It was NON-COLLEGE educated white women in Virginia that switched

[bluewater]

Link to tweet

McAuliffe actually did better with college educated white women than Biden did.

Stunning results.

[rockfordfile]

1. A lot more people voted in that election

[CaliforniaPeggy]

2. I'm not very surprised, actually.

People without much education tend to vote R.

That's just the way it goes.

[SMC22307]

6. But the percentages were close in 2020. What happened...

between then and now?

[bottomofthehill]

12. They were fed a strict diet of fear.

Your children are not safe in schools, boys dressed like girls will attack them in the girls room, fights breaking out, masks will kill them, vaccines will take their virginity…. The crazy went deep and people ate it up. The message of be afraid of black and brown people and taking their southern culture was a bridge too far

[SMC22307]

15. Schools/bathrooms were pre-2021, same with the "southern culture," statues, etc.

That stuff was going on when Biden was elected.

I think the poster in #7 summed it up:

College educated white women worked remotely.

Non-college educated white women became unemployed or risked Covid on essential jobs.

[bluewater]

18. so why would anyone cut programs from the Build Back Better bill that would help these women?

[SMC22307]

26. Good question.

I'll hold my thoughts lest I get in trouble...

[bottomofthehill]

20. Maybe, but I live in VA and that's not what they were running on.

The TV Spots we’re about as blunt as a hammer. The message was beaten in, your children are not safe at school because of democrats.

[SMC22307]

29. Ah, OK. I drove through rural counties (Fauquier, parts of Loudoun)...

a few weeks ago and was stunned at the big, red Youngkin signs all over. It seemed very MAGA-ish to me... lots of people pissed that Trump lost and they sure as hell were going to vote.

[bottomofthehill]

37. The Loudoun sheriff's ad

https://m.

[bottomofthehill]

40. And stuff like this

ASHLAND, Va. (AP) — Glenn Youngkin wants voters in Virginia to hear an urgent message: Your children are in danger.

In a speech in Northern Virginia’s suburbs last week, the Republican candidate for governor highlighted the murky case of a student who allegedly committed sex crimes in two area schools. He said the incidents, which have sparked community outrage, are the result of failed Democratic leadership.

“What other tragedy awaits Virginia’s children?” an atypically grim-faced Youngkin asked from the podium, flanked by a collection of parents and schoolchildren.


Full article below


https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-elections-crime-virginia-election-2020-b3265985b40d25db51491a39b07a2737

[SMC22307]

43. So college-educated white women saw through the Youngkin fear-mongering and BS...

but non-college-educated white women did not?

[bottomofthehill]

44. This is not meaning to be a smart ass answer but yes

More highly educated voters tend to question the message and the messenger more than those less educated.

[SMC22307]

47. I shoulda said above, Republicans always play to fear.

I just find it surprising that there was a nearly 20% drop in the non-college-educated white woman vote between 2020 (Biden) and 2021 (McAuliffe). That's a huge drop in one year.

[pstokely]

63. what about college educated men?

or non college educated non whites?

[SMC22307]

41. Ugh. Criminals, guns, weak on crime, fear... an oldie but goodie. (n/t)

[bluewater]

36. Got it. I missed one of your previous posts explaining what the ads were about.

Thanks.

[triron]

60. I think you are probably quite accurate. Bottom line: Stupidity.

[gldstwmn]

27. They're feeding it to them in the churches.

[bottomofthehill]

51. From the Washington post on the fear campaign

Youngkin’s victory confirms a depressing reality: Trumpism succeeds as a tactic even in the absence of Trump. Though Youngkin nominally distanced himself from Trump (he didn’t mention Trump often or attend events where Trump spoke on his behalf), he ran a classic MAGA campaign, raising racial fear and animus among White voters by scaring them about crime and the phantom menace of critical race theory. He littered the airwaves with falsehoods and falsely implicated McAuliffe in a dark conspiracy theory involving the FBI. Youngkin emphasized the Trumpian trope of “election integrity” and called for an “audit” of Virginia’s voting machines, while Trump and other Youngkin surrogates told Virginians to expect fraud.

[Big Blue Marble]

9. They voted significantly more for Biden last year .

It looks like they were carefully targeted with state and local issues, primarily about
educating their children from what I have read.

[mvd]

19. That's part of why..

Repukes are always neglecting public education. Less educated can mean more susceptible to scare tactics like what the Repukes are doing with CRT.

[lagomorph777]

3. Thank you, Karens.

[CentralMass]

5. Nameist.

[bluewater]

8. lol

Thanks for the levity, I needed cheering up.

[lagomorph777]

54. I know, and I've been one of the big scolds about using that name.

[uponit7771]

56. lol

[SMC22307]

4. Wow. So what were they whipped into a frenzy over?

COVID restrictions? CRT? Afghanistan withdrawal? Soshulism?

[underpants]

10. Scare the hell out of them

Always works.

[SMC22307]

13. All of the above then? That's a huge swing, percentage-wise. (n/t)

[Celerity]

39. CRT/race baiting

[Klaralven]

7. Probably Covid

College educated white women worked remotely.

Non-college educated white women became unemployed or risked Covid on essential jobs.

[underpants]

11. Great point.

I’d say CRT and what they saw particularly in Richmond last summer.

[SMC22307]

14. That's a good point. (n/t)

[bluewater]

22. You've convinced me. Great insight.

[JI7]

30. Non College White Women have always been Right Wing Leaning

[SMC22307]

32. But if they voted for Biden in 2020, why not McAuliffe in 2021?

What was it that triggered the switch in such a short period of time?

[JI7]

35. They didn't vote for Biden in 2020

[SMC22307]

38. According to the exit poll in the OP, there was an almost 20% drop...

between 2020 (Biden) and 2021 (McAuliffe). Why?

[JI7]

45. Many white women became disgusted with Trump but doesn't mean they are liberal

they still get easily fooled by the fear mongering .

I remember years ago reading about how white women were most likely to oppose immigration during some controversial issue in california .

[SMC22307]

48. No one thinks they are liberal. Youngkin has been described as "Trump in a fleece vest"...

what made them switch back?

[JI7]

49. But he doesn't come off like Trump . Also Biden and McAuliffe are different

People are more comfortable with Biden and I think Kaine and WArner would have won also.

Attacks on Biden don't work as well as they would on other Democrats . It's why Obama picked him for VP .

[bottomofthehill]

42. In a nutshell , "your children are in danger"

ASHLAND, Va. (AP) — Glenn Youngkin wants voters in Virginia to hear an urgent message: Your children are in danger.

[WhiskeyGrinder]

52. This, and the aid they got at the end of the Trump admin trickled to a stop under Biden.

[MFM008]

16. so stupid white women

you meant to say....

[DoBotherMe]

34. LOL!

[haele]

62. Qarens. And women tho thought their kids would be taught to be ashamed.

McAuliffe made a huge mistake on his comment that basically indicated he had no problems taking power away from parents who were worried about the education their kids were getting and don't understand nuance well.
Which basically means he put off white women who accept/prefer traditional roles and don't pursue higher education because they don't believe they personally need to be more than a mother and wife.

[USAFRetired_Liberal]

17. They didn't switch

I wager to bet that the ones who voted for Biden last time just didn’t vote…

[TheRealNorth]

24. That is the question

Did the Democratic-leaning voters just not turn out, or was there a change in how individuals voted.

[JI7]

31. the Big change was independents

and I mean real independents that can go either way. Not just people who claim to be independent but always vote one way .

[pidge]

21. How would anynone know these facts ?

[Carlitos Brigante]

23. Welcome to "The Karening"!!! nt

[roamer65]

28. The white trash vote.

[dalton99a]

46. +1. Republicans are experts at mixing fear and racism into a potent motivator

[BlackSkimmer]

50. Did the black vote turn out?

Why no information on this?

[Chille]

53. The LT Governor

who won is an AA. I think everyone who wanted to vote voted

[Sunsky]

55. The LT gov is Repub

Because she's black does not mean AAs turned out to vote for her.
I would like to see the AA turnout numbers because I've been hearing a lot of anger in my circle toward the Biden administration. They say Kamala has been silent and Biden has not put his weight behind key measures important to our community. I have heard the word disrespected used numerous times.

[uponit7771]

57. +1, I'm waiting to see this also. The voter denial issue being back seated is a big issue to my

... family and friends who are black

[cinematicdiversions]

64. We should not mention the black vote unless we win. Nt

[msfiddlestix]

58. He needed to do better with Non-College Educated and White Men/Women

That's the demographic we have to improve our appeal with.

[uponit7771]

59. We at least need to find out why the huge switch in months

[Socal31]

61. That would be nice.

I've been around DU long enough to remember when only the mouth-breathing trolls were afraid to be tomb-stoned.

But now it feels like one cannot do an honest post-mortem or meta discussion on strategy, without being seen as promoting/endorsing (R) talking points.

It is OK to say that CRT or its framework is being incorporated into K-12 curriculum. Not to advocate for its eradication, or fall for the racist tropes of the Trumptards. But to discuss and unify the proper messaging as to why it is NORMAL to teach about race. Pretending it doesn't exist does not work.

It is OK to say that vaccine mandates are going to be a wedge issue in Purple states. Not to advocate for ending public health measures designed to save lives, but to discuss and unify the proper messaging as to WHY the vaccines are necessary. Calling everyone against mandates "anti-vaxx", or pretending there is no controversy, does not work.

It is OK to acknowledge that inflation is real and is caused in part by inflating the money supply (deficit spending). Not to argue against BBB, but to discuss and unify our messaging as to why the BBB plan actually IMPROVES the economy, even more so if Manchin doesn't torpedo the new taxes on the uber-Rich. Pretending that food and energy prices are not alarmingly higher in some regions, will not work.

We have the advantage of holding the correct views, as will be judged by history. So why don't we address them head-on, and bury these wingnuts for every election in the foreseeable future?