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UpInArms

(54,425 posts)
Wed Apr 7, 2021, 12:36 PM Apr 2021

The number of Americans identifying as Republican is the lowest it has been in a decade: Gallup poll

The GOP is losing its grip, according to the latest Gallup poll.

The number of Americans identifying as Republicans or as independents who lean toward the GOP dropped to 40% in the first quarter of 2021, compared with the number of Democrats or independents leaning toward the Democratic party hitting 49%. And that nine-percentage-point lead is the greatest Democratic advantage that Gallup has measured since the fourth quarter of 2012, when former President Barack Obama was re-elected.

Gallup routinely measures U.S. adults’ party identification and the political leanings of independents. The latest poll surveyed a random sample of 3,960 U.S. adults by phone between January and March of 2021. And while Democratic Party affiliation actually dropped by one point from the fourth quarter of 2020, to 30% — where it has hovered for most of the past eight years — the number of Americans identifying as independent rose to 44% from 38% last quarter. And this growing number of independents came at the expense of the Republican party, as 19% of independents said they lean Democrat, compared with 15% leaning Republican. Most of the remaining 11% of independents didn’t swing either way.

... snip ...

The report notes that Republicans enjoyed affiliation advantages for incumbent Republican presidents George H.W. Bush following the 1991 U.S. victory in the Gulf War, and George W. Bush in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. The GOP has also taken the lead in party affiliation after Republican midterm election sweeps in 1994, 2010 and 2014. Gallup suggests that the 2022 midterms could also give Republicans the opportunity to increase their ranks among voters again if they take back seats in the Senate and the House.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-number-of-americans-identifying-as-republican-is-the-lowest-its-been-in-a-decade-gallup-poll-11617812129?mod=home-page

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The number of Americans identifying as Republican is the lowest it has been in a decade: Gallup poll (Original Post) UpInArms Apr 2021 OP
Since W fuck ups. I saw lots of Republicans change to Libertarians, like that changed anything. LizBeth Apr 2021 #1
it does have an impact in states w closed primaries... getagrip_already Apr 2021 #2
40% Republican or Republican-leaning independents is still infuriatingly high unblock Apr 2021 #3
+1 peppertree Apr 2021 #6
Note to headline writers, there is a difference between "number" and "percentage." rzemanfl Apr 2021 #4
Thank you. Midnight Writer Apr 2021 #5
You're welcome. n/t rzemanfl Apr 2021 #7

getagrip_already

(17,802 posts)
2. it does have an impact in states w closed primaries...
Wed Apr 7, 2021, 12:52 PM
Apr 2021

Since only registered republicans would be able to vote in primaries, which drives nominated candidates much further right into full lunacy speed.

unblock

(56,081 posts)
3. 40% Republican or Republican-leaning independents is still infuriatingly high
Wed Apr 7, 2021, 12:59 PM
Apr 2021

Over a decade ago. I said if you're still a Republican after shrub's disastrous presidency, there's something seriously wrong with you.

Then Donnie said "hold my beer."

40% means we still haven't hit bottom.

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