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Lawrence454

(38 posts)
Mon Nov 1, 2021, 03:41 PM Nov 2021

Dave Wasserman and Saboto Crystal ball rates Virginia lean Youngkin

Based on two smart election analysts and polling thus far. In Saboto's case they still are not firmly saying Youngkin will win but based on the direction of the polls they are giving a rating on this, not taking sides.



https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-rating-changes/

Dave Wasserman says that Youngkin doesn't even have to get to 35% in Fairfax to win.




Take of what you will but please if you live in Virginia, please go out and vote on election day tomorrow for Terry.

We can't seed this race to Trumplkin, it will be a disaster. Go to IwillVote.com/Virginia to see your nearest polling station.

https://iwillvote.com/
10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Dave Wasserman and Saboto Crystal ball rates Virginia lean Youngkin (Original Post) Lawrence454 Nov 2021 OP
That's the feeling I have. underpants Nov 2021 #1
I do not . . . Lovie777 Nov 2021 #2
They are the experts. But there are just too many other indicators that don't agree PortTack Nov 2021 #3
I guess we'll find out tomorrow, or soon after that. BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2021 #4
Washerman is very good. With the bullshit Manchin is pulling in the 11th hour, along with the JohnSJ Nov 2021 #5
Youngkin is an idiot RANDYWILDMAN Nov 2021 #6
I Suspect DarthDem Nov 2021 #7
Lot of people should have 'a lot of explaining to later this week.' empedocles Nov 2021 #8
Polling is an absolute horrorshow these days budkin Nov 2021 #9
Welcome to DU greenjar_01 Nov 2021 #10

PortTack

(35,816 posts)
3. They are the experts. But there are just too many other indicators that don't agree
Mon Nov 1, 2021, 03:51 PM
Nov 2021

Polling in the last 3 election cycles has been trash.

Voting is way up compared to ‘17.
Those voting 54+% dem to 33+% gqp.
Similar numbers of anti vaccine anti mask ppl present in VA which follow closely to trump humpers vs the sane
Larry Sabato’s Crystal ball was way off in ‘16..he openly admits it and says polling methods need to change

BlueCheeseAgain

(1,983 posts)
4. I guess we'll find out tomorrow, or soon after that.
Mon Nov 1, 2021, 04:00 PM
Nov 2021

I read Wasserman as saying that Youngkin has a good chance, not that he's necessarily favored.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
5. Washerman is very good. With the bullshit Manchin is pulling in the 11th hour, along with the
Mon Nov 1, 2021, 04:04 PM
Nov 2021

media circus surrounding this, I am pretty pessimist about this

RANDYWILDMAN

(3,138 posts)
6. Youngkin is an idiot
Mon Nov 1, 2021, 04:07 PM
Nov 2021

he talks a lot and says very little, I expect if he wins he will talk a lot and do very little that is good for all of Virginia !


come on Virginia Vote please

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