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steve2470

(37,481 posts)
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 09:11 AM Sep 2021

Cryptocurrency aka Bitcoin/Dogecoin/etc : what am I not understanding ?

I think I have the basic concepts correct. You can use it, instead of USD or euros etc to pay bills, buy legal stuff, buy illegal stuff or "simply preserve your privacy". El Salvador is now the first country to recognize it as legal tender.

Call me hopelessly out of date, but... I don't feel any motivation to use it. I am not that worried about my privacy and I don't buy anything illegal. I know if you "buy low, sell high" you can make a fortune off bitcoin, as some have.

What am I missing ? I have read the stories that the Fed and the Euro Central Bank have contemplated also making it a fiat currency, if I am using the correct term.

Thanks in advance. Trying to get educated. Usually people here know the scoop.

Steve

74 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Cryptocurrency aka Bitcoin/Dogecoin/etc : what am I not understanding ? (Original Post) steve2470 Sep 2021 OP
Good questions. And what the hell is bitcoin mining? Walleye Sep 2021 #1
mostly it is validation of transactions Voltaire2 Sep 2021 #6
I think it's a scam. Archae Sep 2021 #2
I can't imagine president Biden signing the fed and other government agencies jimfields33 Sep 2021 #3
there is nothing backing paper money either Voltaire2 Sep 2021 #5
Bingo! Champp Sep 2021 #18
Bryant? DFW Sep 2021 #55
Paper money has the promise from the US government it is valid DenaliDemocrat Sep 2021 #53
there is one theory that simply accepting tax revenue payments in a currency Voltaire2 Sep 2021 #59
Which economist advanced that theory? LanternWaste Sep 2021 #66
What? Voltaire2 Sep 2021 #68
Even the Federal government sells bitcoins fescuerescue Sep 2021 #13
It may be legal, but it still looks like a scam. Archae Sep 2021 #14
That page was just the first google hit fescuerescue Sep 2021 #32
"Printing money" is a fallacy. hunter Sep 2021 #52
It's a colloquial term. Not a legal one fescuerescue Sep 2021 #61
It's a colloquial term mostly used in a deceptive way... hunter Sep 2021 #64
Unfortunately we have to share our language with both good and bad people. fescuerescue Sep 2021 #65
So, like stocks? Cuthbert Allgood Sep 2021 #20
More like beanie babies MoonlitKnight Sep 2021 #23
#BeanieBabyBucks - soon going viral Champp Sep 2021 #36
It's a brilliant hybrid Ponzi / Pyramid / Chain Letter scheme. hunter Sep 2021 #34
Thank you for your insights. Sogo Sep 2021 #35
Normal currencies are not arbitrary "fiat money." Celerity Sep 2021 #50
All I know, is if I wanna puchase Latisse (eyelash serum) from India, I gotta pay bitcoin LeftInTX Sep 2021 #4
OK. Whatever the hell that is. lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #15
Since it's cosmetic, insurance doesn't cover it. It's very expensive LeftInTX Sep 2021 #22
Acceptance of only bitcoin tells you all you need to know about the seller. lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #45
It's OK. I can buy it in the US LeftInTX Sep 2021 #57
I dont use it for short term gains but long term retirement - 5+ years Iwasthere Sep 2021 #7
LOL. Hey! That's nothing! I made billions!!!1111!!! Better buy now, everyone!!!111!! Ground floor!11 PSPS Sep 2021 #9
Good luck with your retirement! lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #43
unregulated currency. Javaman Sep 2021 #8
Think Dutch Tulip Mania lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #47
even better. Javaman Sep 2021 #58
It's a scam, like a pyramid scheme. PSPS Sep 2021 #10
Can you explain to us how it's a "pyramid scheme"? sir pball Sep 2021 #17
Value is propped up solely by speculation. PSPS Sep 2021 #27
Cryptocurrencies are straddling two opposing purposes Silent3 Sep 2021 #11
You can (and increasingly do) have both with newer crypto projects Amishman Sep 2021 #56
My take is that the crypto-currency business is mainly two things: 1) a way to keep illegal Martin68 Sep 2021 #12
2) Ponzi scheme lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #16
Can you please explaib how it's a "Ponzi scheme"? sir pball Sep 2021 #19
Bitcoin is a textbook Ponzi scheme lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #24
That's nice, and you're wrong. sir pball Sep 2021 #31
I can see I've stumbled into a religious argument. lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #33
I don't deal with cryptocurrencies. sir pball Sep 2021 #37
The originator of bitcoin gave themselves plenty of it, for nothing muriel_volestrangler Sep 2021 #39
I won't argue that position. sir pball Sep 2021 #42
But it was designed to make profits for the originator and early adopters muriel_volestrangler Sep 2021 #49
sir ball, your definition fits cryptocurrency to a T, as lagomorph explained earlier. Martin68 Sep 2021 #69
Bitcoin is a Ponzi lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #26
So the stock market is a ponzi scheme by your analysis. Cuthbert Allgood Sep 2021 #28
No; you can read further down in the second article why that's not so. lagomorph777 Sep 2021 #30
Nah. You just see something you don't understand sir pball Sep 2021 #40
Enthusiasts are almost undistinguishable from sea-lions. LanternWaste Sep 2021 #67
The stock market is based on actual companies that actually produce a product. Martin68 Sep 2021 #70
... Cuthbert Allgood Sep 2021 #21
It is a money laundering vehicle Bettie Sep 2021 #25
Blockchain tracks everything. sir pball Sep 2021 #41
yup. It's least private currency ever invented fescuerescue Sep 2021 #44
Understand that LIBERTARIANS are all about this which means its' total BULLSHIT tenderfoot Sep 2021 #29
Libertarians are mean clueless fucks. hunter Sep 2021 #38
Yet banks are diving into it. fescuerescue Sep 2021 #48
Is there currently a problem with keeping track of the ownership of stocks and bonds? muriel_volestrangler Sep 2021 #51
actually yes there is Voltaire2 Sep 2021 #60
It's done electronically now. fescuerescue Sep 2021 #62
Thanks for this thread. Sogo Sep 2021 #46
It's just something to get all the 48656c6c6f20 Sep 2021 #54
That's assuming people living in a basement apartment have a lawn. Martin68 Sep 2021 #71
Bitcoin is digital gold D_Master81 Sep 2021 #63
Don't believe the privacy hype... lame54 Sep 2021 #72
When most of the super rich investors won't touch it, this tells me it's too risky. Quixote1818 Sep 2021 #73
Irony is you use electronic transactions all the time... think about how little cash you use these JCMach1 Sep 2021 #74

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
6. mostly it is validation of transactions
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 10:06 AM
Sep 2021

miners get paid to perform hard computational tasks that validate new transactions. They can also generate new 'coins' , but that gets harder and harder to do as the specific platform ages.

 

Archae

(47,245 posts)
2. I think it's a scam.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 09:26 AM
Sep 2021

Legal, maybe, but still a scam.

Nothing tangible, nothing to back up crypto "money."

 

jimfields33

(19,382 posts)
3. I can't imagine president Biden signing the fed and other government agencies
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 09:53 AM
Sep 2021

To allow it if it were illegal. I know he doesn’t run the fed but he has some influence.

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
5. there is nothing backing paper money either
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 10:03 AM
Sep 2021

We went off the gold standard like 50 years ago. And even then, the value of gold is also a fiction. As long as people accept your 'money' token, dollars, bitcoins, bullion, copri shells, whatever, in exchange for goods and services, that token has value.

DenaliDemocrat

(1,777 posts)
53. Paper money has the promise from the US government it is valid
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 04:02 PM
Sep 2021

Which I guess is something, although nothing tangible

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
59. there is one theory that simply accepting tax revenue payments in a currency
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 06:44 PM
Sep 2021

is primarily what gives that 'money' value in any national economy.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
66. Which economist advanced that theory?
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 06:12 PM
Sep 2021

Or is simply more open-sourced, uncited editorials?

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
13. Even the Federal government sells bitcoins
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 11:44 AM
Sep 2021

After they legally seize them from criminals.

It's not a scam. It's just a new form of property that many people don't understand yet.

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/06/18/us-government-to-auction-off-seized-litecoin-alongside-bitcoin/

 

Archae

(47,245 posts)
14. It may be legal, but it still looks like a scam.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 12:10 PM
Sep 2021

The "About" page at the website you posted is openly advocating replacing real money with crypto.

"We are building the most influential, trusted media platform for a global community engaged in the transformation of the financial system and the emerging crypto economy."

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
32. That page was just the first google hit
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:26 PM
Sep 2021

That referenced the Federal sales.

There are some that want to replace cash with all crypto. that will -NEVER- happen in the US.

The reason is simple. The Federal government cannot inflate the currency supply with crypto currency. Both the Left and Right love to spend by printing money and it's done every year. Plus, no secret spending can occur in Crypto currency. EVERYTHING is public. can't have that now can we?

Personally I don't believe that crypto currency itself will be that big of deal. C.C. itself is simply an application of blockchain. It's blockchain that will change the way we do a lot of things in the future.

In 20 years out, I fully expect that stocks, bonds and land and art titles will be routinely traded over blockchain. Some banks are already issuing bonds over blockchain.

hunter

(40,671 posts)
52. "Printing money" is a fallacy.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:48 PM
Sep 2021

There are a few basic functions for the ultimate managers of any hard currency and these functions do not resemble household or corporate finance in *ANY* way.

First of all the enforcement of contract obligations must be managed in a way that's not corrupt and generally regarded as just. In modern times that means we reject debtor prisons and the shooting of knee caps. Bankruptcy is highly regulated. Bank failures do not wipe out the savings of average working class or retired people.

Second, whenever there is too much money in circulation it must be pulled out of the system by taxation. Best practice is progressive taxation. The wealthy pay most of the taxes because they most enjoy the benefits of a well regulated economy.

"Flat" taxes are bullshit. Regressive taxes are bullshit.

Third, when the economy stagnates, money must be put into the system. Best practice is to create jobs for the unemployed, better jobs for the working poor, and increased benefits for the unemployable. The people who need the money get it, and they are the most likely to spend it on necessities.

Personally, I think the government ought to compete directly with the crappiest employers, offering better jobs and better pay.

If we give money to people who don't need it they tend to "invest" it in schemes that do not make the world a better place, too often in schemes that only increase their political power. For example, here in the U.S.A., buying politicians is too easy. Especially Republican politicians.

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
61. It's a colloquial term. Not a legal one
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 07:15 PM
Sep 2021

However we absolutely positively do increase the money supply every year.

Most all of the "printing" is done on an electronic ledger.

hunter

(40,671 posts)
64. It's a colloquial term mostly used in a deceptive way...
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 10:57 AM
Sep 2021

... by powerful people who want to oppress people -- usually the sort of people who don't want to pay their workers a comfortable living wage or taxes.

MoonlitKnight

(1,585 posts)
23. More like beanie babies
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:20 PM
Sep 2021

Except you have to pay capital gains taxes on transactions. And if you actually use it to buy stuff the tax consequences would be a nightmare.

Oh, and if you forget how to access your digital currency it’s gone. There are literally millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin that can’t be recovered.

Champp

(2,409 posts)
36. #BeanieBabyBucks - soon going viral
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:51 PM
Sep 2021

Now that you've got the ball rolling, MoonKnight, I reckon #BeanieBabyBucks may soon overtake The World Bank in estimated value.

hunter

(40,671 posts)
34. It's a brilliant hybrid Ponzi / Pyramid / Chain Letter scheme.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:38 PM
Sep 2021

The true nature of cryptocurrencies is obfuscated behind some fancy math incomprehensible to the average Bitcoin user. Basically a Bitcoin is a number instead of a physical postal address.

Essentially people are paying others in goods and services for the spectacular "opportunity" of being part of this chain.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_letter

Normal currencies are not arbitrary "fiat money." The strength of hard currencies arises from the intricate government regulation of debt and debt collection, taxation, property ownership, corporate shares, wages, etc..

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may or may not collapse depending upon the faith people place in them. The price of gold and the amount of gold uselessly hoarded is still great because people many people believe gold has some sort of intrinsic value beyond its utilitarian purposes.

One of the things I find abhorrent about cryptocurrencies is the high energy cost per transaction. These energy costs are many thousands of times greater than the cost of ordinary banking transactions. The environmental destruction caused by gold mining is something similar.

Celerity

(54,333 posts)
50. Normal currencies are not arbitrary "fiat money."
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:30 PM
Sep 2021

smdh

Normal currencies are not arbitrary "fiat money."





Almost ALL major currencies in the world are fiat, including (obviously) the US dollar (since August 15, 1971, when Nixon took the USD off the gold standard)



https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiatmoney.asp




these threads are just so depressing in terms of the lack of knowledge exhibited on multiple levels and subjects

LeftInTX

(34,216 posts)
4. All I know, is if I wanna puchase Latisse (eyelash serum) from India, I gotta pay bitcoin
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 09:58 AM
Sep 2021

E-check is also an option.

I used to pay with credit card from a place in California that bought it in bulk from India and resold it, but the feds stopped it. It is illegal without an Rx. US cost was too high, so a black market sprung up. My daughter showed up with long lashes and she told me how she was using generic Latisse purchased from India.

So, if I want long lashes, gotta do this clandestine thing. Oh well...not gonna do it.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
15. OK. Whatever the hell that is.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 12:31 PM
Sep 2021

I'm certainly not going to get involved in the criminal underground to buy some crap I can't even understand what it is.

LeftInTX

(34,216 posts)
22. Since it's cosmetic, insurance doesn't cover it. It's very expensive
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:14 PM
Sep 2021
https://www.mayoclinic.org/healthy-lifestyle/adult-health/expert-answers/latisse/faq-20058367

Is there a medication to thicken eyelashes?


Yes. The medication bimatoprost — marketed under the brand name Latisse — is approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to treat inadequate eyelashes (hypotrichosis). Bimatoprost is also marketed under the brand name Lumigan, which is used in prescription eyedrops to treat glaucoma. Eyelash growth was an unexpected side effect of Lumigan, which led to the creation and marketing of Latisse.

With regular applications along the lash line of the upper eyelid, Latisse gradually encourages growth of longer, thicker and darker eyelashes. Latisse isn't meant to be applied to the lower eyelid. For full results, you must use the medication daily for at least two months. Eyelash improvements remain as long as you continue to use the medication. When you stop using Latisse, your eyelashes will eventually return to their original appearance.


The same medication is used to treat glaucoma. It causes lashes to grow.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
45. Acceptance of only bitcoin tells you all you need to know about the seller.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:21 PM
Sep 2021

Keep their crap away from your eyes. Who knows what's really in it (if they actually ship anything at all).

LeftInTX

(34,216 posts)
57. It's OK. I can buy it in the US
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 05:03 PM
Sep 2021

Indian pharmacies do not accept US credit cards.
I would not obtain other stuff from India. Latisse doesn't go in your eye, it goes where eyeliner goes. It's applied like a cosmetic.

Iwasthere

(3,512 posts)
7. I dont use it for short term gains but long term retirement - 5+ years
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 10:36 AM
Sep 2021

I've made several hundred thousand on my initial investments in less than two years. Started with 30 thousand. Listen to Michael Saylor. Bitcoin is still early stages https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/23/microstrategy-ceo-michael-saylor-sees-bitcoin-100-trillion-market-value-one-day.html

PSPS

(15,313 posts)
9. LOL. Hey! That's nothing! I made billions!!!1111!!! Better buy now, everyone!!!111!! Ground floor!11
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 10:46 AM
Sep 2021

PSPS

(15,313 posts)
10. It's a scam, like a pyramid scheme.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 10:48 AM
Sep 2021

El Salvador's adoption has more to do with its role in the drug market than anything else.

PSPS

(15,313 posts)
27. Value is propped up solely by speculation.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:40 PM
Sep 2021

The only real demand for bitcoin is to engage in transactions related to criminal activity such as:

- Money laundering
- Illegal drug trafficking (El Salvador garners most of its income from illegal drug trafficking)
- Ransomware
- Child pornography

 

Silent3

(15,909 posts)
11. Cryptocurrencies are straddling two opposing purposes
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 11:09 AM
Sep 2021

They want to be treated as currencies like dollars and euros, etc., but what you want most out of a currency is stability. Traditional currencies, of course, aren't always stable, but that's their ideal state.

They also want to be treated as high-growth investments. But that requires an instability that is a antithetical to use as currency.

Amishman

(5,928 posts)
56. You can (and increasingly do) have both with newer crypto projects
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 04:34 PM
Sep 2021

Most major smart contract crypto platforms, now support a stablecoin - a sub chain where the coins / tokens are pegged and freely exchangeable with a major real world currency (dollar, euro, etc).

Since these run on top of a Blockchain, the transaction fee is paid using the native coin of that chain (Ethereum, Tezos, Eos, etc).

I have nothing good to say about Bitcoin itself, however many of the projects that gave followed in it's footsteps are very interesting and promising bits of technology

Martin68

(27,677 posts)
12. My take is that the crypto-currency business is mainly two things: 1) a way to keep illegal
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 11:40 AM
Sep 2021

transactions secret, and 2) a speculative investment opportunity.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
19. Can you please explaib how it's a "Ponzi scheme"?
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 12:40 PM
Sep 2021

Who are the ringleaders, at the top of the pyramid? How are they collecting the money that's ostensibly being used simply to buy BTC? How do they disburse their takings, to pay off the early investors and maintain the scam?

If you're gonna make the claim you best be able to back it up.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
24. Bitcoin is a textbook Ponzi scheme
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:23 PM
Sep 2021
https://medium.com/personal-finance/bitcoin-is-a-giant-ponzi-scheme-ae4263008220

It has no intrinsic value. You can’t eat it, wear it, or heat your house with it. Unlike gold — which at least feels nice and looks shiny on your spouse’s ring finger — you can’t even see Bitcoin.
It is not a productive asset. It’s not a factory that produces an item. It’s not a field that produces cucumbers. It’s not a firm that offers a service. It contributes nothing to society.
It has zero underlying value. None. It’s not backed by land or commodities or — as with national currencies like USD or GBP — the threat of violence (in the form of wage garnishment, asset seizure, and imprisonment.)
It has minimal utility. Because the price fluctuates so wildly (what healthy currency doubles in a month?), it’s virtually ineffective as a safe representation of value or means of trade.
Its value is solely derived from the trust that the price will continue to rise indefinitely. That there will always be new investors to buy out the old ones.

How Does It End for Bitcoin?
Certainly not like your usual Ponzi scheme.
Bitcoin’s “CEO” Satoshi Nakamoto — whoever he/she/the team might be — might already be dead or imprisoned in Guantanamo. (Heck, Bitcoin might be an invention of the NSA or advanced artificial intelligence for all we know.) Either way, Bitcoin isn’t a company, so it won’t be shut down.
It’s unlikely that anyone will ever “acquire the company” by cornering the market on Bitcoin. (And to do so would make the currency completely worthless because you’d have no one to trade with.)
And since it’s mathematically impossible for Bitcoin to grow forever, that leaves us with option three: A Black Swan event causes its demise as an investment. This is the only likely outcome. Perhaps a wildly superior cryptocurrency makes Bitcoin as irrelevant as the Model T versus a Tesla. Perhaps nations or groups of nations make a concerted effort to destroy Bitcoin, or more likely, Bitcoin owners. Or maybe Bitcoin simply levels out when it reaches max coinage, shedding its identity as an investment and becoming a stable trust-based currency. In doing so, it will drive away all the exuberant speculators who are currently propping up its inflated price. No matter how it happens, at some point, millions of Bitcoin investors are going to lose billions of dollars.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
31. That's nice, and you're wrong.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:18 PM
Sep 2021

I don't even argue with the premise it's a bubble of a valueless item...but it's not a fucking Ponzi scheme. It's much more like tulip bulbs.

A Ponzi scheme is a form of fraud that lures investors and pays profits to earlier investors with funds from more recent investors. The scheme leads victims to believe that profits are coming from legitimate business activity (e.g., product sales or successful investments), and they remain unaware that other investors are the source of funds.


So can you, in your own words, explain how this is a Ponzi scheme? Or even a conscious scam?

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
33. I can see I've stumbled into a religious argument.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:31 PM
Sep 2021

Good luck with your "investment".

Have a nice day.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
37. I don't deal with cryptocurrencies.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:09 PM
Sep 2021

They're far too volatile, as I said BTC is a repeat of the tulip thing.

Do you even know what a "Ponzi Scheme" is? And can you elucidate how BTC is a "Ponzi Scheme"?

Answer the fucking questions.


muriel_volestrangler

(106,160 posts)
39. The originator of bitcoin gave themselves plenty of it, for nothing
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:13 PM
Sep 2021

They encouraged others to join (who then could provide them with early profits) because they too thought they could encourage yet more people to join.

Profits are not coming from product sales or successful investments; they are coming from later investors joining.

There was, however, no lying about hard facts involved, so it may not be fraud, legally. They just convinced people that this scheme would continue to work (which is a prediction that will go wrong in the end), and people would continue to pay more and more to buy bitcoin.

Morally, it may be the power consumption that is the worst aspect of it. That affects everyone whether or not they take part in the game.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
42. I won't argue that position.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:19 PM
Sep 2021

It's the same as the tulip bulb thing, or any other market bubble - but arguing that cryptocurrency is a Ponzi scheme, or is itself inherently meant to scam, is downright wrong.

It's a legitimate system, how it's used is a whole different question.

muriel_volestrangler

(106,160 posts)
49. But it was designed to make profits for the originator and early adopters
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:28 PM
Sep 2021

So that's not like tulip bulbs, or bubbles that are just from "exuberant optimism".

It's closer to the South Sea Bubble; while there was a genuine company involved, its stock sales were structured to make money for those in the know, and rumour and speculation was designed to draw in later money. In that case, only a few things they did were illegal at the time (and one guy conveniently escaped so he couldn't implicate people he'd bribed), though much more of it would be now; after it burst, they wondered about retroactive legislation to punish the directors. But in the end, they confiscated much of the profit, and largely swept things under the carpet, to protect the powerful and to rebuild "trust".

Martin68

(27,677 posts)
69. sir ball, your definition fits cryptocurrency to a T, as lagomorph explained earlier.
Sat Sep 11, 2021, 11:46 AM
Sep 2021

the early investors make a fortune, later investors pick up the ball in hopes of making a fortune, too, and so it goes until the bubble bursts. Cryptocurrency is not a "legitimate business activity" in any sense of the word. No product, nothing to prop up the "value" except investors belief that it has value and will continue to increase in value.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
26. Bitcoin is a Ponzi
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:36 PM
Sep 2021
https://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/bitcoin/2020-12-31-bitcoin-ponzi.html

A Ponzi scheme, or "ponzi" for short, is a type of investment fraud with these five features:
People invest into it because they expect good profits, and

that expectation is sustained by such profits being paid to those who choose to cash out. However,

there is no external source of revenue for those payoffs. Instead,

the payoffs come entirely from new investment money, while

the operators take away a large portion of this money.

Investing in bitcoin (or any crypto with similar protocol) checks all these items. The investors are all those who have bought or will buy bitcoins; they invest by buying bitcoins, and cash out by selling them. The operators are the miners, who take money out of the scheme when they sell their mined coins to the investors.

Features 3, 4, and 5 imply that investing in bitcoin, like "investing" in lottery tickets, is a very negative-sum game. Namely, at any time, the total amount that all investors have taken out is considerably less than what they have put into the scheme; the difference being the amount that the operators have taken out. Thus the investors, as a whole, are always in the red, and their collective loss only increases with time.

The expected profit from investing in such a scheme is negative. While some investors who cash out may make a profit, that comes at the expense of other investors, who will lose more than their "fair" share of the general loss above.

Features 1 and 2 make the scheme a fraud, rather than simply a bad investment (or bad "musical chairs" gambling game). As a minimum, the operators should warn investors of the negative-sum character and negative expected profit. In the case of bitcoin (and all other cryptos), not only that does not happen, but there are thousands of promoters and "investment experts" who predict impressive price increases and/or claim that bitcoin will have massive uses in the future that would somehow make it valuable. Apart from the mendacity of those claims, those promoters never point out that such massive uses would not translate into revenue for the investors.

The observation that investing in cryptocurrencies is a ponzi scheme is not new or a cheap shot. Among many others, it was expressed in 2014 by economists Nouriel Roubini of NYU [CDK1] and Kaushik Basu of the World Bank (WB) [CDK2] and echoed by investment analyst David Webb in 2017 [CFO2] and by WB's president Jim Yomh Kim in 2018 [CFO1].

Cuthbert Allgood

(5,339 posts)
28. So the stock market is a ponzi scheme by your analysis.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 01:56 PM
Sep 2021

And so I don't need to do two posts:

1. the people who invested first aren't paid by the newest people's money which means eventually the funds run out. A single bitcoin has a value based on demand just like stocks.
2. just like the stock market, there is no "operator" to take away a large portion of the money. Some people make money some people lose money.

But, buy the way you are interpreting these elements, the stock market is a ponzi scheme. Which, of course it isn't. Nor is bitcoin.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
30. No; you can read further down in the second article why that's not so.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 02:00 PM
Sep 2021

I didn't want to quote too much, but it's a very clear and informative article.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
40. Nah. You just see something you don't understand
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:13 PM
Sep 2021

And slapped a laughably wrong label on it. Even if BTC is a scam, which it isn't, it's not a Ponzi.

DU is less tolerant than Imgur so I shall leave it at that.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
67. Enthusiasts are almost undistinguishable from sea-lions.
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 06:15 PM
Sep 2021

DU is quite tolerant though... criticisms of a sacred-cow, a sport or hobbies are not intolerance.

Martin68

(27,677 posts)
70. The stock market is based on actual companies that actually produce a product.
Sat Sep 11, 2021, 11:47 AM
Sep 2021

Cryptocurrency is not.

sir pball

(5,340 posts)
41. Blockchain tracks everything.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:16 PM
Sep 2021

It's actually terrible for anonymity; the entire concept of blockchain is traceability. BUYING BTC anonymously is a thing but that's an entirely different issue.

Disclaimer, I own no cryptocurrency and would never buy it.

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
44. yup. It's least private currency ever invented
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:20 PM
Sep 2021

Every single transaction that has ever occurred is fully publicly viewable. every single one. From pennies to billions.

hunter

(40,671 posts)
38. Libertarians are mean clueless fucks.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:10 PM
Sep 2021

They usually end up like their hero Ayn Rand claiming to the bitter end, even as they are collecting their government benefits, that their ideology might have worked if everyone had played by *their* rules.

They're very similar to Communist ideologues in that way.

The twentieth century pretty much proved, beyond any shadow of a doubt, that carefully regulated mixed economies work best and that it doesn't matter if these evolve from a purely capitalist ideology, a socialist ideology, a communist ideology, or even a religious or monarchical ideology.

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
48. Yet banks are diving into it.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:23 PM
Sep 2021

Not exactly the libertarian crowd.

cryptocurrency itself won't go the way the libertarians want it to.

Blockchain will be the fabric that stocks, bonds and titles will be traded. However currency itself? I don't see that ever becoming mainstream.

the governments will NEVER EVER cede the ability to issue more currency. Plus governments absolutely positively do not want every transaction being public.

muriel_volestrangler

(106,160 posts)
51. Is there currently a problem with keeping track of the ownership of stocks and bonds?
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 03:33 PM
Sep 2021

Is there an excessive overhead, or are there many disputes about who owns it? If not (and I don't get the impression the markets complain about those kind of problems), then what's the benefit of using blockchain for them?

I think banks are diving into investments that service crypto users.

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
60. actually yes there is
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 06:52 PM
Sep 2021

just the secure digitalization of what are now still mountains of paper is an enormous savings. No vaults, no fraud, no ambiguous ownership.

fescuerescue

(4,475 posts)
62. It's done electronically now.
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 07:17 PM
Sep 2021

Doing it via blockchain is also doing it electronically, but with a FAR FAR higher level security and accountability.

 

48656c6c6f20

(7,638 posts)
54. It's just something to get all the
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 04:05 PM
Sep 2021

Proponents of, this is how we always have done it, to raise angry fists in the air and shake them from the comfort of their lawns.

D_Master81

(2,558 posts)
63. Bitcoin is digital gold
Thu Sep 9, 2021, 08:21 PM
Sep 2021

What Bitcoin was designed to be it no longer is. It has turned into a way for people to essentially invest in as a “store of value” similar to gold.
Most cryptos aren’t necessarily a currency as much as a digital asset. You invest in a company by purchasing their token. Now some are on blockchain which I still don’t know how it works, but will say there are real world applications, especially if it’s ethereum. Now most won’t understand how crypto markets move so it’s confusing and easy to lose money. But once you’ve been in it for a year or more there is tremendous opportunity to make a lot of money as I’ve been blessed to find out.

Quixote1818

(31,155 posts)
73. When most of the super rich investors won't touch it, this tells me it's too risky.
Sat Sep 11, 2021, 02:09 PM
Sep 2021

It literally could go to zero.

JCMach1

(29,198 posts)
74. Irony is you use electronic transactions all the time... think about how little cash you use these
Sat Sep 11, 2021, 02:24 PM
Sep 2021

days...

It's essentially the same thing except with an encrypted (i.e. blockchain) record of transactions.

As there is consensus agreement on value (markets) it's the same as using any other currency with the exception of the encrypted record.

It is no more corrupt than people doing illegal stuff with cash which still vastly outweighs any of BTC's most feverish dreams. Because there is s permanent record, Bitcoin is actually much more traceable.

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