Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

ratchiweenie

(8,215 posts)
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 12:48 PM Dec 2021

Omicron variant appears to be 'super mild' mutation with Covid death rate not jumping

The WHO and Coronavirus experts are increasingly convinced the new Omicron variant is ‘super mild’ and has, so far, not led to a jump in Covid death rates anywhere in Southern Africa.

The WHO is calling this morning for countries to drop travel restrictions and end the mass hysteria, and instead be cautiously optimistic as more and more reports out of South Africa suggest the new Omicron variant is not more lethal than the previous Delta variant.

In fact, there have been no reports of hospitalisations or deaths as a result of anyone being diagnosed with Omicron.

Most patients merely experience a severe headache, nausea, dizziness and a high pulse rate, according to hospitals and medics across Southern Africa.

https://www.cityam.com/covid-death-rate-not-rising-swap-travel-restrictions-and-mass-hysteria-for-cautious-optimism-as-omicron-mutation-is-super-mild-variant-who-and-coronavirus-experts-say/

36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Omicron variant appears to be 'super mild' mutation with Covid death rate not jumping (Original Post) ratchiweenie Dec 2021 OP
Yay!!! mucifer Dec 2021 #1
I guess that's our Christmas present this year. Haggard Celine Dec 2021 #2
I certainly hope this is the case. I've been wondering if the shelf-life weakens with time. lindysalsagal Dec 2021 #3
Encouraging that WHO is saying that everyone is overreacting. Before they have said that everyone ratchiweenie Dec 2021 #4
They're not saying that. See my post below. scipan Dec 2021 #35
Natural selection at work... targetpractice Dec 2021 #5
OK: You said what I was thinking. Thanks. This is good news. lindysalsagal Dec 2021 #8
We don't know if it's all good news... targetpractice Dec 2021 #14
If this is true, and it out-competes Delta EarlG Dec 2021 #6
I get those symptoms after having a couple of martinis. Tomconroy Dec 2021 #7
Confused because I saw reports of increased hospitalizations in South Africa. Wingus Dingus Dec 2021 #9
I've seen reports of increased hospitalizations in South Africa, too. hamsterjill Dec 2021 #11
I read that there are three versions of Covid plus a nasty strain of Tomconroy Dec 2021 #13
Nope. hamsterjill Dec 2021 #25
The article in the OP is BS. berni_mccoy Dec 2021 #16
+++ JohnSJ Dec 2021 #21
Got to be following this issue. Corgigal Dec 2021 #10
Great news indeed GusBob Dec 2021 #12
This is hopeful speculation by the paper which is a no-nothing in London berni_mccoy Dec 2021 #15
Still, there have been no hospitalizatons or deaths. By comparison, that is what I would call ratchiweenie Dec 2021 #17
That's completely untrue. berni_mccoy Dec 2021 #18
The line: 'There is no reason for panicking' is very sage advice. Tomconroy Dec 2021 #19
Agreed. Let's not go the other way and dismiss concern berni_mccoy Dec 2021 #23
Agreed. There actually is one little bit of info from SA that does concern me but I'm not going Tomconroy Dec 2021 #24
From what I'm reading Covid 19 hospitalizations and deaths have gone up. They don't ratchiweenie Dec 2021 #22
Sorry, but I will wait until they actually have the data on this variant. WHO messed up big time JohnSJ Dec 2021 #20
Oh boy... greenjar_01 Dec 2021 #26
Could this be the endemic variant? malaise Dec 2021 #27
By 1925 those wishing to study the 1918 Flu could not find it...I believe it had mutated into Demsrule86 Dec 2021 #28
*wipes sweat off forehead* Initech Dec 2021 #29
I can't find anything on the WHO site recommending scipan Dec 2021 #30
The 2 US cases are both mild with both Deminpenn Dec 2021 #31
We're all going to get it. Initech Dec 2021 #32
IMO, not really "super mild" but not as lethal as Delta. ananda Dec 2021 #33
Article in Nature scipan Dec 2021 #34
That could be a false flag and hope we're not being naive. KY_EnviroGuy Dec 2021 #36

lindysalsagal

(22,915 posts)
3. I certainly hope this is the case. I've been wondering if the shelf-life weakens with time.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 12:53 PM
Dec 2021

Maybe this means it does, so, the pandemic has already reached it's peak. Fingers crossed. Got my booster, anyhow.

ratchiweenie

(8,215 posts)
4. Encouraging that WHO is saying that everyone is overreacting. Before they have said that everyone
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 12:56 PM
Dec 2021

was not taking it seriously enough.

scipan

(3,041 posts)
35. They're not saying that. See my post below.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 08:11 PM
Dec 2021

They are worried about the effects on reporting ifSA is in effect punished for reporting omicron. But they don’t even talk like that, accusing countries of “hysteria “.

targetpractice

(4,919 posts)
5. Natural selection at work...
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 12:56 PM
Dec 2021

Selective pressure always drives a virus to make the most copies of itself as possible... This will lead to more transmissible, but less virulent (less lethal) strains over time.

targetpractice

(4,919 posts)
14. We don't know if it's all good news...
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:20 PM
Dec 2021

... Less lethal variant is good, but what long term effects does it cause? Like Long-COVID issues? Too soon to tell.

Wingus Dingus

(9,173 posts)
9. Confused because I saw reports of increased hospitalizations in South Africa.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:09 PM
Dec 2021

There's nothing "hysterical" about travel restrictions in the first few weeks of a new rapidly-spreading variant until we have solid answers about it. The least you can do is not get on an international flight from a hotspot to a place where it's not prevalent, until it's clear it doesn't present a danger.

hamsterjill

(17,577 posts)
11. I've seen reports of increased hospitalizations in South Africa, too.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:14 PM
Dec 2021

Well said. It's no wonder we all stay confused these days.

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
13. I read that there are three versions of Covid plus a nasty strain of
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:20 PM
Dec 2021

the flu there. No one knows exactly what's going on.

hamsterjill

(17,577 posts)
25. Nope.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 03:33 PM
Dec 2021

No one knows and that’s why there’s confusion. Media reports are speculating to sell press and nothing is fact yet - especially whether or not the vaccines/boosters are effective against Omicron. Not anti-vax or anti-booster in any way myself; just telling it like it is.

Corgigal

(9,298 posts)
10. Got to be following this issue.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:11 PM
Dec 2021

We’re suppose to be going to a indoor concert in 8 days. The hotel just emailed us to informed us they will have our room empty for 48 hours before we check in. Must wear a mask at the hotel. Indoor concert , so we have to prove our shot records.

I just so miss live music. It’s been so long for us. We both had 3 shots, have no problem wearing a mask. Everything so spooky, but my local doctor said we should go.

GusBob

(8,249 posts)
12. Great news indeed
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:18 PM
Dec 2021

Its been almost a week now since this first came to my notice, and they had been saying mild symptoms from the get go

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
15. This is hopeful speculation by the paper which is a no-nothing in London
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:32 PM
Dec 2021

Please don’t spread misinformation.

“Super mild” is a term coined by the author of the article. When reading it, the comment from health advisors in SA are it’s too soon to tell.

ratchiweenie

(8,215 posts)
17. Still, there have been no hospitalizatons or deaths. By comparison, that is what I would call
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:40 PM
Dec 2021

very mild. I could handle headaches, nausea, etc. if I won't die.

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
23. Agreed. Let's not go the other way and dismiss concern
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 02:06 PM
Dec 2021

On false information less false hope be given.

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
24. Agreed. There actually is one little bit of info from SA that does concern me but I'm not going
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 02:19 PM
Dec 2021

to mention it until there is more info.

ratchiweenie

(8,215 posts)
22. From what I'm reading Covid 19 hospitalizations and deaths have gone up. They don't
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:50 PM
Dec 2021

know why. Maybe I'm wrong but I've read several articles in the last few days. All have said that Covid 19 cases are increasing along with Omicron cases but there have not been hospitalizations from Omicron???

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
20. Sorry, but I will wait until they actually have the data on this variant. WHO messed up big time
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 01:48 PM
Dec 2021

when the Wuhan pandemic started by taking a very casual approach.

There are a lot of questions that must be answered, and NOT anecdotally.

1. How lethal is it.
2. How transmittable is it
3. How effective are the current vaccines against it
4. How does it affect various demographics, young, old, etc.

There is no "mass hysteria" going on. They are taking proper precautions until those basic questions can be answered.

WHO was also against the U.S. recommendations of a booster, making wrong assumption in that area also


Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
28. By 1925 those wishing to study the 1918 Flu could not find it...I believe it had mutated into
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 03:55 PM
Dec 2021

a less virulent, contagious form...the same may happen here.

scipan

(3,041 posts)
30. I can't find anything on the WHO site recommending
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 06:53 PM
Dec 2021

countries drop their travel restrictions or “end the mass hysteria “.

https://www.who.int/news-room/articles-detail/who-advice-for-international-traffic-in-relation-to-the-sars-cov-2-omicron-variant

WHO advice for international traffic in relation to the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529)

(updated with correction)

30 November 2021 COVID-19 Travel Advice
The World Health Organization (WHO) has designated the variant B.1.1.529 a variant of concern (VOC), named Omicron, on the basis of advice from WHO’s Technical Advisory Group on Virus Evolution (hereafter referred to as TAG-VE) on 26 November 2021. Following the group’s announcement an increasing number of countries are introducing temporary travel measures, including temporarily prohibiting the arrival of international travellers from Southern African countries and others where the new variant is being detected, including from South Africa, which first reported the variant to WHO on 24 November 2021.

WHO commends South Africa and Botswana for their capacities in surveillance and sequencing and for the speed and transparency with which they notified and shared information with the WHO Secretariat on the Omicron variant in accordance with the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR). These actions have allowed other countries to rapidly adjust their response measures in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. WHO calls on all countries to follow the IHR (2005) and to show global solidarity in rapid and transparent information sharing and in a joint response to Omicron (as with all other variants), leveraging collective efforts to advance scientific understanding and sharing the benefits of applying newly acquired scientific knowledge and tools.
...snip...
Countries should continue to apply an evidence-informed and risk-based approach when implementing travel measures in accordance with the IHR, including the latest Temporary Recommendations issued by the WHO Director-General on 26 October 2021 following the 9th Emergency Committee for COVID-19 and as recommended in the documents WHO policy and technical considerations for implementing a risk-based approach to international travel in the context of COVID-19 issued in July 2021.
National authorities in countries of departure, transit and arrival may apply a multi-layered risk mitigation approach to potentially delay and/or reduce the exportation or importation of the new variant. Such measures may include screening of passengers prior to travelling and/or upon arrival, including via the use of SARS-CoV-2 testing or the application of quarantine to international travellers. These measures, nonetheless, need to be defined following a thorough risk assessment process informed by the local epidemiology in departure and destination countries and by the health system and public health capacities in the countries of departure, transit and arrival. All measures should be commensurate with the risk, time-limited and applied with respect to travellers’ dignity, human rights and fundamental freedoms, as outlined in the IHR (2005).
Blanket travel bans will not prevent the international spread, and they place a heavy burden on lives and livelihoods. In addition, they can adversely impact global health efforts during a pandemic by disincentivizing countries to report and share epidemiological and sequencing data. All countries should ensure that the measures are regularly reviewed and updated when new evidence becomes available on the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of Omicron or any other VOC.

Deminpenn

(17,506 posts)
31. The 2 US cases are both mild with both
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 07:09 PM
Dec 2021

the fully vaccinated individuals already recovering.

It's been interesting following the cases in my local Pittsburgh sports teams. Some of the players who have tested positive had mild or no symptoms and some have had worse symptoms. It kind of makes me think the less/no symptoms were not the delta strain and the other symptomatic ones were.

Initech

(108,783 posts)
32. We're all going to get it.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 07:24 PM
Dec 2021

The question is do you want to go to the ICU and die or do you want a mild cough and maybe some nausea? I know which I would choose if I had to.

ananda

(35,145 posts)
33. IMO, not really "super mild" but not as lethal as Delta.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 07:29 PM
Dec 2021

Those symptoms look very uncomfortable to me.

scipan

(3,041 posts)
34. Article in Nature
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 07:39 PM
Dec 2021
Previous studies of Omicron’s spike mutations — particularly in the region that recognizes receptors on human cells — suggest that the variant will blunt the potency of neutralizing antibodies. For instance, in a September 2021 Nature paper2, a team co-led by Paul Bieniasz, a virologist at Rockefeller University in New York City, engineered a highly mutated version of spike — in a virus incapable of causing COVID-19 — that shares numerous mutations with Omicron. The ‘polymutant spike’ proved fully resistant to neutralizing antibodies from most of the people they tested who had either received two doses of an RNA vaccine or recovered from COVID-19. With Omicron, “we expect there to be a significant hit,” says Bieniasz.


So some indication of evading vaccines, but anecdotal reports that it’s more mild:

If Omicron behaves similarly, Madhi says, “we’re going to see a surge of cases. We’re going to see lots of breakthrough infections, lots of reinfections. But there’s going to be this unhinging of the case rate in the community compared to the hospitalization rate”. Early reports suggest that most breakthrough infections with Omicron have been mild, says Madhi. “For me, that is a positive signal.”


https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-03614-z

I posted the most speculative parts but it’s Nature so ... solid speculation I guess you could say.

KY_EnviroGuy

(14,782 posts)
36. That could be a false flag and hope we're not being naive.
Thu Dec 2, 2021, 08:31 PM
Dec 2021

Mother nature tends to do that to us sometimes. This one could have mild symptoms, yet produce more severe long-term damage including to organs and DNA. Probably be a year or so before we know for sure.

I'll still take all the best precautions at my age and high-risk status.

Stay safe, Democrats......

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Omicron variant appears t...