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AZProgressive

(29,929 posts)
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 12:43 AM Nov 2021

Fauci: US can get Covid under control by next year with more jabs

Anthony Fauci, the top infectious diseases public official in the US, said on Tuesday that if America further ramps up vaccination rates and those already immunized take booster shots that it is feasible Covid-19 could be reduced from a pandemic emergency to endemic status next year.
More than 70% of adults in the US are fully vaccinated.

Fauci said if a lot more Americans take the vaccines, and if the US makes boosters available for everyone, the country could get control of the virus by spring of 2022.

But with his forecast Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the chief medical advisor to Joe Biden, was acknowledging what experts now widely believe: that Covid-19 cannot be eliminated and will likely become endemic, meaning it will always be present in the population to some degree, such as the flu or chickenpox.

Booster doses of the vaccines are vital for reaching the point where falling infection rates allow the disease to be downgraded from the current pandemic public health emergency to the status of endemic, Fauci explained in an interview on Tuesday during the Reuters Total Health conference.

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/nov/16/fauci-covid-endemic-vaccinations-boosters-us

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Fauci: US can get Covid under control by next year with more jabs (Original Post) AZProgressive Nov 2021 OP
Forget About It SoCalDavidS Nov 2021 #1
Your Pessimism Seems Warranted, Sir The Magistrate Nov 2021 #2
Dr. Fauci Talks About What Could Be SoCalDavidS Nov 2021 #4
Right..If...if..if..🙄nt helpisontheway Nov 2021 #10
Yep. Time to focus on treatment n/t leftstreet Nov 2021 #3
Right. Hard enough to get people to vaccinate but then once it wanes they have to get a booster helpisontheway Nov 2021 #11
I think as soon as children are regularly vaxxed, 70% will be easy. ColinC Nov 2021 #5
I Would Not Count On A High % Of Children Getting Vaccinated SoCalDavidS Nov 2021 #6
I think if we just get 40- 50% if children, it'll translate to more than 70% overall ColinC Nov 2021 #7
You May Be Right SoCalDavidS Nov 2021 #8
Right..my husband told me the same thing last night helpisontheway Nov 2021 #9
 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
1. Forget About It
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 12:58 AM
Nov 2021

Sorry Dr. Fauci, but it's NOT going to happen.

We're going to struggle to reach 70%, and then there's the fact many won't even get the boosters. So pretty soon, it won't really be possible to know who's vaccinated and who's not.

That ship has sailed. We're going to live with Covid for the remainder of our lives. Some periods may be worse than others, but there's ZERO chance we'll get it "under control," next year, or Ever.

I'm not sure when or if we'll ever actually get through "pandemic" status. But it certainly won't be by early 2022.

The Magistrate

(96,043 posts)
2. Your Pessimism Seems Warranted, Sir
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 01:12 AM
Nov 2021

I cannot recall when a plague has had the active support of a major political body in its spread.

But here we are....

 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
4. Dr. Fauci Talks About What Could Be
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 01:24 AM
Nov 2021

Even he knows that it's pure fantasy, but he's trying to keep an optimistic, best case scenario outlook.

helpisontheway

(5,378 posts)
11. Right. Hard enough to get people to vaccinate but then once it wanes they have to get a booster
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 05:21 AM
Nov 2021

Many people will not get a booster. I have heard people that we’re excited to get the first vaccine say they will not get the booster.

ColinC

(11,098 posts)
5. I think as soon as children are regularly vaxxed, 70% will be easy.
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 03:20 AM
Nov 2021

But not sure how much more than that.

 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
6. I Would Not Count On A High % Of Children Getting Vaccinated
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 03:22 AM
Nov 2021

I bet we'll be lucky to hit 60% of those 12 and under getting vaccinated.

ColinC

(11,098 posts)
7. I think if we just get 40- 50% if children, it'll translate to more than 70% overall
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 03:40 AM
Nov 2021

...not that I've done the math or anything.

 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
8. You May Be Right
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 04:16 AM
Nov 2021

I predicted many months ago, that we would end up with between 65 - 70% vaccinated. And it's going to be extremely slow going, getting from the current 58% to 70%. Best case scenario, IMO, is next April.

The additional problem is that a very low % of those vaccinated, are getting booster shots. So by next April, anybody who has gone 8-12 months since their 2nd shot, are essentially Unvaccinated again, due to declining efficacy.

It's kind of irrelevant at this point. Anything less than 85% is not going to stick. 70% may as well be 50%, because the virus is going to have more than enough room to continue spreading and perhaps mutating.

helpisontheway

(5,378 posts)
9. Right..my husband told me the same thing last night
Wed Nov 17, 2021, 05:16 AM
Nov 2021

He wants to travel overseas next year for our 30th anniversary. I told him that I did not feel comfortable planning a trip to Europe. He said I might as well not travel overseas ever again. He said Covid is here to stay. He said the best we can do is to mask up and take the boosters that are recommended. 🤷🏽‍♀️

Regardless, I still do not feel comfortable knowing that there are variants out there. I’m taking the baby step of a one hr flight to Florida next month. Nervous about it but I will use a high quality mask (with a lighter one underneath) plus a faceshield.

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