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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsA 1997 Wired Article Predicting '10 Things That Could Go Wrong In The 21st Century'
I'd like to remain positive but ....
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Link to tweet
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Tensions between China and the US escalate into a new Cold War bordering on a hot one.
New technologies turn out to be a bust. They simply don't bring the expected productivity increases or the big economic boosts,
Russia devolves into a kleptocracy run by a mafia or retreats into quasi-communist nationalism that threatens Europe.
Europe's integration process grinds to a halt. Eastern and Western Europe can't finesse a reunification, and even the European Unification process breaks down.
Major ecological crisis causes a global climate change that, among other things, disrupts the food supply - causing big price increases everywhere and sporadic famines.
Major rise in crime and terrorism forces the world to pull back in fear. People who constantly feel they could be blown up or ripped off are not in the mood to reach out and open up.
The cumulative escalation in pollution causes a dramatic increase in cancer, which overwhelms the ill-prepared health system.
Energy prices go through the roof. Convulsions in the Middle East disrupt the oil supply, and alternative energy sources fail to materialize.
An uncontrollable plague - a modern-day influenza epidemic or its equivalent takes off like wildfire, killing upward of 200 million people.
A social and cultural backlash stops progress dead in its tracks, human beings need to choose to move forward. They just may not...
underpants
(182,824 posts)Very interesting
sarchasm
(1,012 posts)ret5hd
(20,492 posts)JanMichael
(24,890 posts)A lot closer to being on the money than the Jetsons.
calimary
(81,299 posts)Seems to me we do have some, what with the growing solar and battery and other technologies happening.
Voltaire2
(13,045 posts)We just are trapped in corrupt governments that cannot end fossil subsidies and/or force the fossil fuel industry to pay for its damage to the planet through taxes on carbon emissions.
Amishman
(5,557 posts)And honestly, the alternative energy sources is mostly cheap and fairly efficient solar cells. I still don't believe wind is viable in most locations due to low average output, high initial cost, and maintenance.
Modern nuclear designs need to be implemented immediately. We have better tech there, its just not being built.
Lithium ion batteries are the current wall, need something both more efficient and with more easily obtainable inputs.
bucolic_frolic
(43,173 posts)It's just the same cycles, over and over, decades, centuries, millennia apart. Saracen invasions, plagues, fascist power, depressions, revolutions, wars. As if Nostradamus discovered something from the historical record.
Boomerproud
(7,954 posts)Takket
(21,573 posts)We as a global community, not just the USA w/ drumpf, are allowing right win fascists to essentially be the cement shoes of our species, dragging everyone else to the bottom with it. drumpf, putin, brexit......... those are the major players but the problem is everywhere. the next to last thing on that list is a plague. covid hasn't been 200 million dead bad but the "social and cultural backlash" problem has made it so much worse than it had to be. we as a global community should thrilled that years of research and progress gave us the chance to make a vaccine for this thing in only a year. And here we are a year after that, and because of the "social and cultural backlash", we are still living with the virus every day because something like 1/3 of the globe refuses to take it.
Can you imagine that?
That is what i mean by cement shoes........ those of us, the vast majority that want to listen to experts and do the right thing are continually forced to live through the worst of everything because, to use the term from the USA, the "cement shoes" people want to own the libs.
For "social and cultural" reasons the cement shoes don't want a ban of assault weapons, even though the majority of us do.
The minority want to ban abortion, burn books, rig elections........ and oh yeah, SAVE the planet from climate change!
and it isn't happening............. because we just can't "move forward"
but it isn't all bad news. We still have the filibuster
calimary
(81,299 posts)Maybe thats how WE rename THEM. What a GREAT meme strategy! Visual as all-get-out! A mental picture that says all and is an easy point to make! And you can SEE it in your mind!
Picture it! And USE it! Spread it!!!
KPN
(15,646 posts)powerful metaphor if there ever was one for todays far right. Hell, for the Republican Party today the Cement Shoes Party aka GOP.
karynnj
(59,503 posts)Against technology. Both on technology and productivity and energy. It should be noted that we'll before 1997, many of these things were projections by experts, including climate change and a global pandemic. Others such as a cultural backlash after change and US and China conflict were predictable.
Javaman
(62,530 posts)Celerity
(43,399 posts)was not at all betting against tech.
hunter
(38,316 posts)Those who control the economy think they can profit from these horrors.
They don't realize how brittle our world economy is and probably wouldn't survive any sort of collapse.
Voltaire2
(13,045 posts)There is no cancer epidemic overwhelming our healthcare systems.
Productivity continues to increase, the bosses have taken all the gains.
The EUs problem is not in the east, it is over in the northwest.
Food supply crisis hasnt happened yet, but could happen soon.
Fossil fuel prices are unfortunately low.
oldsoftie
(12,548 posts)Much of it is generalization
Our cancer death rate has dropped every year for several.
Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)TexasBushwhacker
(20,192 posts)But in other parts of the world, they pay double or triple what we pay at the pump.
I agree that the price of fossil fuels is too low, but I know that people are running around with their hair on fire that gas has gone up $1 a gallon over what it was during the beginning of the pandemic when PEOPLE WEREN'T DRIVING.
The thing is, unless you live in a state that depends on fossil fuel income, you can't understand how devastating artificially low fossil fuel prices can be. There's the fact that it encourages people to continue to buy gas guzzling behemoths just to commute to work. But there's also the fact that when gas prices drop too low for too long, oil companies can't make a profit and start shutting down production, laying off tens of thousands of workers, from high paid engineers to rig workers. The trickle down effect of those layoffs, from foreclosed homes, to mom and pop diners in oil towns going under is devastating.
oldsoftie
(12,548 posts)And many people also think the US can lower oil usage on the level of many much smaller countries. As technology stands now, no, we cant.
TexasBushwhacker
(20,192 posts)I like solar and wind as much as the next tree hugger, but they have nuclear reactors in Europe producing 1/4 of their electricity. We have 20% nuclear produced electricity, but if we're going to reduce nasty ass coal (currently at 19%) something is going to have to fill that gap. Right now natural gas is at 40%. It's not clean, but it's a lot cleaner than coal.
oldsoftie
(12,548 posts)Nuke plants today are nothing like the old days. And thats the ONLY way to reliably keep the power on to 320 million people
Polybius
(15,423 posts)Probably elsewhere too. It was going down for two decades, but the last two years have been rough.
intheflow
(28,476 posts)MustLoveBeagles
(11,611 posts)old as dirt
(1,972 posts)Delphinus
(11,830 posts)singing that song in choir!
burrowowl
(17,641 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(26,330 posts)Carlitos Brigante
(26,501 posts).
orangecrush
(19,570 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(49,002 posts)"If anything remains more or less unchanged, it will be the role of
women." David Riesman, conservative American social scientist, 1967.
"It will be gone by June." Variety, passing judgement on rock 'n roll
in 1955.
"Democracy will be dead by 1950." John Langdon-Davies, A Short
History of The Future, 1936.
"A short-lived satirical pulp." TIME, writing off Mad magazine in
1956.
"I am tired of all this sort of thing called science here... We have
spent millions in that sort of thing for the last few years, and it is
time it should be stopped." Simon Cameron, U.S. Senator, on the
Smithsonian Institute, 1861.
lark
(23,102 posts)It so encapsulates what is happening right now in this country and we may not survive it. For the first time I am ok with not having grandchildren because I fear for the world they would live in. I'm very concerned about the future and so worried that the right wing asses will kill us and the earth for the profits of the rich and the hatred of the sheep who believe the rw lies they are told
IronLionZion
(45,447 posts)as in they worked out great but disrupted industries and displaced workers through automation.
I'm worried about the 200 million dead prediction. And we've already seen backlash against progress. MAGA and BREXIT are all about taking society backwards.
TomWilm
(1,832 posts)By now, they thought we would be voting online from home in presidential elections no hackers or Bush v. Gore in their world. They thought we would have a superpower nonaggression treaty between the US, China, Europe and Russia, and instead we have more conflict with Russia than since the Cold War ended. They thought world GDP growth would top 6%; its actually projected to be 3.7% this year.
They thought the Middle East would be out of oil and wed have third stage hybrids that ran on pure hydrogen; instead, the US is now the worlds top oil producer and electric cars are still rare. They thought that organ donations from animals would be common, birth defects would be completely eliminated, and that education would be radically reformed from kindergarten through university. Oh, and human life expectancy should reach 120 next year.
While they were a little closer on some of their computer industry predictions, they really overestimated humankind. To be fair, on page 129 they have a list of Ten Scenario Spoilers that includes a couple that came close: Russia devolves into a kleptocracy run by a mafia or retreats into quasicommunist nationalism that threatens Europe. And a social and cultural backlash stops progress dead in its tracks. ...
https://avataric.wordpress.com/2014/10/18/boom-era-wired-magazines-part-3/