Surprise! States That Make It Harder to Vote Had Lower Turnout in 2020
State-level turnout data shows why Republicans are so interested in making it harder to vote in the next election.
By Cameron Joseph
As Republicans make a sweeping voter suppression push nationwide, they insist it wont have any real impact on voters ability to cast their ballots. But a look at how voter turnout shifted in 2020 shows a strong link between states making it easier to vote and voters actually turning out.
In 2020, the states that showed the biggest jumps in voter turnout were almost uniformly states that also made it dramatically easier to vote, often by allowing everyone to vote by mail. And the states that saw the lowest turnout increases were all ones where its hard to voteand where lawmakers kept onerous rules in placelike bans on mail votingin spite of the pandemic.
You see this very stark correlation where states with higher usage of mail ballots had higher turnouts in the 2020 election, said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor and head of the United States Election Project. If you look at the change in turnout from 2016, you see a very strong correlation that the higher the change, the more permissive a states laws were in terms of allowing mail ballots. Correlation isnt causation, and the 2020 election was unique because of the coronavirus.
But these data show an undeniable correlation between mail voting laws and turnout in the last election. And that goes a way in explaining why Republicans seem so eager to make it harder to vote in a number of stateseven as they insist it has nothing to do with keeping Democrats from casting ballots.
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https://www.vice.com/en/article/g5bzpj/surprise-states-that-make-it-harder-to-vote-had-lower-turnout-in-2020