2021 #24
The filibuster would be broken...and GOP Senators don't vote for it a their peril. We have Senate Demsrule86 Jan 2021 #17
We won't know today beachbumbob Jan 2021 #9
I know Polybius Jan 2021 #10
I think the bad guys win. BlueTsunami2018 Jan 2021 #12
Seriously, I think it could go either way. Demsrule86 Jan 2021 #18
Same here. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #22
This message was self-deleted by its author David__77 Jan 2021 #13
We saw near 5 million votes cast in Nov, expects about 4 million this beachbumbob Jan 2021 #15
I honestly don't know. It could go either way TBH Proud Liberal Dem Jan 2021 #20
I'm sadly not optimistic and think we lose moonscape Jan 2021 #23
I stand by my prediction Polybius Jan 2021 #25

CTyankee

(63,912 posts)
1. At the risk of sounding too enthusiastic, I'll go ahead and say both will comfortably win their
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 03:46 PM
Jan 2021

races. I gotta believe we're better than that "other."

Polybius

(15,398 posts)
4. I hope you're right
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 03:49 PM
Jan 2021

But if they win by half a percentage point, we might not know until next week (which is fine by me).

Demsrule86

(68,556 posts)
8. I am hopeful both Democrats win...those who need money and are hurting know that they will get
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 04:24 PM
Jan 2021

the 2000 if the Democrats win.

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
21. not so sure about that, winning both and showing GA as gone blue will rattle them
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 05:06 PM
Jan 2021

I'm thinking a bunch of them will be rather wary of saying No on popular issues

Demsrule86

(68,556 posts)
17. The filibuster would be broken...and GOP Senators don't vote for it a their peril. We have Senate
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 04:54 PM
Jan 2021

races coming up in 2022 that favor us...and don't take Manchin's words to heart...he says things like that to help us often. I would bet if Biden says in order to save health care and the economy the filibuster must go, it would go. Also I would bet there is a way to get the money out in reconciliation which bypasses the filibuster.

BlueTsunami2018

(3,491 posts)
12. I think the bad guys win.
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 04:30 PM
Jan 2021

I would be genuinely shocked if they don’t. Tens of thousands of mail in votes won’t get there in time and they’ve limited drop boxes and early voting days.

They can cry all they want about rigged elections but they’re the ones rigging them. It’s disgusting.

Response to Polybius (Original post)

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
15. We saw near 5 million votes cast in Nov, expects about 4 million this
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 04:34 PM
Jan 2021

runoff. Like what are the 1 million not voting thinking? So the winner will be the party that has the lesser drop in voting.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
20. I honestly don't know. It could go either way TBH
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 05:03 PM
Jan 2021

The insider training scandals and the ongoing mess surrounding Trump and his attempts to overturn Georgia's Presidential election results (and Perdue and Loeffler supporting those efforts) could spill over against them. The Republicans have made some nasty attacks against Warnock, but he seems like he's still a strong candidate. I think that Loeffler is the more vulnerable candidate of the pair, since she was appointed. But Ossoff seems to be stronger in this race against Perdue than he was in his previous race for a House Seat and embarrassed him into avoiding further debates. The early voting results, esp among African-Americans so far seem promising. I would feel better about our Senate chances if we just had to win one race instead of both. Keeping my fingers crossed.

moonscape

(4,673 posts)
23. I'm sadly not optimistic and think we lose
Tue Jan 5, 2021, 05:27 PM
Jan 2021

both races. While the gotv effort has been amazing, I think the other side shows up also and voter suppression remains a factor. Biden’s win was not by a lot, and if not against Trump he likely wouldn’t have pulled it out. Conservatives against Trump still want divided govt.

So hope I’m wrong.

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