Fairfax County is reporting a 26.1% turnout with 3 hours yet to go.

[FSogol]

Combined with 23% from early turnout, that puts us at 49% overall. The 2017 Gubernatorial election had a 49% turnout.

Link to tweet

?s=20

[LexVegas]

1. Big numbers for Dems there. My county will not help much, so depending on others to bring it home.nt

[FSogol]

3. Every vote counts. Still time to get people to the polls.

[LexVegas]

4. I am going to vote soon. nt

[lagomorph777]

10. No electoral college for VA Governor, so ...

Your vote is every bit as valuable as mine (in blue NoVA)!

[Best_man23]

2. Blow out the numbers Fairfax

GOTV, 3 hours to go!

KICK IT!

[LoisB]

5. I will never understand why turnout to vote is ever less than at least 90%.

[SoCalDavidS]

18. Because Half Of Americans Are Stupid

They either don't have the time to get a Covid vaccine shot, or don't have time to vote.

Half of America doesn't give a shit about anything beyond their own little world, even though these other things will impact them.

[NoMoreRepugs]

32. So frustrating, can't even be bothered to obtain a mail-in ballot.

[48656c6c6f20]

38. I would not put all the blame on

Stupid Americans. The trend of making it harder to vote every year has a little to do with it. Personally I think more people would vote if they could do it from their home. We're using a 1700's form of voting in the 21st century.

[Celerity]

46. I have had multiple conversation with bus drivers (from Bosnia, Iraq, Chile, etc) here in Sweden

who know more about American politics than the vast majority of Americans I have talked to.

[COL Mustard]

59. And Yet The Stupid Person's Vote Can Very Well

Cancel out mine.

[Hortensis]

41. +1.

[Hortensis]

45. +1.

[uponit7771]

63. Republican voter suppression works and includes more than just vote denial

[BlueCheeseAgain]

6. Good news!

I wonder how the usual turnout pattern is different now that Election Day is a holiday in Virginia.

[FSogol]

13. That's only for State workers. Most people are at work.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

22. I hadn't known that state workers got the day off. Are the ABC stores closed? NT

[Best_man23]

25. Nope, the ABCs are open today

At least a portion of Virginia residents will need the liquor. Republicants will go for the VABC brand bottles on the bottom shelf.

[FSogol]

27. Not AFAIK. n/t

[honest.abe]

7. That is very good news indeed.

Fairfax is big blue! I think we are going win this thing!

[spooky3]

8. And the number of registered voters has increased since 2017

So that means more blue votes in FFX Co!

[lagomorph777]

9. Fairfax County is extremely blue. And if it's already surpassed 2017...

WE ARE WINNING!

[helpisontheway]

11. I'm really wondering about Loudoun..they keep saying

how important it is. And they said people there might turn against McAuliffe because if education and the trans rape in a school bathroom. Please don’t let the voters fall for that critical race theory crap when it’s not even taught in va.

[FSogol]

14. Fox News has been promoting those stories, but other than that, they don't get much discussion. n/t

[Rhiannon12866]

62. Latest Loudoun County news:

Turnout Expected to Exceed 2017 and 2019 Totals
https://loudounnow.com/2021/11/02/turnout-expected-to-exceed-2017-and-2019-totals/

[Marius25]

12. Youngkin was banking on 2 things to win:

1) Low Dem turnout. That's not happening. Dem turnout is expected to exceed 2017 turnout.

2) Voter crossover. This is all Youngkin has left. It comes down to how many Biden voters Youngkin gets to vote for him. This was the big concern with Loudoun county. It's a blue majority county, but has more swing voters than a county like Arlington, and the whole school fiasco thing there may turn Dem voters towards Youngkin.

[FSogol]

16. Trumpkins issues are all fake. Real parents will realize that.

Oh, did I say Trumpkin? I meant Youngkin.

[Marius25]

23. That's what I'm hoping.

I hope most people aren't swayed by the CRT nonsense.

[LiberalFighter]

15. And MSNBC does not mention this. Yet

[FSogol]

17. They want a horserace to make everyone tune in. n/t

[DET]

19. Fingers Crossed

I just voted in Fairfax, and was surprised that virtually all the sample ballots handed out were red. Turnout is always light at our voting place, so this is probably not representative of the rest of the region. At least I hope so. Loudoun County concerns me. They’ve latched onto CRT and they’re pretending that it’s a school issue, not a race issue. I’ll be thrilled if McAuliffe pulls this out.

[spooky3]

20. As of 1:30 pm, very blue Arlington Co was at 46% turnout.

Link to tweet

?s=21

This compares with 56% turnout after polls closed and slightly fewer registered voters in 2017.

I hope more than 10 % of registered voters turn out between 1:30 and 7 pm.

[ColinC]

21. There's a chance McCauliffe wins by as much as 6.

I don't' think getting all of the undecideds is out of the question, but we'll see.

[onenote]

24. Virtually no chance of that happening.

He's never been as popular in Virginia as some are assuming. While he won in 2013, he didn't even get 48 percent of the vote. He's almost never polled above 50 percent (either as a candidate or when he was governor).

[spooky3]

33. Not true. His approval in office was frequently above 50%

Even when the “don’t knows” were counted against him.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/approval_rating/governor/va/governor_mcauliffe_job_approval-4281.html

[onenote]

39. Below 50 percent more than half of the time

Above 52% only around 20 percent of the time.

[spooky3]

40. That is not "almost never." Where are you counting? I get 42% of the

RCP polls I linked reported approval at 50% or above.

And, if you instead count approval minus disapproval, which leaves out those without a political opinion, he was often in double digits.

[onenote]

43. Almost never was a mistake. But those without an opinion don't count as favorable

They just reflect a lack of enthusiasm for him without necessarily disapproving.

[spooky3]

44. No, they reflect people who don't care about politics, generally.

That’s why RCP included approval minus disapproval.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

26. 36% Voter Turnout in Alexandria by 10 AM

36% Voter Turnout in Alexandria by 10 AM

Mary Wadland

ALEXANDRIA, VA – In a race that includes the Alexandria Mayor, City Council, and School Board along with state delegates and the future governor of Virginia, 36.38% of Alexandria’s 96,302 registered voters have cast their votes in person or by absentee ballot.

See stats below released by the Office of Elections this morning:



{snip}

[triron]

28. Is that good or encouraging?

[mahatmakanejeeves]

30. Beats me. I saw that people in the thread were reporting turnout for their localities, so

I figured I should do the same for Alexandria.

It's not nice out today, cool and raining. I'm glad I don't have to go out in it.

[onenote]

34. Alexandria City turnout in 2017 was 57.6 percent

[peggysue2]

29. It's turning in McAuliffe's direction

The rumors of his death were greatly exaggerated. The predicted Democratic collapse has not happened. Voting has been vigorous and depending on the final figures looks to be pushing historical records for a gubernatorial race. Let's hope this surge spills over the delegate race, too.

But today, is looking like a good day, people!



Btw, if this goes the way it looks like it's going to go, we need to talk about the state of polling.

[IronLionZion]

31. Polling has undercounted rural conservatives the last few elections

ever since Trump's upset win in 2016. I don't want to jinx anything by getting my hopes up. It's not over until it's over.

[BlueMTexpat]

35. I am keeping my fingers

crossed that you are right! Go Virginia!

[peggysue2]

54. Let's cross toes, too!

[BlueMTexpat]

65. It looks as if

neither helped.

I am so sorry that Virginia has made such an awful choice.

[peggysue2]

66. As am I

Sorry and I've got to say shocked at the result. After everything the country has been through, after everything we've witnessed and heard from the Republicans and Trumpers, this result is mind-boggling.

[Drunken Irishman]

36. The big question will be crossover voters.

Youngkin was either going to win by suppressed Democratic turnout or winning enough crossover votes that he hits the needed margins in these higher Dem areas to win the state.

We'll see.

[DFW]

37. My brother and sister-in-law voted for McAuliffe

They are the only two members of my immediate family left there, but they are rock solid Democratic voters. Fairfax County, of course.

[halfulglas]

42. My dad used to tell me in the 50s when I was growing up

You shouldn't complain if you didn't vote. When you vote you're choosing. If you don't vote you shouldn't complain later because you didn't care enough to vote.

Of course, this is America and people do have the right to complain, and boy, do they complain even if they didn't vote.

[Hortensis]

47. Speaking of, CNN's voter age breakdown with 1-1/2 hours to go is:

18-29 9%
30-44 22%
45-64 43%
65-older 27%

[spooky3]

48. Wish they'd report a gender breakdown. In polls,

There is a huge gender gap—something like 15 percentage points favoring McAuliffe among women voters and a slightly smaller pro-Youngkin vote among men voters.

Why young people aren’t voting, to ensure their rights to abortion and the hope of climate change action, etc., is beyond me.

[Hortensis]

51. Ah, just went back and saw! Female 53%, male 47%.

[spooky3]

52. You meant 53%? Thanks. Nt

[Hortensis]

53. Yes. Just corrected it. Was busy being glad mine was the 53%. :)

[spooky3]

55. :-) nt

[Galraedia]

49. If anyone has friends or family in Virginia get them to vote before polls close.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

50. Did someone mention Loudoun County?

Loudon, London, whatever. (I have family living in Loudoun County, so I know how it's spelled.)

No? No problem. Here are turnout results anyway.

Loudoun Times-Mirror Retweeted

As of 1 p.m., 92,725 people (32.84%) have voted in Loudoun County, which includes voters who voted in precincts today and cast their ballots at an early voting site, according to the
@LoudounVote


In the last Gubernatorial Election, the voter turnout was 48.21.%
@LoudounTimes

Link to tweet

This will be our final turnout report, you can view results for the county and state at http://loudoun.gov/electionresults'

Link to tweet

[TlalocW]

56. Do we generally know VA governor results on the same night of voting?

I can't remember 2017... or what I had for breakfast, but that's a personal matter.

TlalocW

[onenote]

57. Generally yes. But in theory this year could be different.

Early votes are going to be reported first, then same day. But absentee by mail votes won't be fully counted until Friday since they can be postmarked as late as election day. It's unlikely, however, that the number of uncounted votes on election night will be enough to change the outcome.

[COL Mustard]

58. If You Live In Virginia, And Haven't Voted Yet, Please Do!!!

You still have an hour to be in line. Please, vote! Our state may depend on it.

[FSogol]

60. It was Col Mustard in the Web Forum with the Truth!

[COL Mustard]

61. Curses!!! Foiled Again!!!

If it wasn't for you meddling kids, I'd have gotten away with it, too!

(I know, a different venue but you work with what you have!).

[MustLoveBeagles]

64. +1