Even with 7M more votes in 2022, democrats may still lose the House due to redistricting

[ffr]

Republicans eye new House majority through redistricting
-snip-

Republicans start with an advantage.

Their party will hold complete power over the redistricting process in 20 states that collectively send 188 members to the House, including Nebraska’s ostensibly nonpartisan state Senate, which is in practice run by Republicans.

Democrats will control the process in seven states that send 72 members to the House. Districts in 16 other states are drawn either by independent commissions or by divided government. The seven remaining states send only one at-large member to the House.

The GOP’s level of control, especially in critical battleground states, may be sufficient to gain the five extra seats they would need to reclaim the majority.

“If people voted exactly as they did in 2020 in Democratic and Republican wins, redistricting might give Republicans enough advantage to retake the House, but it depends so much on details,” said Sam Wang, founder of the Princeton Gerrymandering Project. - The RW rag that is The Hill

Link to tweet

Then we democrats just have to keep fighting for Americans as Biden/Harris, Schumer and Pelosi are doing. Keep popular American initiatives front and center and overwhelm the anit-American anti-democratic QOP minority movement again in 2022.

[FakeNoose]

1. The 2020 Census must be thrown out

Last edited Tue May 18, 2021, 06:18 PM - Edit history (1)

It's completely messed up for so many reasons - Chump and Covid are enough without going any further. It can't be "fixed" so let's just throw it out.

Pick another year, let's say 2023 and do the Census right, the way it should have been done in 2020. Have independent/non-partisan committees in each state draw up the new CD maps after the Census is complete. Maybe 2024 can be saved.

[jimfields33]

3. I don't think the constitution allows for that. Dates are very specific.

And a constitutional amendment? Well we all know the answer to that.

[LanternWaste]

7. Only thing is, whose (sic) dates?

Indeed... whose dates are those? Are they figs and not really dates? And if they are dates, whose (sic) dating who?





Just meaningless and idle questions with a veneer of sincere concern, yes?

[FoxNewsSucks]

2. Well, Manchin & Sinema are apparently OK with that

and with the Senate being blocked by Senators who represent a far smaller number of people than the Democrats represent.

I wish someone could explain what the hell is wrong with those two.

[dsc]

4. we are likely to lose 2 seats and the GOP gain 3 in NC

just before this election they were forced to redraw our congressional map more fairly which netted us 2 seats to we are 8 to 5 instead of 10 to 3 in favor of the GOP. After redistricting here it could be 11 to 3, it virtually certainly will be 10 to 4 if not 11 to 3. Best case scenario they will have that map for one election before our SCOTUS overturns the map. Worst case they get to keep the map for most of the decade or all the decade. Note: In NC the legislature has 100% of the power in terms of redistricting.

[WarGamer]

5. The House isn't elected by National Popular Vote...

In fact... a National Popular Vote victory and a dollar will get you a pack of gum from the 99 cent store and a penny in your pocket.

[ck4829]

9. Yep. About as valuable as "taking the high road" or "keeping the powder dry"

[PortTack]

6. We have our work cut out for us

Some of the maps will be challenged in the courts and will not stand. It’s already happened in WI.

[FBaggins]

8. I think it was closer to five million... but it doesn't matter much

Gerrymandering isn’t the only factor here. Democrats are simply more likely to live close together. Nothing short of extreme gerrymandering could make AOC’s district anything but tens of thousands of essentially “wasted” votes.