Would the 2020 election have been easier or harder to win if Trump had resigned or been convicted?
For the purpose of this OP, The US House Ukrainian Impeachment Inquiry in 2019 results in the resignation or removal of Trump. Perhaps, this is achieved by Bolton coming forward and delivering bombshell house impeachment inquiry testimony. In any event, Mike Pence is POTUS on February 24, 2020, 6 months to the day from Speaker Pelosi announcing the impeachment inquiry.
Would Former Vice-President Biden have steamrolled over an enthusiasm-non existent moribund now President Pence winning a even bigger landslide than he actually did and perhaps 2 or 3 more Democratic senators elected? Or would President Pence have handled the defining moments of the 2020 campaign slightly more competently, Coronavirus and George Floyd, resulting in an actually close 50-50, 271-267 style final result for Joe? To satisfy the post-resignation/conviction enraged GOP base, would President Pence have had to tweet "Liberate Michigan" and parade around maskless not to mention pour troops into Lafayette Square for a photo-op post George Floyd?
Perhaps, we see a Trump V. Biden V Pence 3-way in 2020 if he resigns first before the senate could convict?
Which scenario do you think is more likely? It's hard not to dream about how much better things would have been if the 2019 impeachment inquiry had been successful, but at the same time, there is legitimate worry about whether or not President Pence could have turned the coronavirus and George Floyd disasters to his benefit somehow. We probably don't lose 14 house seats in 2020 either if Pence is President post Trump being gone somehow due to the impeachment inquiry.
Just thinking about this because if the impeachment inquiry had succeeded, we probably wouldn't have had the 1/6 insurrection nor be facing down the threat of a full-on authoritarian democracy-hating GOP today nor be dependent on Manchin.
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