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Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:49 PM

Could the deaths of unvaccinated Republicans affect the election?

(Math is hard.)

22 replies, 975 views

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Arrow 22 replies Author Time Post
Reply Could the deaths of unvaccinated Republicans affect the election? (Original post)
Patterson Jul 2021 OP
Auggie Jul 2021 #1
Rustyeye77 Jul 2021 #2
Fullduplexxx Jul 2021 #14
CrackityJones75 Jul 2021 #17
Bettie Jul 2021 #3
3catwoman3 Jul 2021 #5
Bettie Jul 2021 #9
PoindexterOglethorpe Jul 2021 #12
Pobeka Jul 2021 #4
Bettie Jul 2021 #10
Strelnikov_ Jul 2021 #22
Texaswitchy Jul 2021 #6
Midnight Writer Jul 2021 #7
joetheman Jul 2021 #8
Goonch Jul 2021 #11
IrishAfricanAmerican Jul 2021 #13
PortTack Jul 2021 #15
DBoon Jul 2021 #16
former9thward Jul 2021 #19
former9thward Jul 2021 #18
OnDoutside Jul 2021 #20
roamer65 Jul 2021 #21

Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:51 PM

1. I think there are too ways for them to cheat

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:51 PM

2. I thought about that.

 

Probably wont be significant.

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Response to Rustyeye77 (Reply #2)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 03:03 PM

14. Norman gdman used to say Elections are fought in the margins

It doesnt take much to swing a few counties ... damn I miss norm

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Response to Fullduplexxx (Reply #14)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 04:54 PM

17. me too

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:56 PM

3. Not gonna lie

If they reap the consequences of their choices, I'm not going to pretend to be sad. Some of them will die and I feel little sympathy for people who choose death over a vaccine because some orange man told them to.

At very least, I hope that candidates will do poorly because they will have a choice, cater to the MAGATs and lose the votes of sane people or deny the MAGATs and lose the votes of the crazy people.

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Response to Bettie (Reply #3)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:59 PM

5. "...I'm not going to pretend to be sad."

Nor me.

I still hope, every morning, to hear that Trump has died overnight. And I feel no guilt about feeling that way.

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Response to 3catwoman3 (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:02 PM

9. He is the first person I've ever

actually looked forward to seeing an obituary for.

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Response to 3catwoman3 (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:07 PM

12. Alas, he will probably get a state funeral.

Talk about a horrendous waste of taxpayers money.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 01:58 PM

4. I think so. There are a lot of races won by thin margins.

The difference between the DEM vac rate and GOP vac rate is going to effect races in three ways:

1. The loss of a vote
2. The loss of votes of some surviving family and friends of a deceased loved one.
3. The loss of votes of some people who realize they were lied to and are looking at hospital bills in the 100,000's of dollars

I believe the turn around of the GOP "leadership" on promoting vaccines is all about this political calculus. The GOP has never shown any concern for the health of it's constituents, but they pay close attention to elections that keep them in power.

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Response to Pobeka (Reply #4)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:02 PM

10. There was a congressional race in Iowa

decided by six votes. Six.

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Response to Pobeka (Reply #4)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 05:27 PM

22. Agree. Those impacted by this wave breaks heavily GOP


Some are going to be pissed at their masters.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:00 PM

6. Hope so.

Never know with these weak minded people.

They live in fantasy world.

Some of them will come around but not all.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:00 PM

7. I think the unvaccinated Republicans are stoking anger in the Democrats.

Anger is a powerful motivator. As anger is part of the GOP playbook, they know this.

Democrats are notorious for not turning out for off year elections, and Republicans count on that.

So I would say that the unvaccinated Republicans could increase voter turnout in 2022, which would sink Republican dreams of power.

I imagine that is why Republicans are back pedaling on the anti-vax rhetoric so suddenly. Not because they care about people getting sick or dying, but because it is bad politics and they have internal polling showing that.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:00 PM

8. In a few words: I hope so. nt

 

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:04 PM

11. The Walking Dead

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 02:55 PM

13. Maybe not a loss of votes due to voters dying per se...

but, I think the blowback from this severe overplaying of their anti-vax hand along with other issues will definitely effect the outcome in favor of the Democrats.




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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 03:48 PM

15. Between those that die and those that are too sick to get out of bed, let alone worry about voting

Could very well make a difference

Their numbers have really shrunk...tens of thousands since the dotard presidency and 1/6 have renounced their affiliation with the gqp

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 04:53 PM

16. The death rate isn't high enough maybe 1% to 2%

The disability rate may matter, however.

Someone with Long Covid may have a hard time standing in line for hours to vote in person, since their repulican state governments have eliminated absentee or other mail in ballots.

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Response to DBoon (Reply #16)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 05:00 PM

19. No states have eliminated absentee ballots.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 04:59 PM

18. Demographics which have the lowest rate of vaccinations trend Democratic.

Blacks and Hispanics. Why people continue to think this is just a R problem is beyond me. Especially since the data is there for all to see at the CDC and other sites.

As observed in prior weeks, Black and Hispanic people have received smaller shares of vaccinations compared to their shares of cases and compared to their shares of the total population in most states. The share of vaccinations received by Black people also continues to be smaller than their share of deaths in most states, although in some states it is similar to the share of deaths. The share of vaccinations received by Hispanic people is similar to or higher than their share of deaths in most reporting states, although in some states it continues to be lower. For example, in California, 30% of vaccinations have gone to Hispanic people, while they account for 63% of cases, 48% of deaths, and 40% of the total population in the state. Similarly, in the District of Columbia, Black people have received 43% of vaccinations, while they make up 56% of cases, 71% of deaths, and 46% of the total population. The size of these differences varies across states. The number of states where the shares of vaccinations received by Black and Hispanic people are more proportionate to their shares of the total population and/or their shares of cases or deaths in the state has grown over time.


https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/issue-brief/latest-data-on-covid-19-vaccinations-race-ethnicity/

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 05:05 PM

20. It depends on how the next few weeks go. If the rate of vaccinations goes up sharply in the next

few weeks, then that means Republicans are listening to those who once told them NOT to wear a mask or get vaccinated. If it continues to flatline then that doesn't augur well for the GOP.

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Response to Patterson (Original post)

Mon Jul 26, 2021, 05:05 PM

21. 🤞

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