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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,646 posts)
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:14 PM Feb 2021

Doctors warn that Covid will become endemic and people need to learn to live with it

LONDON — More and more physicians and public health officials are warning that even with the mass rollout of safe and effective vaccines, Covid may permanently establish itself.

White House coronavirus advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci, Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel and World Health Organization executive director of the Health Emergencies Program Dr. Mike Ryan have said in recent weeks that the coronavirus may never go away.

To date, more than 107 million people worldwide have contracted Covid-19, with 2.36 million deaths, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

David Heymann, professor of infectious disease epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, warned in October that the virus appeared to be on course to become endemic. He reaffirmed his position this week during a webinar for think tank Chatham House.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/doctors-warn-that-covid-will-become-endemic-and-people-need-to-learn-to-live-with-it/ar-BB1dCMBV?ocid=DELLDHP&li=BBnb7Kz

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Doctors warn that Covid will become endemic and people need to learn to live with it (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 2021 OP
More good news. :( Irish_Dem Feb 2021 #1
Typhoid, malaria, Dengue Fever and Ebola have been with us for a long time. (just to name abqtommy Feb 2021 #2
SARS and MERS, to mention two, will take another run at us one day soon. Blue_true Feb 2021 #15
Watched Modern Marvels program today dweller Feb 2021 #3
It hasn't ever completely gone away. llmart Feb 2021 #12
Yes, but we won't be living in nightmare pandemic mode forever. Initech Feb 2021 #4
Not smallpox. Eradicated in 77/79. nt Maru Kitteh Feb 2021 #17
Yeah but didn't that circulate among anti-vaxxers for a while? Initech Feb 2021 #19
No. It's eradicated. Gone. Exists only in two Maru Kitteh Feb 2021 #21
Good! Initech Feb 2021 #23
I would happily volunteer to dig a hole until my shovel Maru Kitteh Feb 2021 #26
Also, smallpox had a 30% mortality rate. THIRTY PERCENT. You would Maru Kitteh Feb 2021 #22
With intentional inoculation that toll dropped to about 5%. NutmegYankee Feb 2021 #30
Just one more reason to get your CV19 vax! Maru Kitteh Feb 2021 #32
It was 2 decades later that cowpox was recognized as a way to prevent smallpox. NutmegYankee Feb 2021 #34
I think that was measles AwakeAtLast Feb 2021 #37
The flu is and we get a shot every year and live with it gollygee Feb 2021 #5
You are exactly right, my dear gollygee! Thank you for stating it so clearly. ♥ CaliforniaPeggy Feb 2021 #6
Yes everyone is saying that we'll have to get booster shots every year. Initech Feb 2021 #8
No biggie shanti Feb 2021 #35
Fauci and others have been saying this for months Quixote1818 Feb 2021 #7
Yeah exactly. Initech Feb 2021 #11
I have to say, it was nice not getting a cold or flu or anything this past year Quixote1818 Feb 2021 #41
There has not been a case of smallpox in over 40 yrs womanofthehills Feb 2021 #42
Yeah I'll correct that. Initech Feb 2021 #43
That's why the strategy must be two-fold, vaccines and treatments. WarGamer Feb 2021 #9
I'm going to permenently sew a mask on my face with a Singer sewing machine. magicarpet Feb 2021 #10
Comes as no surprise. Blue_true Feb 2021 #13
WORDspectively... Endemic vs Epidemic vs Pandemic.... TigressDem Feb 2021 #14
I believe that scientists are using endemic in this case to say that human Blue_true Feb 2021 #16
What is worrisome about Covid is the way it keeps mutating. TigressDem Feb 2021 #18
Yes, Trump deserves a jail cell for his handling of SARS-COV-2. Blue_true Feb 2021 #20
Totally. TigressDem Feb 2021 #24
We have a lot of really stupid people in this country. Blue_true Feb 2021 #25
Because that is the way SOME leaders like to keep Sheeple. TigressDem Feb 2021 #28
Any smart rich person would be working hard to help address Blue_true Feb 2021 #33
Smart and Rich don't always go together because GREED keeps them apart. TigressDem Feb 2021 #36
You are right about rich and smart often not going together. Blue_true Feb 2021 #38
There will be new and more effective vaccines to control it and its mutations Wicked Blue Feb 2021 #27
But there are so many fools now who won't get vaccinated. milestogo Feb 2021 #29
We need laws mandating the vaccine unless there is a medical exemption. Wicked Blue Feb 2021 #31
Question. Do you remember if any laws on vaccination existed Blue_true Feb 2021 #39
I could not work in my college dining hall without proof that I was tuberculosis-free Wicked Blue Feb 2021 #40

abqtommy

(14,118 posts)
2. Typhoid, malaria, Dengue Fever and Ebola have been with us for a long time. (just to name
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:19 PM
Feb 2021

a few) I said last February that we can survive this. I see no reason to modify that statement.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
15. SARS and MERS, to mention two, will take another run at us one day soon.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:43 PM
Feb 2021

Fortunately, the two people in Dr.Fauci’s lab that developed the Moderna vaccine were working on a MERS vaccine (specifically Dr. Kissmayer Corbett) when SARS-COV-2 barged it’s way to the front of the line. There are four people that are almost sure to win a Nobel Prize, Dr. Corbett, Dr. Campbell (her boss and adviser), and the Professor and his Post-Doc assistant who developed the methodology for making the Coronavirus spike protein.

llmart

(15,524 posts)
12. It hasn't ever completely gone away.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:34 PM
Feb 2021

Some countries still have polio, albeit mostly third world countries. But yes, it took more than three decades to mostly eradicate it from our country. At one time the experts thought measles was eradicated also, but then it reared it's ugly head once again when some people wouldn't vaccinate.

Initech

(100,013 posts)
4. Yes, but we won't be living in nightmare pandemic mode forever.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:22 PM
Feb 2021

We're still dealing with influenza, smallpox and cholera - all of which were major pandemics at one point. We'll get drugs, better vaccines and treatments to deal with this in the coming years.

COVID will most likely just mutate into a seasonal menace that we'll have to deal with much like the flu or pneumonia, and that's probably what is happening with the South African and British variants of the virus - they're more contagious but less deadly.

Initech

(100,013 posts)
19. Yeah but didn't that circulate among anti-vaxxers for a while?
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:12 PM
Feb 2021

I think that I remember reading this here a couple of years ago.

Maru Kitteh

(28,313 posts)
21. No. It's eradicated. Gone. Exists only in two
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:20 PM
Feb 2021

Fort-Knox level security labs on the planet under multiple, diverse and redundant layers of safety.





Maru Kitteh

(28,313 posts)
26. I would happily volunteer to dig a hole until my shovel
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:39 PM
Feb 2021

was worn down to a bare post or the Earth's molten core was cooking my feet if we could just bury it in a secret location somewhere.


Maru Kitteh

(28,313 posts)
22. Also, smallpox had a 30% mortality rate. THIRTY PERCENT. You would
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:23 PM
Feb 2021

know if that shit was still around anywhere on the planet.


It's gone.




NutmegYankee

(16,197 posts)
30. With intentional inoculation that toll dropped to about 5%.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:42 PM
Feb 2021

Basically pus was rubbed into a cut to cause a hopefully mild case. Famously George Washington forced the Continental Army to be inoculated in this manner.

Maru Kitteh

(28,313 posts)
32. Just one more reason to get your CV19 vax!
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:45 PM
Feb 2021

Thank goodness we don't have to do that anymore! Not really sorry I missed the days of rubbing pus on my patients. On purpose.





NutmegYankee

(16,197 posts)
34. It was 2 decades later that cowpox was recognized as a way to prevent smallpox.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:51 PM
Feb 2021

Infection with cowpox served as a “vaccine” since that disease was so mild, but infection also prevented smallpox, until modern medicine made a vaccine.

I’m very eager for my vaccine. Even with the new variants, the vaccine virtually eliminates hospitalization or death. Sure, you might get symptoms with the S. Africa strain, but it’s aches and fever at home, not a visit to the ICU.

AwakeAtLast

(14,120 posts)
37. I think that was measles
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 10:02 PM
Feb 2021

I had to get a booster shot because we had a mini epidemic in Central Indiana about six years ago.

Initech

(100,013 posts)
8. Yes everyone is saying that we'll have to get booster shots every year.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:29 PM
Feb 2021

And I'm totally OK with making that sacrifice!

Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)
7. Fauci and others have been saying this for months
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:25 PM
Feb 2021

The Spanish Flu is still with us. I don't see that this is a big deal unless you don't get the vaccine and could still get a deadly reaction. As the human race gets used to it then it just becomes another common cold along with the other 150 varieties.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/09/spanish-flu-pandemic-centenary-first-world-war

Initech

(100,013 posts)
11. Yeah exactly.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:31 PM
Feb 2021

Last edited Fri Feb 12, 2021, 11:54 PM - Edit history (1)

We still have cases of cholera and the flu pop up every once in a while. And those were major pandemics in the last few centuries. Hell there were even cases of the Black Plague popping up from time to time.

Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)
41. I have to say, it was nice not getting a cold or flu or anything this past year
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 11:17 PM
Feb 2021

I work in the schools so I get sick usually a couple of times typically. Makes me want to wear a mask more. LOL

magicarpet

(14,095 posts)
10. I'm going to permenently sew a mask on my face with a Singer sewing machine.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:30 PM
Feb 2021

I'll clean it when I shower. Could I stick a toothbrush in my ear and wiggle it around to the proper compartment so I can brush my teeth ?

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
13. Comes as no surprise.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:34 PM
Feb 2021

Over several millennia it will embed itself among us like the four common cold coronaviruses before it did. The only question is how many people will die during that process. We have one major advantage over previous humanoids that faced each of the previous four common cold coronaviruses, we have technological expertise that will allow modern medicine to limit deaths, if people cooperate (which is not a given).

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
14. WORDspectively... Endemic vs Epidemic vs Pandemic....
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:37 PM
Feb 2021


Epidemic vs. Pandemic
A simple way to know the difference between an epidemic and a pandemic is to remember the “P” in pandemic, which means a pandemic has a passport. A pandemic is an epidemic that travels.


Epidemic vs. Endemic

But what’s the difference between epidemic and endemic? An epidemic is actively spreading; new cases of the disease substantially exceed what is expected. More broadly, it’s used to describe any problem that’s out of control, such as “the opioid epidemic.” An epidemic is often localized to a region, but the number of those infected in that region is significantly higher than normal. For example, when COVID-19 was limited to Wuhan, China, it was an epidemic. The geographical spread turned it into a pandemic.

Endemics, on the other hand, are a constant presence in a specific location. Malaria is endemic to parts of Africa. Ice is endemic to Antarctica.



So like Chicken Pox and Malaria there will be places that Covid continues to need CONSTANT vaccination...




tRump, always thinking of his friends with "give-aways"....

"Yeah, Big Pharma," I thought you could use a boost in sales. There you go."



1/5 Million had to DIE to make money for Big Pharma. tRump just shrugs,

"Well, they are just the Sheeple anyway, you know herd immunity."



Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
16. I believe that scientists are using endemic in this case to say that human
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 08:52 PM
Feb 2021

being will always have SARS-COV-2 circulating among us, regardless of where we live. It has jumped into our species, it will stay unless there is some extraordinary effort to eliminate it. But such an outcome isn’t a bad deal, modern medicine has the tools to deal with endemic to human beings viruses.

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
18. What is worrisome about Covid is the way it keeps mutating.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:10 PM
Feb 2021

So from ONE stupid man REFUSING to deal with the Pandemic like a human being instead of a political extremist...


HOW MANY WILL HAVE TO DIE? 475 Thousand so far. (Just US deaths)
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=covid+deaths+in+us



630 Thousand by June 2021 is projected (Just US deaths)
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=total-deaths&tab=trend



30 years from now, will people look back at tRump in the horror that we do?
Seeing as the BEST way down from this mess was to take it seriously from the beginning and NOT create Super Spreader Events to generate "herd immunity" which simply gave us the gift of COVID forever?





Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
20. Yes, Trump deserves a jail cell for his handling of SARS-COV-2.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:17 PM
Feb 2021

Virus mutate fairly often. There are several paths that it can mutate to, (more infectious, less deadly), (less infectious, less deadly), (more infectious, deadlier), (less infectious, deadlier). From I understand from reading, either of the outcomes are possible, but a virus generally take the first path of becoming more infectious and less deadly, because that allows it to spread more efficiently.

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
24. Totally.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:35 PM
Feb 2021

Yeah, they usually get less deadly in order to live, but then we can live with it and not have SO MANY DEATHS.

With a majority of THE ENTIRE WORLD trying to stop the spread of this disease, it is STILL kicking our asses.


Because of ignorance and greed.


Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
25. We have a lot of really stupid people in this country.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:38 PM
Feb 2021

Trump becoming president was proof positive. The rest of the free world is a lot more disciplined.

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
28. Because that is the way SOME leaders like to keep Sheeple.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:40 PM
Feb 2021

The party of the rich just wants to keep getting away with making the rest of US do the work while they reap the benefits.


Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
33. Any smart rich person would be working hard to help address
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:47 PM
Feb 2021

income inequality right now. Rich people believe that their gated communities, their elaborate hideaways, their bodyguards will protect them from anything, they have no clue of how foolish they are. What will protect them is insuring that every person in this country has a decent home, sufficient nutritious meals, good healthcare and income.

TigressDem

(5,125 posts)
36. Smart and Rich don't always go together because GREED keeps them apart.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:58 PM
Feb 2021

People think if someone else gets something that is less for me.... Short term, maybe.

BUT if everyone had enough money to pay their bills, buy food and have a safe place to live as a rock bottom standard, people wouldn't need to consider a lot of the illegal activity they do.

People who have no legal recourse to support themselves or their family they go to illegal ones.

MAKE IT EASIER for people to live in peace and make those that cause a ruckus pay for their crimes and pretty soon people will see the path of least resistance is to be law abiding.


Right now, being law abiding can still get you killed by the cops just for being black in the vicinity of a crime.

Right now, doing your appointed job under the law can get thousands of people trying to lynch you or beat you to death.


It's horrible that it is so difficult to simply obey the law.





Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
38. You are right about rich and smart often not going together.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 10:04 PM
Feb 2021

I have seen that many times in my life.

Wicked Blue

(5,802 posts)
27. There will be new and more effective vaccines to control it and its mutations
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:40 PM
Feb 2021

This thought gives me a great deal of hope.

I was in first grade when desperate parents lined up with their children to get the new polio immunization dispensed on sugar cubes. Before that time, polio was a nightmare. I can remember adults talking about so-and-so's daughter who was in an iron lung, or someone who had lost a child to polio.

I grew up in a time when there were no vaccines for measles, mumps or German measles (rubella). It was whispered that measles would leave you blind if you didn't stay in a darkened room the entire time you were sick. That mumps sometimes did something to boys so they couldn't have children. And German measles we all heard, could kill fetuses if their mothers caught it while they were pregnant. When someone caught German measles, people brought their daughters over to share a glass of water and catch it too. This, people knew, would protect the girls' future babies.

I remember when you had to have a chest x-ray and an antibody test to prove you didn't have tuberculosis, in order to get a job that involved handling food.

We don't even think about those diseases any more, but at one time they were deadly.

Wicked Blue

(5,802 posts)
31. We need laws mandating the vaccine unless there is a medical exemption.
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 09:44 PM
Feb 2021

Heck, kids can't go to school without proof of various immunizations.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
39. Question. Do you remember if any laws on vaccination existed
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 10:34 PM
Feb 2021

during the times that you discussed?

I believe one of the key differences today is how deep misinformation can penetrate society. In the 50s and 60s, even the 70s, the predominant source of information was newspapers, and editorial writers had massive sway, if they pushed a societal action, that put massive momentum behind it. Today, any yaBob with a computer and malice can start a lie that hooks millions of people almost instantly.

Wicked Blue

(5,802 posts)
40. I could not work in my college dining hall without proof that I was tuberculosis-free
Fri Feb 12, 2021, 10:41 PM
Feb 2021

That was required by the state of NJ.

Incidentally, I worked as a newspaper reporter from the 1970s to 1990s.

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