General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTell me the difference between these two lists:
Marjorie Taylor-Greens
Lauren Boebert
Matt Gaetz
Louie Gohmert
Jim Jordan
David Valadao
Mike Garcia
Kim Young
Ashley Arenholz
Yvette Herrell
Answer: List A is five of the most well-known, right-wing extremists in Congress. People you know and hate. You're likely to receive emails from Democratic candidates who are targeting these Republicans, and are appealing to your visceral hatred of them for support. They're ALSO in virtually safe seats (R+20 or better) and absent a criminal conviction, the chances of beating them are minimal.
List B is a group of Republicans you probably haven't heard of. Each beat a Democratic incumbent in a competitive district in 2020 (Biden won several of them)
In 2022, its essential for us to hold on to the House, and we'll have to deal with the impact of gerrymandering and voter suppression, especially in Red-leaning States. If you're going to to financially support candidates, which group of seats is more likely to be winnable?
FakeNoose
(41,936 posts)That's the only way we can keep the majority.
Let's go Democrats! Let's get to work!
WheelWalker
(9,408 posts)Elessar Zappa
(16,385 posts)a lot of progressives made in 2020 by donating to the opponents of McConnell and Graham, races we were very unlikely to win. If more had focused on Maine and North Carolina we would be in much better shape right now. As for 2022, Im in Yvette Herrells district and I plan on doing everything I can to ensure she loses.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)But a lot of fundraising (certainly the requests I get) are on a national scale.
brush
(61,033 posts)a socialist. We lost several House seats over those.
dsc
(53,416 posts)as the candidate had nearly 7 figures remaining at the end. I don't know what Cunningham had left, but I doubt any amount of money would have made a difference in NC either. In NC we had a bunch of statewide races (3 supreme court justices, several appellate judges, Gov, Lt Gov, AG, Treasurer, Sec of State, Labor Commissioner, AG Commissioner, Supt of Public Instruction, Insurance Commissioner, Auditor) We won a grand total of 4, Gov 4.5, AG by 0.26, Auditor by 1.7, and Sec of State by 1.3. All 4 were incumbents, Cooper Gov, and Stein AG were running for their first reelection, while both Wood Auditor and Marshall SOS were long term incumbents. Wood has been auditor since 2009 while Marshall has been SOS since 1997. All four had strong brands going in and it should be noted only Cooper won comfortably.
The rest of the open races were lost by us by fairly close to the same amount. Open races Lt Gov 2.7, Ins 3.5, Labor 1.7, Supt 2.7. The 2 with a GOP incumbent Ag 7.7, Treasurer 5.1.
Judicial races all GOP wins Chief justice 401 votes out of 5.4 million cast, seat 2 1.4, seat 4 2.4 only the Chief Justice had an incumbent who was a Democrat. Appellate judges 5 seats margins of 3.5, 2.5, 1.9, 3.5 and 2.3.
We also had Biden and Cunningham
Biden lost by 1.3, Cunningham by 1.7. So Cunningham out performed every Dem on the ballot except the four winners and two of the 3 Supreme Court justices one of whom was an incumbent, and Biden. I highly doubt an extra million or two would have changed that outcome.
https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=11/03/2020&county_id=0&office=FED&contest=0
above is link to results
The Magistrate
(96,043 posts)This is a triage situation. Trying to be strong everywhere can make you weak everywhere instead. Force must be concentrated, and aimed to obtainable objectives.
Sucha NastyWoman
(3,020 posts)Response to The Magistrate (Reply #6)
Sucha NastyWoman This message was self-deleted by its author.
Lonestarblue
(13,521 posts)WaPo has an article today on how wrong polls were in 2016 and even more so in 2020. But what if the polls were not so wrong? In every state (Kentucky, South Carolina, Maine) where polls showed a close race between candidates, the Republican won by a large, unexpected margin. Every one of those states, along with the majority of Republican-run states, uses ES&S voting machines with no paper backups. Given Trumps expectation that Georgia could simply change votes, I wonder whether that has happened with ES&S machines and he knew that. Of course, Georgia had Dominion machines with paper backups that showed a very close matchup of totals.
McConnell won in Kentucky counties with heavy Democratic constituents. How? Jaime Harrison was essentially tied with Graham on election day, but Graham won with a margin of more than 12%. Were the polls truly that wrong, or were Republican elections officials cheating? Given the Republican Partys purge of people like the Georgia Secretary of State for refusing to create votes for Trump, I cannot help but suspect cheating. After all, it is Republican elections officials who certify voting machines for elections. Also, ES&S has sold some voting machines with wifi connections. These machines are not supposed to be connected to the Internet.
CrispyQ
(41,013 posts)Electronic voting without paper ballots is just wrong. We need election standardization. My state makes it incredibly easy to register to vote & to vote with DMV registration, same-day registration, mail-in voting, early voting, ballot drop-off boxes, & our elections are secure & we have backup paper ballots with audits. It's not democratic that it's easier to vote in CO than other states. BTW, CO repubs are working to make it harder to vote in CO, but fortunately our state legislature is blue. But they will keep trying.
nevergiveup
(4,815 posts)only won by I believe 2000 votes In November. Most monies I have will be going to her as the Repubs are going to be pouring a ton of money into this district to defeat her. We must save her seat.
Ford_Prefect
(8,632 posts)than about the money per se.
For what it is worth progressives have a right to representation and have a meaningful place in this party and party history right up to half an hour ago.
If Democrats do not contest seats everywhere we concede the debate if not the actual power to those who howl the loudest, and with the biggest war chest. To silence even a losing campaign is to abandon those in that district and the surrounding area.
I lived in NC when the Democratic National Committee came calling in NC to hunt up votes for several Presidents and Senators while it ignored the impact of national GOP strategy and money on local candidates. That was a bad move every single time, and the concept that we should now apply it elsewhere is stunningly naïve, not to mention cruel.
Initech
(108,943 posts)Beat Gil Cisneros and the election was mostly based on bullshit, which is 99% of the conservative argument these days.
SCantiGOP
(14,735 posts)should be mandatory reading for everyone on DU.
wryter2000
(47,940 posts)11 Bravo
(24,323 posts)Let's keep an eye on what matters, and expend our time, energy, and money where they're most likely to make a difference.
Tommymac
(7,334 posts)STATEHOUSE FUTURES: A Progressive Policy and Strategy Summit for a New Generation of Leaders
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