General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhen Afghanistan falls, you think its over ?
NOT A CHANCE IN HELL.
We have serious national security interests. The Taliban will become terror state and a threat to the region causing instability as a terror state. And They will hook up with other terror states. The US will be forced to get involved militarily ....take it to the bank.
People will be murdered and are probably are being murdered at will... including and especially women.
The blood bath Ive read has already begun. Just because we don't see it doesn't mean its not happening.
Girls will be treated like garbage. And Forget education.
And the humanitarian crisis is just beginning. We'll be involved in that WITH THE MILITARY.
The ONLY WAY OUT OF THIS is to get other countries involved.
You don't like the US in there ?..... Ok...but you might like the US *NOT* being in there even LESS.
Flame away but IT WILL NOT BE OVER.
Lithos
(26,403 posts)Price for wanting to be a Superpower
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)what side would China be on ?
brooklynite
(94,502 posts)OTOH they dont shares border.
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)Not by much but they have one.
China doesnt care much for Muslims but Muslim governments and Militant Muslim organizations outside of China dont seem to care much about Chinese oppression of Muslims.
Lithos
(26,403 posts)google Wakhan corridor.
Lithos
(26,403 posts)Most of the historical superpowers have gotten into Afghanistan for several generations, only to leave with the country back to what it was.
England, Soviet Union and now the US. China is next .
And when you consider the Silk Road initiative where China is trying to create a trade conduit into Pakistan, it does make more sense for them to have a role in Afghanistan. However, their role will be much more pragmatic and more about sphere of influence than in actual land-holding. Perhaps they will succeed with this outlook.
L-
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)Lithos
(26,403 posts)But won't be.
Too many people have their fingers into this pie. Iran vs Saudis, Pakistan vs India, Russia vs US and then China off to the side.
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)China is strategic partners and allies of Pakistan. China has no desires of instilling Western-style democracy. China has already come to an agreement of non-aggression with the Taliban who will soon rule in Afghanistan. China, Pakistan, and the Taliban are advancing their agendas quite easily. We have simply paved the way for them at our expense.
JI7
(89,247 posts)This isn't so simple .
meadowlander
(4,394 posts)Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)crazy
Response to Lithos (Reply #1)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
jimfields33
(15,769 posts)They have an army that they need to utilize. Time for them to fight for their country.
padfun
(1,786 posts)The Taliban will take over the opium trade from the USA and then rule the way they see fit. This kind of thinking was said back when I returned from Viet Nam. And I've heard it when Bush Jr went into Iraq. This is dangerous thinking.
You should be more worried from the Terrorists in this country. They will try another coup in the next election or two. And then I think you will see murders and killing from this group. They are already talking violence against "Libs."
IrishAfricanAmerican
(3,815 posts)Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)You see, if you dont agree with everything in lockstep, you must be a RWer.
IrishAfricanAmerican
(3,815 posts)Is not bullshit.
Viet Nam wasnt a terrorist state.
Afghanistan has already proved it is.
padfun
(1,786 posts)Apparently you weren't around back in the mid 70's. The scare put upon the RW public was fierce. Attacks against hippies, leftist and anyone who wasn't "Merkan" was a reality. It still is.
So who is the Terrorist? the group you are for or the group you are against. Just rename the group into 'Freedom fighters' and then you are good to go. We can find another country we can call "Terrorists" and invade them. We did it all through the Reagan years. And we were supposed to attack 7 middle east countries during Bush's years. We called all of those countries "Terrorists."
BTW, we invaded Afghanistan because they wanted some proof before they were going to turn over OBL. Until that moment, they were our allies.
EX500rider
(10,839 posts)Yeah the US was never allies with the Taliban.
The US didn't even recognize them as the government, only Pakistan, Turkmenistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) recognized the legitimacy of the Taliban government.
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)hes on a roll.
elevator
(415 posts)But, we refused to do business with them. Another in the long list of intelligence blunders by the US in foreign policy.
Response to padfun (Reply #4)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
David__77
(23,369 posts)Trump wanted to pull and I appreciate that Biden is pulling out. The actual Trumpists are not neoconservatives.
Vogon_Glory
(9,117 posts)I concur with Lithos that the Chinese may take their hand. Nobody likes a terrorist-breeding cesspit on their borders and I suspect that the PRC will send trips into Afghanistan.
I suspect that the Chinese will play a lot rougher than we did. I suspect theyll try to do to the Afghans what theyre currently doing in Chinas Central Asian provinces.
Im no friend of the Taliban. Let them reap what theyre sowing.
David__77
(23,369 posts)China would defend its border against infiltration by Islamist and separatist groups. I think Taleban may very well not support such groups if it endangers relations with China, which would be willing to diplomatically recognize Taleban should it seize power.
Thomas Hurt
(13,903 posts)and they fold to the Taliban, have we just given the Taliban a standing army and infrastructure to expand?
I don't think the Taliban has been expansionist in the past but I am by no means up on its history.
Shanti Shanti Shanti
(12,047 posts)Klaralven
(7,510 posts)https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Cyclone
Except this time the objective is to use Afghanistan as a breeding ground for Islamic terrorists directed against China and secondarily Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Russia. Note that we have taken the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) off the "terrorist list" and will shortly put them back on the "freedom fighter" list.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkistan_Islamic_Party#Terrorist_designation
Johnny2X2X
(19,038 posts)Simple as that, and even Trump was trying to cut a deal with them then.
We simply cannot stay there forever and pulling combat troops out doesn't mean we're sacrificing our security. We still have intelligence assets in the region and the ability to address threats as they arise.
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)terrorism. So why don't we give them a chance to prove that? In if they do sponsor terrorism then we will have options to deal with that short of another invasion which will not work.
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)You want to trust these people?
I cant say ive read that before.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)But if the Taliban go back with their promises we can deal with that.
maxsolomon
(33,310 posts)They have repeatedly said they won't harbor Terror groups (they offered to turn Bin Laden over in the face of our post-9/11 bombing: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2001/oct/14/afghanistan.terrorism5 ).
The US has little choice but to work from that, and verify verify verify. We do have the technology to monitor Afghanistan much more closely than we did in 2001. Quarantine the godforsaken place.
And it's not like we have fewer missiles and killer drones.
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,324 posts)Shanti Shanti Shanti
(12,047 posts)0rganism
(23,943 posts)with isolated tribal populations spread out over unforgiving terrain, maybe a looser confederation of largely independent sub-states would have been more appropriate.
maxsolomon
(33,310 posts)Before that, electing GWB who couldn't strategerize his way out of a paper bag.
Before that, enabling the Mujahadeen.
Before that, Russia's invasion.
Before that, the Saur Revolution.
Before that, the Daoud Republic.
Things were actually going fairly well under the King in the 70s. At least it was groovier.
stillcool
(32,626 posts)what's not bombed to smithereens. They'd have to get the Saudi's to carry out any terror attacks, and we can arm them again to fight against the Russians. It's not like we haven't been dealing with the Taliban since the Bush Administration started the crap. Unfortunately they won't bend enough to suit business interests. Let those interests hire Erik Prince.
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)If you think I'm wrong, ok.
Time will tell.
.
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)Bush's incompetence allowed 9/11 to happen.
Full stop.
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)If they threaten us, we can respond.
You know, Bush was warned in his PDB about Bin Laden.
Had he acted all of this could have been avoided.
ALL OF IT.
Chainfire
(17,530 posts)The Afghans are going to have to determine their own future. It is their choice to make, not ours. None of the interference from the Russians or us have made a real difference. We only brought our brand of civilization to places we controlled by the point of a gun. It is amazing how "civilized" people can get when they are occupied by foreigners with planes, bombs and guns. We have found out, like we did in Vietnam, that we can not kill enough people to bring them the government we want them to have; though Lord knows we have tried.
We are in a struggle for our own future. We are watching the Republicans try to pull our Democracy out from under our feet. If they get their wishes, we will also live in a right-wing/religious society that wants to return to a time when (white) men were men and women and people of color knew their places. Once we get our own affairs in order, maybe will will have the credentials to help others again. It is like the old song from West Side Story, Krupke, we have troubles of our own.
I have no doubt that as soon as the military money train dries up in Afghanistan, we will find someone else who needs our "help." There are Americans who's fortunes depend on it.
Retrograde
(10,133 posts)We've already spent who knows how many billions of dollars propping up an Afghan government over the last 20 years, but now if we just invest a *little bit more* a miracle will somehow happen and everything will be coming up roses. Or poppies.
One reason why the US is so behind in many areas, including infrastructure, health care access, and basic education is because we have this bad habit of squandering money trying to prop up dubious regimes. And time and again it just doesn't work. Maybe we should try leading by example this time and build a culture and economy at home that people in countries like Afghanistan will want to emulate.
Suppose we had 20 years of a terror state ? How much would that have cost?
Nation building sucks
. But in this world, not nation building may be worse.
Bottom line
the rest of the world cant sit on their hands.
I hope Biden can make that happen.
Chainfire
(17,530 posts)It is as if we should attack Canada for the migrant influx from Mexico.
Rustyeye77
(2,736 posts)David__77
(23,369 posts)Im glad the US is getting out.