Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,852 posts)
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:16 AM Feb 2021

Primarying Joe Manchin has to be the dumbest idea in the world.

He's probably the only person in America with a (D) after his name who can win a senatorial race in West Virginia.

127 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Primarying Joe Manchin has to be the dumbest idea in the world. (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2021 OP
Agreed. What short memories we have. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #1
She tried to primary Manchin in 2018 BGBD Feb 2021 #106
Please list all the Democratic qualities he brings to the table. Hotler Feb 2021 #2
His D gave us the Senate majority. 33taw Feb 2021 #6
Please people who can beat him in a primary AND win in a general election. themaguffin Feb 2021 #11
Touche'! Cha Feb 2021 #102
He votes with Dems at least 50% more than every, single, possible alternative. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #15
That is exactly it! BobTheSubgenius Feb 2021 #66
Right now? EarlG Feb 2021 #28
+1 TwilightZone Feb 2021 #34
Unassailable facts Bradshaw3 Feb 2021 #37
Thank you, EarlG Hekate Feb 2021 #57
+1 nt PunkinPi Feb 2021 #60
+1 nt c-rational Feb 2021 #64
That is one comprehensive post! BobTheSubgenius Feb 2021 #67
+10000 Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #76
Covid relief Dem2 Feb 2021 #29
He still votes with the Dems 75% of the time Drahthaardogs Feb 2021 #40
The "D" after his name in the Senate roster is the most important thing he brings right now StarfishSaver Feb 2021 #48
Find me a Republican that votes with Dems 75 percent of the time. BannonsLiver Feb 2021 #53
How about this...he saved the ACA...without his vote , it would be gone. How about he Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #73
He votes with progressives about 60% of the time, according to Progressive Punch. pnwmom Feb 2021 #97
Progressive Punch doesn't seem very accurate JonLP24 Feb 2021 #115
Manchin represents a state that gave Trump a 40 point margin in 2016 -- pnwmom Feb 2021 #119
Agree. Turin_C3PO Feb 2021 #3
Republicans DO NOT want Bipartisanship, Joe.... ProudMNDemocrat Feb 2021 #4
But his constituents do. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #23
He could vote Turin_C3PO Feb 2021 #39
Manchin and Biden are redefining "bipartisanship." sop Feb 2021 #44
when is he up again? mopinko Feb 2021 #5
He is a senator, gerrymandering is not an issue in the Senate. 33taw Feb 2021 #7
"suppressed" doesn't only mean "gerrymandered." lagomorph777 Feb 2021 #31
Trump won WV by 40 points. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #36
I challenge anyone to come BGBD Feb 2021 #108
2024, if he chooses to run again, and if he has not switched parties by then (which I can see at Celerity Feb 2021 #12
I have seen snarky posts on this forum. I would remind everyone that Manchin is a Democrat and Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #74
I have no idea why you are having a go at me with your usual moderates only need apply Celerity Feb 2021 #100
And lose a Senator. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #16
well, maybe next time run someone more middle of the road. mopinko Feb 2021 #43
Joe is middle of the road and votes with us most times and in all important votes...no other Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #78
LOL BannonsLiver Feb 2021 #49
I live in a red state.... LeftInTX Feb 2021 #52
And then lose that seat and the majority...oh yeah such a great solution...do you really believe Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #75
May I ask where you live? GulfCoast66 Feb 2021 #103
illinois. in '18 i got my sister elected to a county board in a red county. mopinko Feb 2021 #104
Sure. Do you really think most people in WV, KY and Al are just waiting to vote Democratic? GulfCoast66 Feb 2021 #109
it's a new world. mopinko Feb 2021 #110
I hope you are right. But we got hurt in House elections. GulfCoast66 Feb 2021 #111
That group that wants to Primary him wants REpublicans to win JI7 Feb 2021 #8
Yes they sure do! And Sinema too. Budi Feb 2021 #24
Arizona isn't as red as West Virginia JonLP24 Feb 2021 #112
That is exactly right. Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #77
Agreed ebbie15644 Feb 2021 #9
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Feb 2021 #10
If West Virginia really likes him the primary effort will fail. If it succeeds I guess he won't be Autumn Feb 2021 #13
The only person with a D who can win a General Election bottomofthehill Feb 2021 #19
How do you know? Crystal balls are fake. No one knows until it's tried. Autumn Feb 2021 #35
Agree! mountain grammy Feb 2021 #63
And he is the only person in US who can single-handedly sabotage Biden's agenda and doom Fiendish Thingy Feb 2021 #14
Manchin's on board now Wawannabe Feb 2021 #65
Link? Nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2021 #95
Manchin is onboard with Biden's plan as I told you he would be...and we always need more Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #80
Please post a link where Manchin reversed his position on requiring bipartisan support Fiendish Thingy Feb 2021 #94
Try to keep up. The reconciliation bill is currently working its way through Congress pnwmom Feb 2021 #98
That article is from 30 min. Ago, after my original post Fiendish Thingy Feb 2021 #105
Manchin's support of the reconciliation bill was first written about YESTERDAY. pnwmom Feb 2021 #113
And if Taylor picks up Portman's seat in 2022, Manchin will immediately become irrelevant. Nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2021 #120
No, he won't. Not at all. It's still better to have him in the Senate than the Republican pnwmom Feb 2021 #121
Probably much wiser to pursue Dem gains in other states for 2022. n/t Mister Ed Feb 2021 #17
Yes. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #21
Yes...that makes so much sense unless your real motive in primarying Democrats is to help Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #81
Agreed! Dem4Life1102 Feb 2021 #18
I can't tell if the ignorance is intentional or if some simply have no clue. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #20
My thoughts exactly. Election losses do provide clues, R B Garr Feb 2021 #32
so next time try someone more middle of the road. mopinko Feb 2021 #45
I'm not interested in putting a "progressive" in that seat. I just wish we had someone Crunchy Frog Feb 2021 #70
Robert Byrd was a democratic senator from West Virginia forever (50 years, I think?). BComplex Feb 2021 #22
Byrd started serving when West Virginia mostly voted Democratic. THings are different now JI7 Feb 2021 #25
The WV of today is not the WV of Byrd's time. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #26
Also almost half of the DEMOCRATS voted for a prisoner over Obama in the Democratic Primary in 2012 JI7 Feb 2021 #27
I forgot about that. TwilightZone Feb 2021 #33
WV democrats SoCalNative Feb 2021 #41
Yep mcar Feb 2021 #30
100% Happy Hoosier Feb 2021 #38
Agreed! redstatebluegirl Feb 2021 #42
Proportional representation Nasruddin Feb 2021 #46
While we're waving magic wands I'd like a house on Maui. BannonsLiver Feb 2021 #54
The country will break apart before that happens, Crunchy Frog Feb 2021 #71
Totally agree Stuckinthebush Feb 2021 #47
Most saying he should be primaried have never spent any meaningful amount of time in red states BannonsLiver Feb 2021 #50
Make Washington D.C. a state. Then Manchin looses his clout. MadMike47 Feb 2021 #51
Progressive Paula Jean Swearengin primaried him in 2018. JaneQPublic Feb 2021 #55
The Bernie supporters said they planned to vote for Trump in the election. They were Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #83
Completely agree! nt cry baby Feb 2021 #56
Bipartisanship is the 2nd dumbest idea in the world. Cobalt Violet Feb 2021 #58
Joe Biden say bipartisanship is for the American people not necessarily Congress. Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #85
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Feb 2021 #99
Pretty much. And yet . . . peggysue2 Feb 2021 #59
We Big Tent Party or Toe Line Party? bucolic_frolic Feb 2021 #61
Primarying Joe Manchin is lunacy. dchill Feb 2021 #62
Yeah VA_Jill Feb 2021 #68
A primary challenge to TheFarseer Feb 2021 #69
It is still a waste of money...no primaring anyone this year. Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #87
Thank you. crickets Feb 2021 #90
We need to hold the House and the Senate...and we can do this...but not with idiotic primarying of Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #92
We simply don't agree on this TheFarseer Feb 2021 #125
This is a very stupid idea Gothmog Feb 2021 #72
He's not even up for re-election until 2024. maxsolomon Feb 2021 #79
I'm in Kentucky. I'd be happy to have Manchin as a replacement for BOTH of my Senators. Hermit-The-Prog Feb 2021 #82
Some Dems want to lose our majority to teach moderates a lesson IronLionZion Feb 2021 #84
I honestly think that some want us to be in the minority if being in the majority means adding Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #86
Our efforts are better spent going after blue/purple state Republicans. nt IronLionZion Feb 2021 #88
You are correct as always! Demsrule86 Feb 2021 #93
No, they want Democrats to lose so they can make money JI7 Feb 2021 #96
True that Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 2021 #89
It's the Susan Sarandon style of going down in the flames of self-righteousness. JustABozoOnThisBus Feb 2021 #91
Thank You for the SS ref. Budi Feb 2021 #118
Third dumbest-- just behind flat-earth and 6000 year old earth. LanternWaste Feb 2021 #101
The ones who promote such stupidity are all about the purity. It's a ego and pride thing... NurseJackie Feb 2021 #107
It's kind of funny, after seeing progressive Democrats called centrists/moderates betsuni Feb 2021 #114
It might be good for Joe to find out his constituents aren't as conservative as he thinks. If jalan48 Feb 2021 #116
WV voters supported Trump by the largest margin in the US -- 40 points in 2016. pnwmom Feb 2021 #123
No worries for Joe then. jalan48 Feb 2021 #124
Doesn't matter. He's said he's not running for another term Calista241 Feb 2021 #117
Focus on other states. LiberalFighter Feb 2021 #122
He'll take votes to the brink nearly every time, and there will... VarryOn Feb 2021 #126
Just like GA? Mike Niendorff Feb 2021 #127

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
1. Agreed. What short memories we have.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:19 AM
Feb 2021

Dems just ran a progressive for Senate in WV in 2020. She lost 70-27.

Hotler

(13,747 posts)
2. Please list all the Democratic qualities he brings to the table.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:21 AM
Feb 2021

I have lost my copy. Thank you.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
15. He votes with Dems at least 50% more than every, single, possible alternative.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:35 AM
Feb 2021

With Manchin, we get at least half of his votes.

With the alternative - a Republican - we get zero.

This isn't hard, people. It's simple math.

EarlG

(23,631 posts)
28. Right now?
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:53 AM
Feb 2021

Without Manchin, Democrats would not have control of the U.S. Senate. Mitch McConnell would still be the Senate Majority Leader, and would right now be blocking every single thing that Biden tried to do, including appointing judges and SCOTUS justices if that comes up.

Here are Manchin's votes over the years to protect the ACA:
https://www.healthreformvotes.org/congress/412391

He also voted to convict Trump in the first impeachment trial
https://www.businessinsider.com/joe-manchin-will-vote-to-convict-trump-impeachment-trial-2020-2

Pulling a few random Dem senators out of the hat, Manchin voted in 70% agreement with Tammy Duckworth:
https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/M001183-joe-manchin-iii/compare-votes/D000622-tammy-duckworth/115

70% of the time with Chuck Schumer:
https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/M001183-joe-manchin-iii/compare-votes/S000148-charles-e-schumer/115

74% of the time with Ben Cardin:
https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/M001183-joe-manchin-iii/compare-votes/C000141-benjamin-l-cardin/115

79% of the time with Michael Bennet:
https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/M001183-joe-manchin-iii/compare-votes/B001267-michael-bennet/115

To be clear, I'm not a fan of Manchin's rhetorical shenanigans, although I understand them to be necessary in order for him to protect his seat. I also don't like how he voted on a number of Trump's appointees, even if those appointees were going to pass with or without his vote.

But until and unless he actually casts a deciding vote to destroy a major piece of Dem legislation -- for example, if he were to be the deciding vote that killed the entire COVID relief package -- he is in no way as worthless as a Republican would be in that seat.

A 50-50 Republican-controlled Senate would be a disaster right now.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
34. +1
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:00 AM
Feb 2021

We need to look at people like Manchin in context. Every viable alternative in WV is a Republican. We can have Manchin's "bipartisan" stance, which is why he keeps getting reelected, or we can have an R in that seat who votes against us every time.

Bradshaw3

(7,964 posts)
37. Unassailable facts
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:19 AM
Feb 2021

Slams the door shut on the topic. Manchin may give people heartburn but he is 10 times better than a repub and probably a thousand times better than a repub WV would send in his place.

BobTheSubgenius

(12,217 posts)
67. That is one comprehensive post!
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 01:19 PM
Feb 2021

I'm amazed you can even find the time to do the research! Thanks for that.

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)
40. He still votes with the Dems 75% of the time
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:30 AM
Feb 2021

It’s the best we can hope for in WV.

75% > 0%

Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good

 

StarfishSaver

(18,486 posts)
48. The "D" after his name in the Senate roster is the most important thing he brings right now
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:11 PM
Feb 2021

The rest Majority Leader Schumer and the Democratic committee chairs can work around.

BannonsLiver

(20,595 posts)
53. Find me a Republican that votes with Dems 75 percent of the time.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:19 PM
Feb 2021

I’ll be waiting. A long time.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
73. How about this...he saved the ACA...without his vote , it would be gone. How about he
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:22 PM
Feb 2021

didn't vote for the Rightie tax reform...taking away Mitch's efforts to call it bipartisan...He also voted against the GOP plan to end fair pay rule and make work less safe...and without him, we don't have a majority. When it was important he voted with us...how many times has an GOP type voted with us?

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
97. He votes with progressives about 60% of the time, according to Progressive Punch.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 04:56 PM
Feb 2021

More than twice as often as the most "moderate" Republican.

And if he were a Republican, Mitch McConnell would be majority leader.

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
119. Manchin represents a state that gave Trump a 40 point margin in 2016 --
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:35 PM
Feb 2021

the biggest in the country.

We're not going to get a progressive voted in there.

ProudMNDemocrat

(20,897 posts)
4. Republicans DO NOT want Bipartisanship, Joe....
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:22 AM
Feb 2021

They want to RULE, not govern. When is Joe Manchin going to get that through his thick head?

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
23. But his constituents do.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:45 AM
Feb 2021

That's why they keep reelecting him.

Should he do what his constituents want? He's not answering to Republicans in Congress. He's answering to them. The only reason he continues to win is that he at shows independence and bipartisanship.

Sucks for us sometimes, often even, but every viable alternative means an R who never votes with us.

Turin_C3PO

(16,385 posts)
39. He could vote
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:24 AM
Feb 2021

for the 1.9 trillion relief bill and not lose any votes. I agree he has to be more conservative on a lot of issues in order to keep his seat but this bill has no political cost, imo.

sop

(18,621 posts)
44. Manchin and Biden are redefining "bipartisanship."
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:53 AM
Feb 2021

To them it means following the will of the vast majority of voters of both parties, not simply compromising with a pack of corrupt Republicans in Congress, who only really care about their wealthy corporate donors, just to get legislation passed. Manchin understands the majority of his Republican constituents will benefit greatly from Biden's Covid relief package, no matter how much they buy into their party's rightwing propaganda.

I believe Biden is bypassing the traditional concept of legislative bipartisanship, appealing directly to a large chunk of working class Trump voters by actually improving their lives economically. He's hoping these disaffected voters will realize Democratic policies are better for them in the long run, despite all the divisive bullshit put out by the GOP.

mopinko

(73,726 posts)
5. when is he up again?
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:24 AM
Feb 2021

no, unfuck the voting system, then primary his ass.

most red states arent red. they're suppressed.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
31. "suppressed" doesn't only mean "gerrymandered."
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:54 AM
Feb 2021

The QOP has spent decades cooking up hundreds of crafty suppression schemes.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
36. Trump won WV by 40 points.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:08 AM
Feb 2021

It's a red state. Has been for 20 years. The claim that it's just suppressed is laughable.

 

BGBD

(3,282 posts)
108. I challenge anyone to come
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 06:48 PM
Feb 2021

Find voter suppression in WV. It one of the easiest states in the country to vote in.

Celerity

(54,408 posts)
12. 2024, if he chooses to run again, and if he has not switched parties by then (which I can see at
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:30 AM
Feb 2021

least being a possibility, if not a big one, IF we lose the Senate in 2022).

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
74. I have seen snarky posts on this forum. I would remind everyone that Manchin is a Democrat and
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:27 PM
Feb 2021

this is Democratic Underground. There is no indication that Manchin would switch parties. We have opportunities in the Senate in 22 if we are willing to elect moderate Democrats like Manchin who without we will not.. have majority ever. Perhaps rather than primarying sitting Democrats with candidates that if they were successful would lose the election by 40 points are so, some could work on unseating Republicans. You know help Democrats actually win elections and all.

Celerity

(54,408 posts)
100. I have no idea why you are having a go at me with your usual moderates only need apply
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 05:51 PM
Feb 2021

stances. I have said over and over that Manchin is the only Dem who can win that WV Senate seat, primary him, beat him (I do not see that happening) and we lose the seat.

I never advocated a prog should primary any sitting Dem Senator in 2022, You have the wrong poster.

I have always understood that we need to be pragmatic in purple, pink, and reddish states and districts.

I do think that some on here take it too far the other way, and want to see centrists/moderates take out some of the higher profile progressives, progs who are in deep blue districts. Go back and look at the AOC 2020 primary threads. The anti-AOC comments (in terms of her being beaten by a string of failed candidates) did not age well at all.

The big tent works both ways. We are never going to be a party that is made up of only centrists across the board.

As for Manchin, I never said it was a lock he would jump parties at all, only that IF we lose the Senate in 2022 it is not an impossibility that he would considerate it IF certain other things occurred as well. Many miles to go, I doubt he switches, and we are all assuming that he runs for re-election, which may not happen either, although I am fairly sure he will run again.


As for 2022 in the Senate

OH - Portman retiring is a big deal, as now we at least have a shot at flipping it, especially if Ryan wins the primary.

NC (open seat) should be Jeff Jackson for us, I think he would have won in 2020, as well, instead of the disastrous Cunningham (sext scandal blew that seat).

PA is an open seat as well, and I think either John Fetterman, the sitting Lieutenant Governor, or the sitting AG, Josh Shapiro (if he runs) can win it. Tom Wolf, the current Governor, is not running for it.

The other Rethug seat that is pretty flippable is Johnson in WI. Mandela Barnes, the sitting Lieutenant Governor, would be a great candidate, and I hope he runs. If he doesn't, then it is wide open on our end from all that I see. Tom Nelson, formr majority leader in the Assembly, is running, and the sitting AG Josh Kaul might also run.

FL is tougher to flip (hopefully Ivanka Rump causes chaos for Rubio) but we have a slew of potential good candidates,

Charlie Crist, U.S. representative
Val Demings, U.S. representative (my choice)
Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative
Ted Deutch, U.S. representative
Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture
Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative and candidate for governor of Florida in 2018
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative (lost in 2020, along with Shalala)


I terms of our at-risk seats, we have 3 and a half

The half is Kelly in AZ, as we dodged a bullet with Ducey refusing to run, plus the AZ Rethugs are imploding

that leaves 3 at risk

GA (Warnock) with Doug Collis perhaps his most likely opponent, and a horrid vote suppression scheme potentially rolling out to try and fuck us.

NV (Cortez Masto) Sandoval is by far the most dangerous potential opponent

NH (Hassan) Gov Crhis Sununu would be the toughest, and NH just went full Rethug trifecta at state level, as we lost both the state House and the state Senate in 2020, Ex US Kelly Ayotte might run as well.

The thing that worries me the most is our horrid record in the last two initial midterms (1994 and 2010) for a new Dem POTUS. We are in real danger in the House (35 to 45 or so at risk seats, although almost none of those are progressives in swing districts (and I doubt you will see any at risk Dem Reps primaried by actual legit, 'capable of wining the primary' candidates, none (in vulnerable districts) were in 2020 (at least nothing serious).

The only challenges were in the perfectly acceptable (for a primary challenge, and that is where me and you deffo disagree) deep blue seats. Multiple of them won, Jamal Bowman, Mondaire Jones (beat multiple centrists/moderates for Nita Loweys open, old seat), Cori Bush (mixed emotions on her, not that she beat too long serving (he and his father had that seat since the 1960's, and his district said it was time for new blood) Lacy Clay, but that she (Bush) has lose cannon potential), and also Marie Newman, who beat the RW Lipinski (RW on many things, plus his campaign falsely smeared Newman as anti Catholic and as a HOLOCAUST DENIER, ffs)-

We have a good deal more House seats we can lose in 2022 than ones we can flip back (a lot of those losses in 2020 for us were simply Red seats reverting to mean after the one-off Blue Wave of 2018).It is not a great position atm at all.

Finally, just so you are crystal clear as to my stance, there is only one Dem incumbent in congress I want to see primaried and beaten, One, that is it, now that Lipinski lost, Henry Cuellar, in safe blue seat, has never once be held by a Rethug, but he is the worst Dem (no one else is close) in Congress. Anti LGBTQ, forced birther, A- rated NRA favourite, pro drill baby drill, super pro private prisons, campaigns and fundraisers for racist climate change denier Rethug Jon Carter (Cuellar helped cost MJ Hegar that seat in 2018) against Democrats, and is anti immigrant far too often. Now, to show you that I understand how things work, we need a centrist, NOT a prog (like the last two challengers) to take hi on. All I ask is a person who actually supports our Democratic platform. Cuellar, other than voting for Pelosi, is barely a Dem.(in the Congress before the last one, Cellar voted with Trump and the Rethugs almost 70% of the time). All we need is a run of the mill moderate there who believes in in our platform and won't vote to take away my rights as both a member of the LGBTQ community, and as woman, which Cuellar does do.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
16. And lose a Senator.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:37 AM
Feb 2021

Sure, great idea.

We ran a progressive in 2020 in WV, by the way. She lost 70-27. Look for similar numbers if we primary Manchin.

mopinko

(73,726 posts)
43. well, maybe next time run someone more middle of the road.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:49 AM
Feb 2021

but rly. this ass needs to go.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
78. Joe is middle of the road and votes with us most times and in all important votes...no other
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:33 PM
Feb 2021

Democrat will win period.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
75. And then lose that seat and the majority...oh yeah such a great solution...do you really believe
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:29 PM
Feb 2021

once Manchin goes WVA will send a Democrat to the Senate...once Manchin is gone so is the seat And a primary could weaken him.

mopinko

(73,726 posts)
104. illinois. in '18 i got my sister elected to a county board in a red county.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 06:19 PM
Feb 2021

any more questions?

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
109. Sure. Do you really think most people in WV, KY and Al are just waiting to vote Democratic?
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 06:56 PM
Feb 2021

Yeah, with organizing like Stacey Abrams we have more of a chance. And states like GA and NC with large urban areas of well educated people we can win. Especially as those states are also becoming more diverse. Georgia should be a model for how we fight in them.

But I have family in KY. It is still overwhelmingly white and equally bad for us, evangelical. Can a democrat win? Sure, their Governor is a democrat. But it took a very bad republican to let that happen.

I’m certainly not saying we should not try to win everywhere. Otherwise we will always feel like we are treading water. But there are several states that won’t vote Democratic no matter who we put up to run. I would love to be proven wrong.

Have a nice evening.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
111. I hope you are right. But we got hurt in House elections.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:08 PM
Feb 2021

Losing many districts we won in 18.

I’m not worrying about it right now. Just enjoying the changes Joe is making.

 

Budi

(15,325 posts)
24. Yes they sure do! And Sinema too.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:46 AM
Feb 2021

We will lose seats & majority because of it .
And that's what they want.
A nation of extremisim.

JonLP24

(29,929 posts)
112. Arizona isn't as red as West Virginia
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:21 PM
Feb 2021

I'm not a fan of Sinema. She voted to confirm Barr who is one of the worst AG ever.

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Autumn

(48,962 posts)
13. If West Virginia really likes him the primary effort will fail. If it succeeds I guess he won't be
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:30 AM
Feb 2021

the only person in America with a (D) after his name who can win a senatorial race in West Virginia.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,236 posts)
14. And he is the only person in US who can single-handedly sabotage Biden's agenda and doom
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:31 AM
Feb 2021

Democrats to losing control of the house in 2022.

At this point, Manchin’s obstruction means Dems have NO power in congress, not even through reconciliation, since he opposes the COVID relief bill without bipartisan support...not even appointing judges since he won’t break the filibuster to force a vote on a new organizing resolution, so Lindsey is still in charge of the judiciary committee.

But nooooo, primarying Manchin is a “dumb” idea, because Dems would lose all that hard won power that they can’t use because of him.

Primarying Manchin is too good for him- if Dems add to their majority in 2022 (a good possibility), and Dems lose their majority in the house because Manchin’s obstruction caused them to fail to deliver on Biden’s promises and agenda, then Schumer should strip Manchin of all committee assignments, send him to the Steve King Club. Kicking him out of the Dem caucus might even be worth it.

At this point, Manchin’s career ends in 2024, he just doesn’t know it yet.

Biden is meeting with Dem senators today- I hope he makes Manchin feel the heat.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
80. Manchin is onboard with Biden's plan as I told you he would be...and we always need more
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:37 PM
Feb 2021

Democrats to vote with us... accept the face we have 7 moderate to conservative Democrats who will have to vote to keep their seats or McConnell is back in charge. This is how it is.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,236 posts)
94. Please post a link where Manchin reversed his position on requiring bipartisan support
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 04:20 PM
Feb 2021

For Biden’s COVID relief bill. All I have seen is him shrugging off the $1.9T amount, but not backtracking on his insistence that, in order to get his vote, the relief package must have bipartisan support.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,236 posts)
105. That article is from 30 min. Ago, after my original post
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 06:23 PM
Feb 2021

And it looks like Manchin is still using weasel words about only supporting “immediate relief”, which seems to exclude $15 min wage and possibly other elements of the package outside of relief checks, vaccine funding, and aid to states.

Manchin is a weasel.

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
113. Manchin's support of the reconciliation bill was first written about YESTERDAY.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:26 PM
Feb 2021

For example, here.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/manchinsupports-advancing-covid-19-aid-resolution


Manchin is a Democratic Senator from a state where, in 2016, Trump won by 40 points -- the largest margin in the US. We're lucky to have Manchin there. We would be much worse off with any Republican.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,236 posts)
120. And if Taylor picks up Portman's seat in 2022, Manchin will immediately become irrelevant. Nt
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 09:23 PM
Feb 2021

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
121. No, he won't. Not at all. It's still better to have him in the Senate than the Republican
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:46 PM
Feb 2021

from West Virginia who would replace him.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
81. Yes...that makes so much sense unless your real motive in primarying Democrats is to help
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:38 PM
Feb 2021

Republicans.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
20. I can't tell if the ignorance is intentional or if some simply have no clue.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:39 AM
Feb 2021

A progressive just lost a WV Senate seat 70-27 and people *still* insist that a more liberal candidate should be an easy win.

I don't know if people just don't have a clue or if they're being intentionally obtuse. That happens a lot around here.

R B Garr

(17,984 posts)
32. My thoughts exactly. Election losses do provide clues,
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:57 AM
Feb 2021

so if the brand building is contributing to these losses, time to get a clue.

Crunchy Frog

(28,280 posts)
70. I'm not interested in putting a "progressive" in that seat. I just wish we had someone
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 02:57 PM
Feb 2021

more like Claire McCaskill and less like Joe Lieberman. I know we can only get a conservative Dem in there, but I'd prefer one who is at least reliably loyal to the Democratic Party.

I also don't see how Manchin can lose by ensuring that his constituents get the assistance that they desperately need and overwhelmingly want during a time of national crisis. I think he's more about playing cutesy little power games than he is about either serving his constituents, or getting himself reelected. I hope I'm wrong about this.

It's why we need to build up a bit of a margin in the Senate.

BComplex

(9,914 posts)
22. Robert Byrd was a democratic senator from West Virginia forever (50 years, I think?).
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:44 AM
Feb 2021

There definitely is room for a democratic senator in West Virginia.

JI7

(93,617 posts)
25. Byrd started serving when West Virginia mostly voted Democratic. THings are different now
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:49 AM
Feb 2021

They are uncomfortable with social progress so they tend to vote Republican . But like Byrd, Manchin has served in office for a long time there so he has a relationship with many that newer democrats are not going to have.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
26. The WV of today is not the WV of Byrd's time.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:51 AM
Feb 2021

Particularly his first few decades.

WV was blue for a very long time. Prior to 2000, only three Republicans won the presidency in WV in 64 years.

It is no longer. Trump won it by 40 points and they haven't voted for a D since Bill Clinton.

JI7

(93,617 posts)
27. Also almost half of the DEMOCRATS voted for a prisoner over Obama in the Democratic Primary in 2012
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:52 AM
Feb 2021

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
33. I forgot about that.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:57 AM
Feb 2021

WV Democrats aren't typical Democrats, whatever "typical" is. I'm not sure why that's so difficult for some to grasp.

But then, that applies everywhere. Every state, every district, every race is different. Trying to apply NYC or SF or Northeast US rules to WV is just laughable, yet people make the attempt all the time.

The bottom line is that we have a Democratic Senator in a state Trump won by 40%. That should tell people just about all they need to know. If that's not enough, a progressive ran for Senate in WV in 2020 and lost 70-27.

SoCalNative

(4,613 posts)
41. WV democrats
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:37 AM
Feb 2021

are the "southern Democrats" of old. It may say "democrat" but their "values" align more with republicans.

redstatebluegirl

(12,827 posts)
42. Agreed!
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 11:48 AM
Feb 2021

People really do not understand that not all states are the same. Hell all Democrats are not the same.

Nasruddin

(1,258 posts)
46. Proportional representation
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:07 PM
Feb 2021

I agree with this (for the reasons cited by others).

I think what this sentiment argues for is proportional representation in the Senate. The Senate is an awful institution and probably the best thing to do is follow John Dingell's advice & just abolish it. Another alternative: look at a proportional representation hybrid system like Germany's (eg https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/how-does-proportional-representation-work-in-germany/]).

If we're going to have a system where a member in KY or SF CA has so much power over the whole country, the whole country should have some say. It's undemocratic otherwise. A proportional representation system is one way to accomplish this.

Crunchy Frog

(28,280 posts)
71. The country will break apart before that happens,
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:09 PM
Feb 2021

and yes, I do think that the country will eventually break apart. Minority rule is unsustainable in the long term.

Stuckinthebush

(11,203 posts)
47. Totally agree
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:08 PM
Feb 2021

Manchin is back peddling a little anyway it seems. Chuck can work with him and get his vote while Manchin placates his crazy WVA voters. Better Joe than an R.

JaneQPublic

(7,117 posts)
55. Progressive Paula Jean Swearengin primaried him in 2018.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:21 PM
Feb 2021

She didn't come close.

On Twitter, etc., certain young Progressives keep saying we need to primary Manchin with a Bernie type, arguing that WV USED TO BE the heart of the labor movement and crawling with lefties and socialists, so there's hope!

Then I ask them if they've ever been to WV, and, of course, they haven't. Beautiful state, but you're much more likely to find Proud Boys and militias there than Bernie supporters.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
83. The Bernie supporters said they planned to vote for Trump in the election. They were
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:41 PM
Feb 2021

just fucking with our primary...I used to live WVA and DC people are starting to move out there but it will be years before we make inroads there. Manchin is just fine.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
85. Joe Biden say bipartisanship is for the American people not necessarily Congress.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:43 PM
Feb 2021

He will try but if the Senate GOP don't come along, he will hammer them and/or do it a different way.

Response to Cobalt Violet (Reply #58)

peggysue2

(12,533 posts)
59. Pretty much. And yet . . .
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:38 PM
Feb 2021

Every single year, the same howl rises into the ether--purge the blue dogs from Red states/districts.

With the present configuration of the Senate, it's especially dumb. Unless, of course, we want McConnell to take power again.

Deja vu all over again.

bucolic_frolic

(55,140 posts)
61. We Big Tent Party or Toe Line Party?
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 12:40 PM
Feb 2021

Senator Manchin has an independent streak. We may not agree with him most of the time. If you have a better alternative, go for it. Let's not deal with illusions.

VA_Jill

(14,371 posts)
68. Yeah
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 01:21 PM
Feb 2021

I'm really no fan of his, but I see his value. I have to live right next door to West Virginia, and he gets a lot of crossover votes because he keeps his fences mended at home.

TheFarseer

(9,770 posts)
69. A primary challenge to
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 02:52 PM
Feb 2021

Dems In safe states or districts makes more sense. As for WV specifically, why don’t they try to pick off a house district? That would be more productive.

crickets

(26,168 posts)
90. Thank you.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:57 PM
Feb 2021

I'm so sick of this talk of Dems primarying other Dems when going after reachable Repub seats is a much more constructive plan. I understand that there are those who want to change the makeup of the Dems we have, but at least get a bigger Dem margin overall in Congress before trying it.

Primary the Republicans for goodness sake.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
92. We need to hold the House and the Senate...and we can do this...but not with idiotic primarying of
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 04:09 PM
Feb 2021

Democrats.

TheFarseer

(9,770 posts)
125. We simply don't agree on this
Thu Feb 4, 2021, 12:11 AM
Feb 2021

I’m less concerned what letter a person has in parentheses next to their name and more concerned with what policies they are fighting for. I fully understand why we support Joe Manchin in WV but if he was the rep from San Francisco or Manhattan, why shouldn’t we elect someone that is never going to vote with Trump and unequivocally fight climate change, lefty judges and income inequality etc etc?

maxsolomon

(38,729 posts)
79. He's not even up for re-election until 2024.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:36 PM
Feb 2021

It's pretty fucking dumb.

Focus on taking MORE Senate seats from REPUKES in 2022.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
86. I honestly think that some want us to be in the minority if being in the majority means adding
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:45 PM
Feb 2021

moderate or conservative Democrats.

JI7

(93,617 posts)
96. No, they want Democrats to lose so they can make money
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 04:53 PM
Feb 2021

off podcasts , subscriptions and other crap selling shit to Democrats angry at republicans in office.

JustABozoOnThisBus

(24,681 posts)
91. It's the Susan Sarandon style of going down in the flames of self-righteousness.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 03:59 PM
Feb 2021

Or self-lefteousness, as the case may be.

We need every dog we can get, regardless of hue. Even blue.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
101. Third dumbest-- just behind flat-earth and 6000 year old earth.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 05:56 PM
Feb 2021

Tied for third place with chemtrails.

But I've learned how much of a waste it is to argue with these demographics. They'll pull any logical fallacy out of their pockets to force the round peg fit into a square hole and the result a triangle.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
107. The ones who promote such stupidity are all about the purity. It's a ego and pride thing...
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 06:46 PM
Feb 2021

... and a clear desire to hurt the Democratic party and "teach us a lesson".

Personally, I love Joe Manchin... we're damned lucky to have him!

Without him, we'd be TWO SEATS BEHIND in the senate. Do the math. It's true.

betsuni

(29,078 posts)
114. It's kind of funny, after seeing progressive Democrats called centrists/moderates
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:28 PM
Feb 2021

for so long because they weren't the right kind of "progressive," to have an actual centrist to talk about.

jalan48

(14,914 posts)
116. It might be good for Joe to find out his constituents aren't as conservative as he thinks. If
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:32 PM
Feb 2021

they are he has no worries.

pnwmom

(110,261 posts)
123. WV voters supported Trump by the largest margin in the US -- 40 points in 2016.
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 10:48 PM
Feb 2021

We were very lucky we had a centrist Democrat who was able to win the state.

Calista241

(5,633 posts)
117. Doesn't matter. He's said he's not running for another term
Wed Feb 3, 2021, 07:34 PM
Feb 2021

So prepare to lose this seat in 2024.

 

VarryOn

(2,343 posts)
126. He'll take votes to the brink nearly every time, and there will...
Thu Feb 4, 2021, 12:38 AM
Feb 2021

2 or 3 votes where he'll disappoint us in a big way. The question is which votes. We need him desperately, and he knows it and will use it.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Primarying Joe Manchin ha...