What would you say are the chances of us retaining control of the House and Senate in 2022?

[Poiuyt]

It seems that people are talking about about the out-of-power party making big gains in this election cycle (1st term president and both houses of Congress all controlled by the same party). But Biden has good approval numbers, and the Republicans in Congress haven't done anything to stand above the crowd.

I know that all races are close and that outcome depends on turnout. That said, what do you think of the chances of the Democrats keeping control of Congress? After Mitch McConnell's comment today, I'm particularly interested in your opinion regarding the Senate.

[sprinkleeninow]

1. I heard commentary tonight on the same.

I hated what I heard. Yes, the vote turnout is pretty much the key. But then the non-stop dirty tactics.

I'm a person of Faith. Yes, some discount this. I understand. But right now it's one of the only things that keeps me going.

[tritsofme]

2. I'm optimistic about the Senate, the map favors Democrats

Much less bullish on our chances of keeping the House.

[Hugin]

3. They are basing the statement on precedent.

In a time when nothing is precedent.

I personally believe the hollering is noise to cover up the crime the Republicans are commiting against the American electorate.

It's the old... "What? Well, the sitting President's party always does poorly in the midterms." by the Pundits.

[napi21]

4. Chances would be GOOD if we all started NOW telling all Dems we ALL have to vote & why!

That's basically how Stacy Abrams got the win of both Senate Candidates in Ga. when all predictions were they'd lose.

[OhioChick]

5. I agree!

Dems are known for low turnout for midterms.

Need to start raising the alarm bells in regard to how important midterm elections are.

[doc03]

6. How would I know? If I was asked in 2015 what is

the chances of Trump being elected president I would have said there isn't no way people are that stupid.

[LymphocyteLover]

7. CW is we will lose the House and retain the senate, maybe add a seat or two in the senate

But it's entirely up in the air as we are in uncharted territory with this fascist GOP and possible voters reect them big time

[JCMach1]

8. Chance for a narrow retain pending what happens between now and then

[GoodRaisin]

9. I think our chances are much better than the spew spitting MSM is spreading

based on "history" as if the Republicans are entitled this time around. We need to fight off the anti-democracy legislation so that results can't be overturned in Republican state legislatures and can GOTV.

[Deminpenn]

12. +1

I think Dems are motivated to vote as well.

[CTyankee]

10. Maybe we will since that appears to be the history of those elections. But it shouldn't stop us from

trying. You never can tell.

[SKKY]

11. It will depend 100% on turn-out....

...if turn-out is high, we're in good shape. If turn-out is depressed, Republicans will do well. But, we all knew that. We may pick up a seat or two in the Senate, but the house worries me; not gonna lie. But in any case, what we can't have anymore of are candidates like Cal Cunningham or Sarah Gideon. Our best shots in the Senate, IMHO, are flipping North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Missouri, and Wisconsin. Ryan in Ohio is a possibility as well. I'm less optimistic on Rubio. But, we have exposure with Kelly and Warnock so we have to shore them up as much as possible as well.

[uponit7771]

15. +1, make democracy an issue on the ballot from local to state and we'll have turn out

[bearsfootball516]

13. Keeping the Senate is good. House will be much, much tougher.

Just by redistricting alone, GOP will flip the seats needed to take back the House. Then you have the usual midterm advantage the out-of-power party has.

[sarisataka]

14. I would say 50-50,

Either we will or we won't.

I will assume it is actually 40-60 so I need to support every Democrat I can just to stay even.

[Klaralven]

16. 15% House, 30% Senate

[Johonny]

17. Better if Trump is the central figure in the election, worse if local politics is the central figure

Trump did much worse than house Republicans last election. The more Trump inserts himself into the election such as pushing to be speaker of the house, the way better chances of Democrats doing well in 2022. Trump polls terrible in purple districts the Democrats have to have.

[Poiuyt]

18. Trump as Speaker of the House?

There's a thought that should scare you!

[Elessar Zappa]

19. I think we'll definitely

keep the Senate and possibly increase our lead. The House will be more difficult but if Biden’s approval ratings remain high and we turnout in large numbers, we can keep the House also.

[Doremus]

20. We're going to lose if we don't fulfill campaign promises.

We have to take important steps now or not only are we going to lose the Senate next year, we're going to lose the whole fucking enchilada.

- Get rid of filibuster!
- Pass election reform!
- DC and PR statehood!

Clock is ticking and we are running out of time.