NY COVID Hospitalizations Up 229% in Month; Severe Breakthrough Rate Rising in NJ

[MisterNiceKitty]

Per NBC: https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/nyc-renews-plea-on-kids-and-vaccines-as-state-hospitalizations-soar-227-in-month/3210282/

"Breakthrough infections are another point of concern. While their prevalence remains fractionally low, it was a CDC investigation of an outbreak among mostly fully vaccinated people that prompted the updated guidance late last month.

In New Jersey, fully vaccinated people accounted for 18.5% of all new COVID cases in the period July 20 through the 26, Gov. Phil Murphy said Monday. More importantly: Those cases accounted for 3% of all new hospitalizations.

Murphy pointed to the data Monday as evidence that vaccines work, but for many, the fact that even 3% of hospitalized COVID patients were already vaccinated is a worry -- and so is the direction in which the breakthrough cases are trending.

That 3% representation of immunized people hospitalized with the virus in the period July 20 through July 26 is up substantially from the .004% representation in the period up to July 26. The 0.14% representation of new COVID cases within that group leaping to 18.5% also may raise questions about vaccine efficacy vs. delta."

[SoCalDavidS]

1. The Blue States Will Come Soon Enough

The Clusterfuck that are the Southern states, will eventually find it's way to the Blue states, with higher vaccination rates.

There are more than enough Fucking Morons in Blue states like NY & CA, to allow cases to spike there too.

[LisaL]

2. Which is why we need boosters approved ASAP.

Delta is breaking through the vaccines.

[MisterNiceKitty]

4. along with other variants down the line

possibly even more dangerous

[roamer65]

3. So it's about matching the data I saw posted yesterday.

Moderna is about 76 pct effective against DeSantis.

[LisaL]

5. And Moderna is the best of the three against delta, so the other two are even lower.

We need to boost up.

[roamer65]

6. Definitely.

Also copious administration of Fenofibrate (Tricor) to suspected cases, if no drug interactions are feared.

[Quakerfriend]

7. For reasons not fully understood the delta variant cases have

tended to rise quickly but, also decline quickly, according to Dr. Larry Brilliant

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/09/covid-epidemiologist-larry-brilliant-on-delta-variant-vaccinations.html

[MisterNiceKitty]

8. From the article:

"Brilliant said his models on the Covid outbreak in San Francisco and New York predict an “inverted V-shape epidemic curve.” That implies that infections increase very quickly, but would also decline rapidly, he explained.

If the prediction turns out be true, it means that the delta variant spreads so quickly that “it basically runs out of candidates” to infect, explained Brilliant.

There appears to be a similar pattern in the U.K. and India, where the spread of the delta variant has receded from recent highs."

But he also says

"The pandemic is not coming to an end soon — given that only a small proportion of the world population has been vaccinated against Covid-19, a well-known epidemiologist told CNBC."

[JoanofArgh]

9. It basically runs out of enough people to infect.

If the prediction turns out be true, it means that the delta variant spreads so quickly that “it basically runs out of candidates” to infect, explained Brilliant.

There appears to be a similar pattern in the U.K. and India, where the spread of the delta variant has receded from recent highs.

[fishwax]

10. the percentage of hospitalizations that are vaxed would rise in highly-vaccinated states like NJ

because there is a smaller percentage of non-vaxxed to get sick. It should also mean, hopefully, that the drop-off we saw in Britain, for instance, comes more quickly as the delta variant hits a vaccine wall. Sure hope that's how it plays out, anyway.