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DOW down over 1000 points! (Original Post) mnhtnbb Nov 2021 OP
Glad we have a bunch of leftovers Sherman A1 Nov 2021 #1
They are 391K plans now Shermann Nov 2021 #24
lol Demovictory9 Nov 2021 #28
This is what's known as a buying opportunity. Tomconroy Nov 2021 #2
.... A HERETIC I AM Nov 2021 #5
Indeed MissB Nov 2021 #15
Yep we can do it Nov 2021 #27
Or perhaps a falling knife catching opportunity Shermann Nov 2021 #36
Well, it is after all dweller Nov 2021 #3
Being attributed to Nu variant. That's scary. What do they know about it that we don't? Scrivener7 Nov 2021 #4
They *don't* know ... dawg Nov 2021 #6
We're long overdue for a correction, current P/E and P/B values are way above historical averages Amishman Nov 2021 #7
Sound analysis True Dough Nov 2021 #20
Yes, sharp correction coming. oioioi Nov 2021 #22
Completely Agree ProfessorGAC Nov 2021 #39
Shit, I just re-invested 80k from a sale of land CanonRay Nov 2021 #8
It always goes that way, doesn't it? But you'll recoup. I invested in Scrivener7 Nov 2021 #9
It'll recover once the news gets digested. jmbar2 Nov 2021 #10
Buying when prices are low is very good. beaglelover Nov 2021 #12
The market goes up and down. It's how it works. Not a huge deal unless you're withdrawing all of beaglelover Nov 2021 #11
Meh, that's what? 3%? Wounded Bear Nov 2021 #13
Serious correction in oil and gasoline as well durablend Nov 2021 #14
+1 uponit7771 Nov 2021 #23
I invested in TV dinners, and all my assets are frozen. Beakybird Nov 2021 #16
I see what you did there. NT mahatmakanejeeves Nov 2021 #19
I invested in beer and all my assets are liquid nt Shermann Nov 2021 #25
hahaha!! Beakybird Nov 2021 #26
Buying opportunity gulliver Nov 2021 #17
In my view, the next few days will have considerable turbulence bucolic_frolic Nov 2021 #18
Are we struggling mightily to "get back to normal" Ron Green Nov 2021 #21
Why create jobs onenote Nov 2021 #30
Indeed, why "create" jobs? Ron Green Nov 2021 #32
So you support folks being unemployed? onenote Nov 2021 #35
I support people living their best lives in a loving community on a Ron Green Nov 2021 #38
Good thing the Stock Market is not the economy. GoCubsGo Nov 2021 #29
great just when I'm near retirement I'm going to lose $$ in my 401k IcyPeas Nov 2021 #31
It could well bounce back iemanja Nov 2021 #34
Watch the S&P iemanja Nov 2021 #33
Good thing the wife and I put all of our money into mattress. Xavier Breath Nov 2021 #37
Despite This... ProfessorGAC Nov 2021 #40
yeah, 1000 points in Dow isn't what it used to be Johonny Nov 2021 #41

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
1. Glad we have a bunch of leftovers
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 12:41 PM
Nov 2021

From yesterday, this isn’t going to look good in the 401k at day’s end.

Amishman

(5,929 posts)
7. We're long overdue for a correction, current P/E and P/B values are way above historical averages
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 12:49 PM
Nov 2021

In other words, stocks overall are trading at too high a price relative to their earnings and total assets.

Current Shiller P/E ratio is 38.8 and is based on the S&P 500. Historical mean is 16.8, median 15.8

All time high was Dec 1999 at 44.1 - right before the dot com bust. Prior to that, the only time it was ever at 30 or more was October 1929 - right before the Black Tuesday crash.

I see two possible ways this extreme overvaluation works itself out. Either A) we get a crash. B) sustained inflation, prices rising rapidly drives up earnings and reducing the ratio.

True Dough

(26,667 posts)
20. Sound analysis
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:33 PM
Nov 2021

I agree with your assessment. The markets have been "frothy" for a long time. Cycles are inevitable.

oioioi

(1,130 posts)
22. Yes, sharp correction coming.
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:50 PM
Nov 2021

Thanks for pointing this out. Equity and real estate prices don't have room to go higher. Fiscal liquidity flood and unsustainable interest rates are now pressuring wages and consumer prices. Supply chain weakness and full employment are aberrant. Depressed sectors like travel, entertainment, tourism, etc. seem to be offset by present economic restructuring and fiscal stimulus - we can dream, but this transition won't last forever.

With another year of COVID curtailing economic activity, rising inflation, accelerating climate change indicators amid stirring geopolitical uneasiness, it's difficult to find a solid argument for an exuberant equities outlook. The scenario of rapid prices pushing up earnings in dollar terms won't fix bloated P/E ratios - equity prices can't outpace an extended period of inflation with consequent wage and social pressure. Hello UBI?

ProfessorGAC

(76,704 posts)
39. Completely Agree
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 08:21 PM
Nov 2021

We've got 2 giant companies with revenues a third of market cap. Revenues, not earnings. One of them showed pretax earnings of 2% of market cap. This is irrational.
By contrast, Walmart has a market cap of around 60% of revenues. This made their earnings nearly 40% of market cap.
I know 2 companies don't exert that much leverage on the whole market index, but they're the extreme examples, not the only examples of irrational valuation.

CanonRay

(16,171 posts)
8. Shit, I just re-invested 80k from a sale of land
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 12:52 PM
Nov 2021

I mean like Wednesday. Great timing as usual...

Scrivener7

(59,522 posts)
9. It always goes that way, doesn't it? But you'll recoup. I invested in
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:00 PM
Nov 2021

Chipotle just before the norovirus nonsense. But in the end the Chipotle stock profits paid for most of my new car.

beaglelover

(4,466 posts)
11. The market goes up and down. It's how it works. Not a huge deal unless you're withdrawing all of
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:01 PM
Nov 2021

your money in the market today.

durablend

(9,269 posts)
14. Serious correction in oil and gasoline as well
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:04 PM
Nov 2021

Of course TPTB will make sure we never see it and blame Biden for it.

bucolic_frolic

(55,140 posts)
18. In my view, the next few days will have considerable turbulence
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:11 PM
Nov 2021

The initial Virus mutation news will fade, but it has confirmed the deflationary theme that has been floating around for about two months. Commodities are falling, speculation bubble pricked, bitcoin too, and underneath it all the level of debt.

Ron Green

(9,870 posts)
21. Are we struggling mightily to "get back to normal"
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 01:34 PM
Nov 2021

when we ought to do the exact opposite?

Why continue to consume at a previous level?

Why accumulate money that’s not tied to actual goods?

Why use debt to expand life experiences?

Why support any economic growth?

COVID-19 and its pandemic, and now its variants, along with the climate crisis, are serving as lessons to the world; sadly they’re mostly being ignored.

Ron Green

(9,870 posts)
32. Indeed, why "create" jobs?
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 03:46 PM
Nov 2021

No sarcasm.

We need to learn to live small on this earth, and we need to do it right now.

Ron Green

(9,870 posts)
38. I support people living their best lives in a loving community on a
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 07:13 PM
Nov 2021

healthy planet. If you’ve noticed, lots of jobs are going unfilled at the moment, as people reassess their priorities and wage slavery is called into question.

Maybe one result of the pandemic will be a new and better economics. And it ain’t the “financial markets” that will lead the way.

GoCubsGo

(34,914 posts)
29. Good thing the Stock Market is not the economy.
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 02:41 PM
Nov 2021

It goes up. It goes down. It was at a record high just a couple days ago. I'm sure the media will spin this as a "disaster for Biden," while ignoring it completely when it goes up and breaks another record in a few days.

Xavier Breath

(6,640 posts)
37. Good thing the wife and I put all of our money into mattress.
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 04:28 PM
Nov 2021

Mattress helps us sleep at night.

Johonny

(26,178 posts)
41. yeah, 1000 points in Dow isn't what it used to be
Fri Nov 26, 2021, 11:12 PM
Nov 2021

It's not even a correction, people are acting like it's a bear market in this thread.

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