I'm watching live satellite coverage of Hurricane Ida and I do not have a good feeling about it.

[catbyte]

Plus, it's scheduled to hit the Louisiana coast on the 16th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. Hot towers are going up around the center of circulation/eye which suggests rapid intensification. If any DUers are in the area, please keep yourselves and your pets safe!



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/272049.shtml

[SheltieLover]

1. K&R!

[Walleye]

2. Looks a lot like I remember when Katrina was bearing down

Katrina was huge, this one is big?It’s looking really nasty. I was in Mississippi and Louisiana to cover the aftermath of Katrina. Rubble three stories high alligators four blocks inland. Motorcycles blown into swimming pools. The only thing left standing with those old Live Oak,trees sometimes you could see a bathtub. Most people were happy to have gotten out with their lives. Gambling barge casinos were on top of motels. Gulfport was leveled.

[cinematicdiversions]

3. People forget Katrina missed New Orleans.

Gulfport was basically wiped off the map.

[Walleye]

5. I traveled through the area after Camille in 1969

Up until Katrina, that had been the worst storm damage I had seen, and Katrina was 10 times worse,it seemed like. This one seems to be coming up fast too. Really hope these people can get out of the way or find shelter. I’ll never forget the looks on the faces of people who walked out with nothing but tshirts and flip-flops. Actually the community churches were the first to arrive with help. FEMA was stuck in Baton Rouge

[cinematicdiversions]

6. Charlie is the worst I have ever seen

Went down there for a week to volunteer and help out. Brick buildings reduced to rubble.

[Walleye]

7. My earliest recollections are of hurricane Hazel here in Delaware

I can still picture the couch I was sitting on in the little living room as the power went out and the trees were crashing down in the woods. Makes quite an impression on a five year old

[luvtheGWN]

25. Oh yes, Hurricane Hazel in 1954.

Just a week before my 6th birthday. So much rain a couple of days before it tore through my southern Ontario community. Our hundred+ year old house had stone basement walls and water was up to the top step. I thought we were going to float away. we could see the path it took -- very old fallen maple trees, along with saplings torn up by the roots. It destroyed over 50 homes in Toronto -- which may seem miniscule, but it was the first and (hopefully) last hurricane to hit this area.

Water is vital to life, but it can also be lethal. Matched with wind, it becomes deadly.

[Walleye]

27. Wow didn't know Hazel hit Toronto that hard

We lost some really old oak trees in the woods thank goodness our house held up. The beach is here had to be rebuilt from scratch especially along the Chesapeake Bay

[Hortensis]

28. I read a book about Camille, incredible cat 5 on the coast, but then

a monster roaring back to life over the Appalachians. No satellites then -- it was assumed to be dying inland. Instead, it grew over the Appalachians/Blue Ridge and -- with no advance warning -- dumped the rain of what amounted to thousands of thunderstorms on the Atlantic side, causing unprecedented floods and debris flows to smash through towns and homes.

Thank goodness we can now start getting ready days ahead. And of course local people are first on the scene. Just the way it's always been and will always be almost everywhere. Who, thinking about it, would want it any other way?

When Ida blew down dozens of trees in our neighborhood in North Georgia we and our neighbors were out with chain saws clearing driveways and roads. (Amazingly, none landed on houses.) The county crews, just slightly busy everywhere, eventually came and ground up the trees we'd cleared to the sides.

[misanthrope]

32. Huh?

"When Ida blew down dozens of trees in our neighborhood in North Georgia..."

Are you from the future?

[Hortensis]

38. :: Whoops, no, just already forgetting Irma's name.

[babylonsister]

10. I drove through Gulfport a bit after Katrina, and

concur. No homes left standing for miles and miles.

[ananda]

4. Expected to land as a CAT 4.

This is nothing to play around with.

It's a doozy.

[Scrivener7]

8. OMG. It's a monster. Take all precautions if you live there, please!

[Haggard Celine]

9. We're watching it close here in Gulfport, Miss.

Last I heard, they were saying it would hit Lake Charles. If it goes that far west, we would be all right here. But if it hits New Orleans, we're fucked because the east side of the storm is the worst part.

I'm still waiting to see what I'm doing. I'll leave if it hits New Orleans, of course. We have a big problem evacuating down here. We don't have many roads to take to get out of here. Basically, you either take Hwy 49 north or I-10 east. It takes hours and hours to get anywhere. If I leave, I'm taking the back roads.

[Walleye]

11. Wish you the best of luck. This is really scary stuff

[Haggard Celine]

13. Thanks, I need it.

[Lochloosa]

12. NOLA or west of it, you're going have a good time. Good Luck

[Haggard Celine]

14. Thank you!

[Lovie777]

15. I'm watching the WC .......

[catbyte]

16. The eye is starting to appear...

Last edited Sat Aug 28, 2021, 10:43 AM - Edit history (2)

Edit: Updated picture



Edited to add closeup of eye

[Shanti Shanti Shanti]

17. Cuba just pissed Ida off, You can see those cloud tops pop as it crossed over Cuba. Yikes.

[CrispyQ]

20. That top vid is amazing, from night to daylight.

Our beautiful blue/green planet that we treat with such disregard & disrespect.

[yardwork]

24. Yes!

[BlueLucy]

18. The hospitals. COVID.

The hospitals already dealing with COVID and now this? A lot of people will die.

[spinbaby]

21. I'm afraid you're right

So many people on ventilators, dependent on electricity, oxygen, and intensive nursing care.

[Traildogbob]

26. My thoughts as well.

There may be decisions need to be made about unventing some to admit other casualties. What a horrible thing for Docs to have to do. This thing looks like a monster growing. DU folks get out. It could bring more Heavey rains to Tenn and NC steel reeling from flood damage. 2020 is calling, “you ain’t seen nothing”. Mother has had enough of mother fucking.

[JackintheGreen]

19. They're following me

I just went through Henri in RI visiting my mom and I just got back home to Baton Rouge for Ida. Henri wasn’t so bad…

[catbyte]

22. Yikes! I'd be starting to get a complex.

Stay safe! Ida is starting to look really nasty.

[mountain grammy]

23. yes, very scary

Thinking about all friends on the gulf coast.. Please be safe.

[Fla Dem]

29. Please evacuate while you can. Don't wait to evacuate like the Americans did in Afghanistan.

Get to a safe place now, take your pets. If Ida does intensify to a Cat 5. NO ONE is safe.

https://www.riotglass.com/hurricane-categories-damage/

Category 1 hurricane: very dangerous winds will produce some damage
These winds can cause some damage to buildings, including tearing off roof shingles, siding, and gutters. Additionally, tree branches can break off of trees. Falling branches and other storm debris can further damage properties or cause injury to people.
Category 1 hurricanes also have the potential to snap or otherwise damage power lines, leading to short-term power outages.

Category 2 hurricane: extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage
During a category 2 hurricane, buildings are likely to sustain major roof and siding damage. There is also a bigger risk of additional damage and injury caused by flying storm debris.

Shallow-rooted trees can be uprooted, blocking roads and taking down power lines. There is a big risk of total power loss that can last for days in hard-hit areas.

Category 3 hurricane: devastating damage will occur
A category 3 hurricane is a major hurricane that will cause major damage to residential and commercial buildings. The strong winds can potentially tear roof decking and gable ends off well-built homes, for example.

Many trees will be uprooted and electricity and water will be unavailable for days or even weeks after the storm (for reference, Hurricane Katrina was a category 3 hurricane when it made landfall in Louisiana in 2003).

Category 4 Hurricane: catastrophic damage will occur
Catastrophic damage from a category 4 hurricane means that buildings will sustain extreme structural damage, potentially losing most of the roof structure and parts of exterior walls.

There is a very high risk of injury and further storm damage due to falling and flying storm debris and most trees and power poles will be downed. Power outages and water shortages can make areas uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Category 5 Hurricane: catastrophic damage will occur
Hurricanes in the highest hurricane category cause near total destruction. A large number of homes and buildings will be completely destroyed. Areas hit by this level of hurricane will lack power and water and be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Only three category 5 hurricanes have made landfall in the U.S. since 1924, the most recent being Hurricane Andrew, which devastated South Florida in 1992.

[yaesu]

30. Years ago i had a hurricane tracking program for my DOS computer & later for Windows

3.1. It had all the hurricanes from 1900 to the present & I programmed the exact coordinates of all the new hurricanes. It compared paths, weather conditions to similar past hurricanes to better guess what the new arrival would do. If was fascinating & I learned a lot. I used radios + computer to receive weather sat photos of the storm direct & always listened in on the 20 meter ham band hurricane watch net. The biggest thing I learned was how unpredictable these storms are. Hopefully this one will veer to a less destructive path or lose strength before landfall. If it slows over the shallower water off the coast it could churn the cooler water from the bottom putting the breaks on its strength but that may be wishful thinking for this one. Stay safe.

[Shanti Shanti Shanti]

31. Cat 2 now, 100mph, pressure falling, well defined eye, its a living, breathing monster

[catbyte]

33. It's really getting its act together. This is a live sat pic at 2:10 p.m. EDT

[Shanti Shanti Shanti]

35. Not only winds, but 10+ft of storm surge and 15-20 in of rain, SE LA all gonna be underwater

[onetexan]

34. Just texted my niece in Orleans parish

She said that area is under voluntary evacuation & since they have emergency provisions & a generator the family decided to stay put (her mom my oldest sister, dad, & all 6 kids). They are all adults now & having gone thru this many times they know what to do. I'm not too worried but do hope & pray they & all impacted w be safe.
They stayed w me during katrina & of course had to rebuild.

[catbyte]

36. They have more guts than I would have! One little wobble to the east and there could be trouble.

But I'm a life-long Michigander so I know nothing about hurricanes. I'm just a weather geek. My best friend from college and the mother of my goddaughter lost everything in Katrina. She passed in 2018 but I still worry about NOLA when a hurricane threatens because I really do love that city.

I hope your family emerges from this unscathed. I'll keep them in my thoughts.

[Shanti Shanti Shanti]

37. Some track guidance maps have Ida moving more eastward, closer to New Orleans by 20 miles or so

Hope people arent waiting till last minute, I-10 eastbound is already a parking lot

[Hortensis]

39. Copied from AP, not local news, but an hour ago:

Meteorologist Steve Bowen, head of global catastrophe insight at the risk and consulting firm Aon, said the area that was about to get hit is especially vulnerable, with large swaths of industries that could cause environmental damages as well as homes that still have tarps instead of roofs from multiple storms in 2020.

“It’s not just the coastal impact. It’s not just New Orleans,” Bowen said. “We’re certainly looking at potential losses well into the billions.”

Phillips 66 said it was shutting down operations at its refinery in Belle Chasse, Louisiana, “based on the projected path of the storm and the potential for storm surge.”

Many gas stations in New Orleans and its suburbs were out of gas, and the few still open had lines more than a dozen cars deep and a wait time of nearly an hour.

[bluecollar2]

40. Check out the wave height history

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

[Skittles]

41. don't ever have a "good feeling" about any hurricane

don't fuck with Mother Nature!