General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWithout knowing where the population changes occur, we can't know...
where some of the new seats will go. Sure Texas will somehow gerrymander their new seats red, but can Montana do that? I believe they have a commission that does it. Does the population increase occur in the Billings area?
Colorado, too, uses a commission and has been trending blue anyway.
I refuse to panic.
PortTack
(32,755 posts)Be a +6 seat gain for the qgop. Turns out FL only got one and TX just 2. NY was thought to lose 2, only lost one
jimfields33
(15,774 posts)We really came out much better then predicted. Sure Montana may have another red district. But New York may take away a red one. It will be like that across the country.
KLRIQ2
(59 posts)The migration pattern is Blue Californians to Red districting. Not specifically or exclusively, but enough weighted on the Blue move that the seat losses will likely be countered by the purpling of many previously hard Red districts, so net gains.
It is most apparent in the Silicon Prairie development migration chain. In the last 10 years a large amount of tech has relocated jobs from Silicon Valley to Texas and other previously Red laden locations.
Most notably the Austin area, first influenced by South By Southwest drawing a seasonal influx of Tech, and then specific relocations of corporations influenced by the exposure of the area and its amenities (taxes, culture, cost of living) comparative to the Bay Area.
This has directly resulted in Blue enclaves that have begun and will continue to counter any redistricting or even most gerrymandering.
The diversity influx due to gentrification in those areas have made it alot harder to target lines as districts. Whole areas are no longer specifically one thing or the other, along gender/socio-economic/race/political presence, so gerrymandering doesn't often have as clear a target.
Thunderbeast
(3,406 posts)In the 90s, the ever-corrupt Congressman Tom DeLay led an effort to re-district (gerrymander) Texas in mid decade.
This unprecedented shameless action resulted in three more red congressional seats.
Texas is slowly turning red. If the dems can ever achieve fair representation in Austin, they should follow the new precident and gerrymander the GQP into oblivion!