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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThis is how Biden eked out his 2020 Victory
The concept that we can flip seats and win by running as an extreme liberal candidate does not work in the real world. Joe Biden won by running as a moderate candidate and getting more independent voters and non voters compared to Hillary's 2016 results. Lets look at how Joe won https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/02/12/this-is-how-biden-eked-out-his-2020-victory/
However, it was in the decisive states that Bidens true advantage over Clinton became apparent. He did better among Republicans and slightly worse among Democrats than he did nationally; among independents, though, he managed to outperform his national vote share by nearly 3 percent. While that difference may appear small, remember that nearly 24 million votes were cast in the five states Biden flipped, and that his combined margin was only 279,000 (a 3 percent difference translates to 720,000 votes). Bidens performance among Democrats about 96 percent nationally and in the flipped states also substantially improved on Clinton, who received slightly less than 90 percent of Democratic votes. The updated national exit poll supports our analysis Biden benefited more from partisan loyalty than Trump, won the independents, and captured a higher percentage of Republicans than Trump did Democrats.
Bidens coalition in the battleground states also included significant numbers of 2016 nonvoters and Trump voters. In the five states he flipped, as well as Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, Biden received about 20 percent of his votes from 2016 nonvoters and about 6 percent from 2016 Trump voters. By contrast, Trump received only 13 percent of his vote from the former group and about 3 percent from 2016 Clinton voters. Indeed, our analysis of the battleground state polls shows that Biden won vote-switchers by a decisive 2-to-1 margin. These Trump-to-Biden voters were overwhelmingly concerned about covid-19, with about 82 percent rating it as a major factor in their presidential pick. By contrast, Clinton-to-Trump voters were considerably more worried about the economy (about 85 percent rated it a major factor).
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)Joe in the White House. This is not an "eke" though it is an EEK for tRUMP and the reTHUGS.
Slice and dice it any way you want. We're proud, we're loud and we're here to stay!
WarGamer
(12,440 posts)But now he needs to pay the people back by protecting the environment AND taxing the wealthy PROPERLY.
I agree with the UK Wealth Tax Commission... start with a 5% one-time tax on ALL net worth over $500K.
And then possibly another 1% annually.
kurtcagle
(1,602 posts)I think this is the last hurrah of the Republicans for a while, but playing to the middle is going to be a reality for a while. We need to start focusing more at the state legislative level and combat the effects of gerrymandering, which has given the conservatives about a 3-4% advantage in most federal elections.
Hekate
(90,673 posts)Thx