Poll shows Nina Turner leads Democratic party in race for Ohio's 11th Congressional District

[Autumn]

with support from 50% of likely voters

https://www.wkyc.com/article/news/politics/nina-turner-leads-poll-11th-congressional-district-race/95-5842fe8f-4824-4185-8020-c0f16a47da96

Turner is leading the Democratic contenders who are vying to fill former Rep. Marcia Fudge’s seat in Congress, according to a new poll. Turner’s campaign highlighted results of the poll Tuesday morning, which was conducted by Tulchin Research. You can explore the poll in the document at the bottom of this story.

“Notably, the poll shows Nina Turner with a sizable lead with support from 50% of likely voters,” her campaign said in a press release. “Across every demographic, Turner is the favorite to serve as OH-11’s next Congressperson.”

Since launching her campaign in December, Turner has also received numerous endorsements – including support from various politicians, organizations and celebrities.

Link to tweet

[JohnSJ]

1. From the person who said "voting for Joe Biden is like eating a bowl of s**t"

What a terrific person

[nycbos]

6. +!

[Trueblue1968]

55. i know you're using sarcasm. She isn't terrific, i don't like her. She lied about HILLARY

THE HORRIBLE THINGS SHE HAS SAID ABOUT OUR DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES. Hillary and Joe Biden. How can she call herself a Democrat.

[JohnSJ]

56. I think a lot of us are in agreement that point of view. No doubt I am sure she is happy with

those poll numbers

I would like to see what happens after the debates, and if some of the single digit candidates drop out after that, and where the undecideds go

[betsuni]

61. Her opinions about Democrats are based on alternative facts.

She likes to get very angry and make other people angry about things that aren't true, for some reason.

[StarfishSaver]

2. Lord help us all

[hlthe2b]

3. I am intensely disappointed by this. I'd hoped Shontel Brown would do better.

Still, this is a seriously gerrymandered district, so if Turner is the best we can do I guess this very unlikeable candidate will garner our support. By necessity.

[RandiFan1290]

4. This is great news!

[Demsrule86]

126. No it isn't. I live in Ohio. We could see a low turnout of Democrats...many dislike Nina very much..

and the Republican could win the seat.

[nycbos]

5. This women voted for Stein in 2016...

... to my understanding didn't support Joe Biden and now get the seat in Congress as a "Democrat"

Why isn't Brown pounding her on this issue?

Bernie Sanders has voice to very undesirable people.

I know this post is going to be altered on under the "support democrats" rule.


I submit to the people who will serve on the jury that Ms. Turner doesn't support Democrats, and Bernie Sanders isn't a Democrat anyway so my posts should stay up.

[comradebillyboy]

12. +++

[JohnSJ]

13. There are too many people in the race, and 21% are undecided. If the single digit candidates

United behind one candidate, along with the undecideds, it is still a very fluid situation

[George II]

68. She actually refused to support Biden in 2020. In fact soon after the Democratic Natl Convention....

....she and her followers held a "People's Convention" at which they decided to formally form a political party (their formation in 2017 wasn't as a "political party&quot .

Had they been better prepared and gotten registered in Ohio, Nina Turner would be running in November on the "People's Party" line. As it is, she is instead reluctantly running as a Democrat.

The People’s Party isn’t on the ballot in Ohio yet so she will have to run as a Democrat

https://peoplesparty.org/nina-turner-congress/

[regnaD kciN]

7. Here for the drama...

[Autumn]

9. I had no idea she would be doing that well. Maybe Katie Porter's endorsement helped.

Here, have one

[Hassin Bin Sober]

20. Katie Porter knows a great Democrat when she sees one!

[brooklynite]

72. Any idea who the great Democrat is?

[Demsrule86]

127. Nina Turner is not a Democrat. And great...no.

[Doremus]

105. Thanks for the thread.

My high regard for Nina goes back to a rally she held on our town square back when Shrub & Co. were beating war drums. So many of us were depressed, desperate for any shred of hope. We walked away from her barnburner filled with optimism and respect for our senator.

I'm looking forward to casting my vote for her again and sending another member of the Squad to Congress.

[Autumn]

128. We need more people that give us hope.

Other than her working for Bernie I didn't really pay attention to her. I am now and I like what I see.

[betsuni]

134. How can she give you hope if you "didn't really pay attention to her" until now?

Hope not based on a person's history and record, what they say and do, how they vote, their funding, their morals and judgement?

That's new. Every other politician is judged by their past.

[Autumn]

139. That's a weired interpretaion of my post. I didn't pay attention to Katie Porter till Gothmog

pointed out how great she was. I don't live in their state or districts why would I know about them unless someone points out their record.

[womanofthehills]

136. I like that she is the most progressive candidate

Link to tweet

?s=21

[betsuni]

141. According to The American Conservative Union, which judges how often elected officials

vote in favor of issues important to Republicans:

Lifetime ratings:

Nina Turner 14.92%

Joe Biden 12.47%

Hillary Clinton 7.89%

Barack Obama 7.56%

Bernie Sanders 6.17%

Kamala Harris 4.45%

Amy Klobuchar 4.81%

[George II]

112. It always helps when a candidate pays the pollster $80,000+. So far this year the Turner campaign..

...paid Tulchin Research $80,000 in Jan and Feb, no numbers available yet for April to June.

[Autumn]

122. Cool. She's got plenty of money for her campign and it sounds like she's getting her moneys worth.

Polls are like air to politicians. Political polling is a loss-leader, trading information for public exposure and better name recognition. She's got this.

[George II]

125. You have no problem with the possibility of these poll results being "fudged"? At least she got....

....her money's worth.

[Autumn]

132. Polls are right or they are wrong. So you have proof that polls results are being fudged

for Nina? I doubt that very much George. The polls in the election Trump won were mostly wrong, it all depends on the answers people give them. The excuses for those polls were all over the place. Fivethirtyeight was certainly wrong.

[George II]

135. Autumn, all I know is that Nina Turner paid for that poll. Can't wait for the 2Q FEC filings....

....are available to see what the total price was/is, Autumn.

But as of now, Autumn, almost 1/10th of ALL of her expenditures went to the "Research" company that conducted the poll.

Most of the polls that were "wrong" about trump were conducted by independent pollsters, Autumn, not pollsters that were paid BY the candidate who "won".

I'd wait until a credible, independent poll comes out before getting excited, Autumn.

[Autumn]

140. I don't need a poll Geotge. All of the state senate Democrats in her district endorsed her.

And Katie Porter. I'm thinking they know her and respect her. Accusing her of fudging a poll is a pretty crappy thing to do.

[George II]

143. That's incorrect, Autumn. The fact is "all the state Senators in CUYAHOGA COUNTY....

....in the 11th District" endorsed her, not the district overall, and not even Cuyahoga County overall.

That's a far cry from "all the state senate Democrats in her District".

In fact, Cuyahoga County is only a small part of OH-11 (roughly 25-30%), Autumn. And "all" those state senators are a total of three, Autumn. Those three state senators represent probably about a quarter of OH-11.

The media and "press releases" are playing fast and loose with the facts and misrepresenting them, Autumn.

[Autumn]

146. You sure spend a lot of time on someone you despise George.

[George II]

149. I have no idea what you're talking about, Autumn, but I see you didn't address....

....this incorrect statement:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=15487735

140. I don't need a poll Geotge. All of the state senate Democrats in her district endorsed her.

Only three state senators in OH-11 endorsed her, representing only a small part of the district, Autumn.

[LakeArenal]

8. Well, better stick with what the voters want.

[comradebillyboy]

10. That's a real shame...nt

[Hassin Bin Sober]

11. Cant keep a great Democrat down!

[comradebillyboy]

14. Jill Stein voter is a great Democrat?

Really?

[nycbos]

15. Thank you

[Autumn]

16. The Democrats in Ohio seem to think so. nt

[JohnSJ]

17. Jill Stein is not a Democrat. There is also a significant number of undecided voters, and if you

add all the single digit candidates, this is still a fluid race

[Autumn]

22. Yes it's a fluid race if all but one drops out. If all of them get behind only one candidate.

If all Independents get behind one candidate. That's a lot of "if's" and one or two of those probably won't happen.

[JohnSJ]

24. Ok, but I wouldn't be trying to equate Jill Stein as a Democrat, and that is what your post implies

that I was responding to

[Autumn]

27. I don't consider Jill Stein as having any part of this discussion. nt

[JohnSJ]

33. That is what I thought you were responding to. Thanks

[sheshe2]

41. You don't need to consider it or mention it.

However she is an important part of the discussion. Nina voted for her instead of our Democratic nominee.

Fact.

[Autumn]

44. She is not mentioned in the OP or by anyone who is discussing the OP and the poll.

Fact. A lot of people who are Democrats have voted for an Independent or green because they have voted their consciences, stayed home or voted for someone else they preferd, past polls have shown that . In most elections that Independent vote has not made a damn bit of difference but sadly enough it did matter in two.

[sheshe2]

57. First of all...

[div class="excerpt]"She is not mentioned in the OP or by anyone who is discussing the OP and the poll.

This is a message board and I brought up an important point in regards to Nina.

As I said, she is a VERY important part of the discussion. So what if she wasn't brought up in the OP. I understand why she was not brought up. She is a huge disqualifier for NINA. Not a good look to have any part of Jill.

A lot of people who are Democrats have voted for an Independent or green because they have voted their consciences, stayed home or voted for someone else they preferd, past polls have shown that . In most elections that Independent vote has not made a damn bit of difference but sadly enough it did matter in two.

It DOES MAKE A DIFFERENCE and THAT is how we lose elections. Hurt feelings .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

[Autumn]

65. First of all... she. I responded to a poster who confused me with someone else talking about Jill

Stein. Fact is she was not mentioned by me or other people talking about the OP. IMHO anyone who gets hurt feelings over how anyone else votes has a problem. People can also have unfavotable opinions of politicians and are allowed to voice them. Freedom of speech and all that. Do I think she should have said what she did about Joe? No I think she should have kept her mouth shut, but it didn't hurt my feelings a bit. I vote based on MY opinion of a politician, not what someon says about them. YMOV.

[sheshe2]

70. Welp.

[div class="excerpt"Stein. Fact is she was not mentioned by me or other people talking about the OP. IMHO anyone who gets hurt feelings over how anyone else votes has a problem. People can also have unfavotable opinions of politicians and are allowed to voice them. Freedom of speech and all that.

Oh boy. "People that gets hurt feelings over how anyone else votes has a problem." Please stop. People who hate a certain politician, spew their hate see Sue and Nina lose us elections. Elections have consequences and the helped give us a man that wants rob of us our democratic process.

Whatever, Autumn.

[Autumn]

71. Welp.

Whatever,she. Do take care.

[sheshe2]

74. Welp.

You take care as well Autumn. Sleep tight.

[George II]

75. "Fact. A lot of people who are Democrats have voted for an Independent or green....."

Not many, if any, who eventually wound up running for Congress or higher as a Democrat, as Ms. Turner is doing.

[Autumn]

77. That is very true. But she certainly is doing well. nt

[sheshe2]

78. ...

[Autumn]

30. Jill Stein was never mentioned by me. You have me confused with the poster who brings her

up. I posted about Nina Turner and her poll numbers in Ohio.

[JohnSJ]

34. Thanks for pointing that out

[Demsrule86]

130. No they don't. There is 21 candidates. She has a sliver of support and could very well lose the

seat. These third-party types are more likely to screw us over than win. She is not liked in Ohio and blamed for Hillary's loss. I live in Oho...Cleveland area.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

18. Served her constituents and the party for 6 years as a Democratic State Senator and 2 years...

.... on the Cleveland City Council as a Democrat.

Before that a Legislative Aid to a Democratic State Senator and Executive Aid to a Democratic Mayor of Cleveland.

Ba, Ma, Tenured History Professor.

Who are you to declare her not part of our Party?

[sheshe2]

21. She declared herself as a third party voter.

Her votes, not mine.

[George II]

87. Turner was appointed State Senator, and has never defeated anyone in an election.

As for two years on the Cleveland city council, Shontel Brown served an equal amount of time, two years, on the Cuyahoga County Council, and still is on the council. Cleveland is just one of many municipalities within Cuyahoga county.

Cleveland: 325,000 people
Cuyahoga County: 1,235,000 people

[sheshe2]

19. Curious what your true definition of a great Democrat is.

She voted for Jill Stein and not the Democratic candidate. Said voting for Biden is like eating a bowl of shit. I doubt she ate any sh*t, so I assume she did not vote for him either.

Care to share?

[progressoid]

28. My brother was a great Democrat

Registered Democrat his whole life.
Member and president of his local teacher's union.
Pro science
Pro choice
Pro environment
Pro everything Democrats stand for.

He once voted for Ralph Nader once, yet he was a great Democrat.

[sheshe2]

35. Did he liken a Democratic Presidential candidate to eating a bowl of shit?

Did he ever run for office? Did he insult Democrats? He voted for a third party, that was his choice.

From what you have said about him he never denigrated his party that he was proud of.

Huge difference.

[progressoid]

101. And there's the problem.

There will never be a true definition of a great Democrat.
It's the No True Scotsman fallacy.

[George II]

118. Well, anyone who compared our DEMOCRATIC Presidential candidate to he opponent, and calls....

....both a "half bowl of shit" certainly won't be very high on the list of "great Democrats", if she's on it at all.

One can't hide from one's own words, as she's probably finding out in this campaign.

[George II]

76. Did he ever decide to run for Congress as a Democrat?

[progressoid]

104. So only people who run for office can be part of the Great Democrat discussion?

Regardless, this simply amplifies how meaningless it is to find a "true definition" of a Democrat.

"The world is messy. There are ambiguities. People who do really good stuff have flaws."

- Barack Obama

[George II]

106. Who said only those who run for office? But a "true Democrat" doesn't call our Democratic nominee...

....for President a "half bowl of shit" barely two months before the election, donald trump being the other half, basically equating Joe Biden with donald trump.

It's amazing how presumed Democrats forgive and make excuses for people who do so, especially in today's polarized political atmosphere.

[progressoid]

109. Uh, you literally brought running for office into the mix.

Star Member George II (62,436 posts)
76. Did he ever decide to run for Congress as a Democrat?

[George II]

110. And?

[progressoid]

114. And what?

You asked, "Did he ever decide to run for Congress as a Democrat?

Then you asked "Who said only those who run for office?"

You set the parameters and then questioned who set those parameters.

I feel like I'm interrupting a conversation you're having with yourself.

[George II]

117. And, you make a claim based on circuitous logic, I respond, you respond with a question, etc. etc...

I.e.,

114. And what?

You asked, "Did he ever decide to run for Congress as a Democrat?

Then you asked "Who said only those who run for office?"

You set the parameters and then questioned who set those parameters.

I feel like I'm interrupting a conversation you're having with yourself.

No, YOU set the parameters, I simply asked you to elaborate on them. And in your transcript above you conveniently left out your unresponsive responses.

I've been through this before, that's why I first!

[Demsrule86]

131. Don't run for office as a Democrat unless you are a Democrat...pretty simple.

[vsrazdem]

59. +++

[George II]

60. This is how The People's Party, the party that she co-founded, announced Turners' candidacy:

The People’s Party isn’t on the ballot in Ohio yet so she will have to run as a Democrat

https://peoplesparty.org/nina-turner-congress/

Obviously her preference would have been to run on the People's Party line, but they didn't get registered in Ohio in time.

The question is, if elected, when 2022 rolls around will she run as a Democrat or People's Party candidate?

[ChubbyStar]

62. Why don't you call and ask her? n/t

[George II]

64. Not interested in talking to her. Why don't you call her and report back?

[ChubbyStar]

67. Sorry I don't run errands for you

and I don't have any questions of my own for her.

[George II]

69. Well, I figured since you asked me to "run errands for you" in your previous post, I'd reciprocate.

[ChubbyStar]

79. Try to keep up George YOU asked this question

"The question is, if elected, when 2022 rolls around will she run as a Democrat or People's Party candidate?" So I suggested you call her, I did not ask a question. Understand?

[George II]

82. I know I asked a question. And so did you. "Try to keep up"?

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=15486552

79. Try to keep up George YOU asked this question

"The question is, if elected, when 2022 rolls around will she run as a Democrat or People's Party candidate?" So I suggested you call her, I did not ask a question. Understand?

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=15486426

Star Member ChubbyStar (2,978 posts)

62. Why don't you call and ask her? n/t

That punctuation at the end of your "n/t" sentence signified a question has been asked

[ChubbyStar]

85. LMAO you are so funny

Thanks for keeping the thread kicked!

[George II]

97. Not funny, but pragmatic and logical. So did you or did you not ask a question?

[ChubbyStar]

98. Better ask your magic 8 ball George

I'm off to write a check to Nina. Bye.

[George II]

100. Don't need to, ChubbyStar, it's all there in black and white. And to think you said you didn't.....

So I guess I HAVE been keeping up, eh?

I'm off to write a check to Shontel. It's my third. Bye.

[Uncle Joe]

25. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread Autumn.

[calguy]

26. She has name recognition in Ohio.

Not so much in the rest of the country.

[progressoid]

32. Since she's running in Ohio, that's a good thing.

[Bettie]

29. Not a fan of Ms. Turner

she's made some statements that are...awful.

But, when there are a whole bunch of candidates, the one with better name recognition will lead.

[krawhitham]

31. What is wrong with my state? This woman is an enemy of the Democratic party

[Autumn]

36. Some of your state Democratic Senaters seem to think she's a part of the Democratoc party.

U.S. congressional candidate Nina Turner now endorsed by every Democratic state senator from Cuyahoga County

"I support Nina Turner in her run for the 11th Congressional district because she will fight for racial, economic and reproductive justice, fairness and equality for all of the people," Antonio said in a statement. "Ohio needs her progressive voice in Washington and I am proud to endorse her."

"During the fight against SB 5, Senator Turner and I battled in the trenches with our Democratic colleagues and our union brothers and sisters to protect the rights of working Ohioans," Yuko said. "I have seen firsthand her passion and her dedication to the people she represents. I know she will do us proud as a member of the United States Congress."

Added Williams: “I have known Senator Turner personally and professionally. I know her character and her heart. She is an unrelenting advocate who has represented the Greater Cleveland area well. She has fought for justice at the local and national level, never forgetting her humble beginnings or her responsibility to the people of Cuyahoga County. I know our community will be well served with her in Congress.”

In a statement, Turner thanked Antonio and Cuyahoga County’s entire Democratic Senate Delegation for its support.

https://www.wkyc.com/article/news/politics/nina-turner-democratic-state-senator-endorsements/95-345eb235-772c-42fd-8cfe-d605915204ca

[JohnSJ]

38. We will see what happens. I assume there will be debates, and that may change things

Also, it depends how many of those sing digit candidates realize they don’t have a chance, along with 21% who are undecided

No doubt this is good news for Turner, but I am reminded what happened before the South Carolina primary. Everyone had written Biden off, and then the South Carolina primary happened, and candidates dropped out, and unified behind one candidate, which made the very real chance for a contested primary zero.

This isn’t a national election, but one district in Ohio, so things are different, but it follows a pattern what happens when you have too many candidates in a race.

Trump got in the republican primary in 2016, because there were too many candidates in their primary, and they effectively eliminated each other, and trump had the larger base

Unless some of the single digit candidates drop out, this is Turner’s race to lose

[George II]

99. Turns out it's probably a fake poll. The pollster is on the payroll of the Turner campaign and...

...through the first two months of 2021 has already been paid $80,000. We won't know how much more, if anything, they've been paid until the 2nd quarter reports are filed in early July.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

120. I am not surprised by this

[Chili]

113. people don't know what she's like

Her dark side would have to be exposed so that people know. This district (mine) has been spoiled with Louis Stokes, followed by Stephanie Tubbs-Jones, followed by Marcia Fudge. Spoiled, have never even had to pay attention to primaries. Now we're going to pay for it because voters don't know what she's really like.

[betsuni]

115. Agree.

They don't know, and only people who follow politics closely know her history. Until rather recently no one would imagine someone running as a Democrat hating Democrats.

[Chili]

116. yes

If I had never read DU or posted here, I would know nothing about her beyond her pro-Bernie interviews back in 2016.

[uponit7771]

129. yep, this is one person who's shown she's not going to do the right thing

[LanternWaste]

37. Which half of the bowl is she? Or does she instead expect the voters to eat the whole thing?

[sheshe2]

58. Ouch.

[krawhitham]

40. Not sure I buy this poll, Tulchin research has been opening pushing for Nina

Company of 1 - 10 employees https://www.linkedin.com/company/tulchin-research
Who openly pushing for the candidate https://twitter.com/TulchinResearch (scroll back to Feb)




Plus they seem to have a working relationship with her

Link to tweet

After months of backing Bernie

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Maybe polling companies shouldn't be backing one candidate over others if they want to be taken seriously

[George II]

51. Not exactly an unbiased or objective pollster, don't you think?

[OilemFirchen]

53. They're a small group of campaign operatives.

There's no evidence in the biographies of their five named staff that any are actual polling professionals, though Ben Tulchin claims experience with some polling companies. What that experience entailed is anyone's guess.

And, speaking of guesses, there's no need to make one here, courtesy of his own biography:

He most recently served as Bernie Sanders’s pollster in the U.S. Senator’s presidential campaign where Sanders far exceeded expectations by winning 13 million votes, 23 contests and 46% of the pledged delegates.

BTW, no crosstabs for this poll, conducted via landlines, cell phones, emails and texts, but we do know that the MOE is 4%.

I'll venture that this "poll" was commissioned by the Turner campaign.

[George II]

63. Apparently they're located in San Francisco, and as you point out are very small. In several years..

....they've conducted only three polls on which Fivethirtyeight could rate them, so they gave them a B/C provisional rating.

They appear to be the Old Towne Media of pollsters.

[tavernier]

66. No. NO NO NO NO NO.

Nonsense.

[BannonsLiver]

148. Its probably an overstatement to call it a poll

It was posted by the OP to chum the water.

[dansolo]

42. Sounds like a bogus poll

This pollster has no real track record, and a history of supporting Bernie. This poll sounds like bullshit.

[sheshe2]

45. ...

[George II]

49. Fivethirtyeight gives them a B/C provisional rating and an "R" bias.

[Autumn]

73. Ah yes George, Fivethirtyeight is ALWAYS right.

[George II]

80. Autumn, they ARE always right with their poll RATINGS. Do you have any examples of where their....

....RATING of a pollster was wrong, Autumn?

A little background on this "pollster", Autumn. They've conducted only three credible polls over the years, two in California in 2010 (that's 11 years ago) and one in NY in 2018, in which they were wrong, Autumn.

Also, Autumn, based on all the tweets in post #40 here, they've had a close working relationship with Sanders and his people over the years. You do recall, Autumn, that Nina Turner was one of Sanders' co-chairs.

This is not a poll result upon which I'd hand my hat, Autumn.

[Autumn]

81. I don't hang my hat on anything George. Yes I recall that very well.

[George II]

83. I take it then, Autumn, that you agree that 538 is accurate in their pollster ratings....

[Autumn]

86. I've never paid any attention to their polls so I really can't agree with you on that George

but I do know they have not always been right

[George II]

94. Autumn, we're not talking about 538's polls, we're talking about their ratings of polls....

And they've never been proven to be wrong on their ratings.



By the way, as recently noted in this discussion, Tulchin Research boasts on their website that they were "most recently served as Bernie Sanders’s pollster in the U.S. Senator’s presidential campaign", so inasmuch as Turner was Sanders' (NOT Sanders's as he incorrectly states) was the house pollster of a candidate for which Turner was co-chair, that further proves the lack of credibility of this poll and the pollster.

Guess what, Nina Turner paid Tulchin Research $80,000 for "consulting" this year!!! What a shock!

[Cuthbert Allgood]

137. 538 does polls now?

[George II]

145. According to some they do. Until yesterday I thought their primary objective was to compile polls...

...analyze them, and rate the pollsters (i.e., A, B, C, D....)

[betsuni]

142. New Rule: Fiddledeedee, I don't pay attention to Nina Turner or polls or any of that old stuff.

If you don't stop saying all these things I don't pay attention to, I'm not going to eat barbecue with you at the party!

[George II]

144. Don't worry Ashley, I'll still eat barbeque with you!

[sheshe2]

150. This!

[George II]

108. Their last big polling job was working for Sanders....

"He most recently served as Bernie Sanders’s pollster in the U.S. Senator’s presidential campaign"

https://tulchinresearch.com/team/ben-tulchin/

And it turns out that he was paid $80,000 by Nina Turner's campaign in Jan/Feb this year (no April - June numbers available yet)

He's conducted only three credible polls as a "pollster" (before this one) - two in 2010 and one in 2018. Not exactly Gallup or Pew!

[jalan48]

46. I remember when AOC upset powerful Dem Rep Joe Crowley. Some here on DU thought the world

was coming to an end.

[George II]

48. I remember when a certain Senator was leading in the polls in all 50 states!

[jalan48]

50. I remember that certain Senator has tens of millions of supporters.

[George II]

52. Try 9,207,185 supporters.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/democratic_vote_count.html

[jalan48]

54. My bad not tens of millions rather 13 million+ in 2016 and 9.6 million in 2020. Other than the

winners who else did better?

[Cha]

84. lol.. yeah.. who could forget that BOGUS

claim.

So Grateful We Have President Biden & VP Kamala Harris!

And, Neera Tanden as Biden's Senior Advisor!

[George II]

47. Tulchin Research???

Fivethirtyeight gives them a provisional rating of B/C with a right leaning bias.

No thanks.

[Budi]

91. Tulchin was Bernie Sanders' campaign pollster🙄. Do we have any other legit non-biased poll?

Tulchin Research founder Ben Tulchin:
(Not sure what year this bio was written but he's a past Bernie Sanders pollster&quot
So regardless of all the kudos & creds he lists, Tulchin is close to Bernie Sanders campaigns.

GO FIGURE WHY NINA SUDDENLY SHOWS UP POLLING at 50%! 🙄

https://tulchinresearch.com/team/ben-tulchin/

SNIP
"He most recently served as Bernie Sanders’s pollster in the U.S. Senator’s presidential campaign where Sanders far exceeded expectations by winning 13 million votes, 23 contests and 46% of the pledged delegates."

Considering the results of 2 Presidential primaries, I'd say Mr Tulchin's polling isn't something to put a lot of faith in.

"Money & Media" he said...

[George II]

92. So he's basically a house pollster for the Turner campaign. No wonder he's a virtual unknown.

[Budi]

93. Out of State Big $$$ PACS financing & Personal Pollsters polling data

🤪

[George II]

96. Not only that, but apparently Turner bought that poll. She's paid Tulchin Research $80,000 so far!!!

[Budi]

102. Makes ya curious what the ACTUAL #'s reveal.

Anxious to see what #'s an independent non-bought or biased poll would show.

Are we hearing from any other pollster yet?

[George II]

103. There have been no other polls yet. So much for "unbought and unbossed" and keeping money out....

...of politics, eh?

[womanofthehills]

119. U.S. congressional candidate Nina Turner now endorsed by every Democratic state senator from Cuyahog

On Wednesday, Ohio State Senator Nickie Antonio announced her endorsement of Turner, who is running to fill the U.S. Congress seat that was vacated by United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Marcia Fudge. In addition to Antonio, Ohio Senate Minority Leader Kenny Yuko and Minority Whip Sandra Williams have backed Turner in her bid for the Ohio 11 congressional special election.

Link to tweet

?s=21

[George II]

123. "Every", i.e. three.

[Sympthsical]

88. Words cannot express how deeply disappointed I am

That I did not pick up some popcorn while at the store just now

[Hassin Bin Sober]

89. Lol

Cheesy caramel is my favorite but good old DU popcorn works in a pinch.

[oasis]

90. "Good Democrats" backed our Dem candidate against Trump in '16 and '20.

"Good Democrats" knew Trump would be a national disaster. And he was.

What kind of a "Good Democrat" would not work as hard as they could to prevent 4 more years of a chaotic Trump presidency?

[George II]

95. News Flash! This "poll" was conducted by Tulchin Research. Nina Turner paid Tulchin Research....

...EIGHTY THOUSAND DOLLARS earlier this year!!!

Further confirmation that this is a fake poll.

[betsuni]

107. Interesting. But ... grassroots? What happened to grassroots?

I thought money in politics was bad.

[Chili]

111. it's very unfortunate

She's running very good ads that don't even hint at what kind of person she will be if she wins. To beat her, Shontel Brown will have to go dirty and quote that "sh*t" remark she made about Biden, and her ugliness against Hillary - but not sure any of that would work. Crying in my iced tea.

[Roisin Ni Fiachra]

121. Good. She'll win the November election easily. nt

[Demsrule86]

133. she is disliked in Ohio. I don't believe this poll and believe she would have difficult time winning

in 22. She is blamed quite a bit for Hillary Clinton's loss in 16.

[Roisin Ni Fiachra]

138. No Republican can possibly win Ohio's 11th District. It's only 39% white.

Especially after the former guy alienated every minority group on earth.

The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC has endorsed her. The people will decide, and no amount of Republican voter suppression will stop them.

[George II]

152. She'll have to defeat Shontel Brown first. Can't wait for Marsha Fudge's endorsement to drop.

[Demsrule86]

124. Well now that I sold my house, I can work for her opponent. I despise Nina Turner.

She is running as a Democrat (using the Democratic Party but is not a Democrat. I will never forget nor forgive her comments about Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, and other Democrats. She gets my vote only in the General and grudgingly too.

[RegularJam]

147. Why are they concealing who commissioned the poll? nt

[sheshe2]

151. +1