Prediction. Nothing happens on 1/20/21

[OAITW r.2.0]

Because too many have sobered up.

[Initech]

1. Or they got arrested and are awaiting stiff sentences.

Hope that the FBI and DOJ throw the book at these cretins!

[TheBlackAdder]

16. They'll probably pick another day, like Jan 18th (MLK day) or March 5th (Boston Massacre).

.

Like bin Laden and other terrorists--they like themselves a good holiday or anniversary.

.

[C_U_L8R]

2. A magnificent President takes office

[StarfishSaver]

3. And 25k National Guard, thousands of police, and the military are saying, "You sure about that?"

[Nay]

23. Exactly. Once shit gets real, as in "real bullets," even these delusional assholes

get a dim feeling that maybe storming the Capitol is a bad idea.

That's why I and others have been begging for demonstrations of REALITY, not useless talk, to wake them up a bit.

[Hoyt]

4. I think and hope so. Most white wingers know trump lost by now. And seeing

their rube buddies arrested, losing their jobs, etc., has an impact. Plus, 20K troops in Washington is a big deterrent.

[lagomorph777]

26. Polls do not support that. Most pukes still buy the lie.

[Hoyt]

28. Question is if they are going to arm up and drive to Washington. I doubt it. There are still Dems

who believe trump did not win in 2016 or the election was stolen.

In fact there were protests after he was elected, charges of Russian changing votes, etc.


Does this sound/look familiar?



https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/11/us/oregon-protest-riot/index.html


"Anti-Trump protests, some violent, erupt for 3rd night nationwide"

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2016/11/11/anti-trump-protesters-pepper-sprayed-demonstrations-erupt-across-us/93633154/



‘Not Our President’: Protests Spread After Donald Trump’s Election"

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/us/trump-election-protests.html


Tens of Thousands Protest Trump Election Victory, 124 Arrested. Protests erupted in major cities from coast to coast.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/thousands-us-protest-president-elect-donald-trump/story?id=43427653





Personally, I believe the 2016 protests were justified and weren't as violent, but I guess it depends on what side you are on.

[lagomorph777]

31. Unlike 2020, there actually is ample evidence of Russian and FBI interference in 2016.

The protests were entirely justified, and almost entirely peaceful.

[Hoyt]

32. Like I said, there are still folks who don't believe trump won. Sure Comey was an issue.

But so were Democrats who criticized Obama on things like trade right up to the election, not to mention Democrats who sat home rather than vote for Clinton or sat at home out of complacency.

If troops had been on the steps of the Capitol last week, white wingers would be saying those protests weren't violent either.

Fact is, there were protests in 2016 by people who just couldn't believe their candidate lost, same as 2020. Yeah, if we are comparing protests, I prefer the Democrats too.

[ProfessorGAC]

35. While True...

...saying that as an anonymous poll respondent & taking personal action over it are light years apart.
And, I think it appropriate to revisit that question in 6 months.
Last, the poll with the 90+% number of Rs still supporting PINO is a gross outlier.
Pew shows 64%, Ipsos shows 71%, Gallup shows 72.
And those polls were all of people who voted for trump.
Three different professional pollsters have the number at 72 or less, and another is 96 or so? Highly unlikely to be accurate.

[Quixote1818]

5. In their bubbles they thought the cops and military were on their side. They now know they aren't

That makes a HUGE difference in their cocky attitudes.

[Midnight Writer]

6. I have to say, I'm surprised we didn't see any major Statehouse problems today. I was expecting it.

It's been well publicized for some time, and the 17th is a sacred date for Qanon. (Q is the 17th letter)

[Quixote1818]

7. I was worried each day would get worse and worse and worse with the 20th

being complete chaos. I doubted it would happen but it was still a worry.

[Srkdqltr]

8. Troops were there. Troops will shoot. Seriously, they don't seem to want a confrontation with

Anyone stronger or will fight back.

[OAITW r.2.0]

9. Not surprised at all.

We know what happened on 1/6/21..a failed federal Insurrection....who wants to be associated with that? At the State level?.

[catbyte]

22. Without twitter, facebook, and parler,

they're disorganized, paranoid, and scattered. Most of them are basically cowards and without direct orders from Dear Leader they're lost.

[BootinUp]

10. Best to be prepared. Nt

[LeftInTX]

11. Now that the WH has sent out invitations to Trump's send off, maybe they won't

Sure there will be few rogues running around, but dear leader will probably be leaving Andrews AFB around 9:30 or so...

[ecstatic]

12. I think it's too soon to make such predictions

After all, today is a Sunday and many of the insurrectionists are fake Christians.

Monday is a federal holiday, so there might not be a lot of activity tomorrow either.

They want the most carnage possible. Tuesday and Wednesday have always been the days of most concern.

My main concern now is for smaller towns that don't have a major security plan in place.

[OAITW r.2.0]

13. Zippo is Happening.

There will be no armed resistance and/or show of arms. That does not mean the beliefs are vanquished.

[ecstatic]

14. I hope you're right!!! nt

[OAITW r.2.0]

15. Not a great state of affairs.

We've been the best governing body in the US Congress and there has never been a Republican equal.....in 45 years.

[demtenjeep]

17. your lips

gods ears

[KY_EnviroGuy]

18. I think they will cause a disruption of some sort....

during the proceedings. They know they cannot stop the inauguration but will do anything to show their ass for bragging rights.

Hoping for an uneventful day but there are thousands of these nutjobs that would love to disrupt and impress their latest version of god.

KY

[Mr.Bill]

19. I think at this point they figure

they can give us more heartburn by having us wonder when they will do something than by actually doing something.

[JonLP24]

20. Nothing may happen

It is because they are taking the threats seriously. They will be monitoring these groups and shutting down websites and accounts helped a lot.

I expect another 4 months of this before it dies down but this involved members in government so this could be a long term problem.

[A Brand New World]

21. I think there were a lot of wives/girlfriends yelling at them:

“What in the hell were you thinking!!” That and FBI knocking at the door brings even the idiots back to reality.

[lagomorph777]

24. Nothing on 1/20. They will pick another opportunity.

They have not sobered up.

[HipChick]

30. This...plus their friends, family, neighbors and co-workers...

are turning folks into the FBI

[SMC22307]

25. They were sober. Don't blame it on alcohol. (n/t)

[JHB]

27. Likely, but very little of it due to "sobering"

More likely they've expanded their mental list of "traitors" (including, for some, Trump himself), and the extent of the "sobering" is that they've figured out a frontal assault won't work.

But still, it won't be "Nothing happens on 1/20/21" until it's 1/21/21.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

29. Hopefully the case.

I can only hope it is another Y2K crash type bust.

[spanone]

33. too much law enforcement, these are criminally insane chickenshits

[Generic Brad]

34. Something will indeed happen

I expect the rug to get pulled out from everyone in the stock market - a massive, chaotic, unexplained sell off that creates an economic panic just to screw Biden over.

[ProfessorGAC]

36. Highly Unlikely

Hundreds of CEOs have signed on to a letter that repudiates the idiot.
Those folks have a lot of influence over market behavior. They're not going to financially self-immolate for a guy they've already repudiated.
Besides the market is only over valued by around 9% above equilibrium. There's no economic fundamentals supporting a massive correction.
And analysts generally become bullish about a democrat in the White House.