Even if it takes even more months and is only a cardboard cutout of the original idea. It was an election promise and too much political capital has been spent on it to admit failure.
Immigration will need to come out, parliamentarian says no and we don't have the votes to override.
This is just a theory, but I am wondering if Manchin's end game is using the child tax credit as a vehicle for gutting the clean energy funding.
First he puts a cap on the total amount and insists it must be fully paid for with revenue increases. This makes the content of the bill a zero sum game, expanding one part can only be at the expense of other funding.
Next he pushes on the child tax credit, one of the most important short term priorities in the bill and most popular. He claims he ok with it but wants it as more than one year, which costs a ton. What other part of the bill can be cannibalized in this zero sum game? My bet is he wants to move most or all of the $500 billion for Green provisions to pay for the child tax credit. A backdoor gutting of environmental spending for his pocket coal interests.
Never expected voting rights to pass because of needing to weaken the filibuster to do it. With most projections showing us losing Congress next year, there isn't the will to do that. (Yes, this is a chicken and the egg scenario. Not agreeing with it, just commenting on what I see)
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