Monmouth Poll has Repubs at 8 points

[Lawrence454]

I don't put too faith in polls anymore but Republicans right now have a good chance of taking the House according to this. I want to prove these polls wrong come November see we can put these pollsters go out of buisness.




https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_012622/

[Bettie]

1. Keep in mind that at this point

registered republicans are a smaller segment of the overall population than registered Democrats are.

Also, so much of polling comes down to how questions are worded. You can get any result you want to, through word and sample choice.

[brooklynite]

3. Monmouth, like Quinnipiac doesn't WANT to "get a result"....

These are educational institutions teaching polling and data analysis.

[Bettie]

4. Ask a question different ways and you get different answers

and, again, there are fewer reg. republicans than Democrats out there.

ETA: But if you are on the "all is lost" team, then enjoy it, I suppose.

[former9thward]

5. So who is a legitimate pollster in your view?

One that asks the questions as you want to see them asked?

BTW don't know what you mean by "registered" Rs or Ds. Most states no longer register anyone in a party. And in many states the Indies outnumber people who call themselves Rs or Ds.

[Bettie]

6. I don't trust any of them

everyone has an agenda.

[uponit7771]

8. What do pols make decisions based on? tia

[brooklynite]

10. There's a lot of space between "it's not true" and "it's true and all is lost"

I'll make my plans based on reality: "it's true and we have to work to change it"

[Silent3]

11. There is a real-life thing called unfavorable odds. That's not a matter of being on a "team".

Recognizing unfavorable odds isn't picking a team. Nor does it have anything to do with whether or not you are going to work to try to shift unfavorable odds in your favor.

Blowing sunshine up your own ass, and everyone else's, is not the only way to improve your chances of success.

The odds are against Democrats keeping the House in November. Yes, no one knows anything for sure, but that lack of certainty doesn't magically mean the odds are whatever you want them to be either.

[Bettie]

12. Fine.

Doom and gloom it is.

We're all dead in the water, bereft of hope since a poll in January says it is impossible.

[Silent3]

14. You aren't much for subtlety or nuance, are you?

You've just had it explained how recognizing unfavorable odds has nothing to do with giving up hope, and certainly no one said "unfavorable odds" is the same thing as "impossible".

Yet you can't see any daylight between the extremes, can you? In your book, apparently, people either deny that unfavorable odds exist, or they've given up and declared success impossible.

[JustAnotherGen]

2. NJ 7th District

Is gone. Will go GOP.

[obamanut2012]

7. .....

.....

[lame54]

9. The unregistered are the key...

Register voters
Convince them to stand in those long lines
Bring your own water - pack a lunch
Car pool to the fewer polling sites
Arrange ahead of time to take the day off
Get up early plan on it being a all day affair
Overcome ANY obstacle that those bastards have put in YOUR way to prevent YOU from voting

[Alhena]

13. "just 23% say the Democrats in Congress are very concerned with looking out for the economic ..."

"well-being of average Americans."

My jaw hit the floor when I read that. Who do they think is providing 49 of the 50 votes needed for the child tax credit?

If we're not gonna get credit for our efforts in DC then it's all over. People will apparently believe what Fox News tells them, reality be damned.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. We aren't in a good place

Hopefully things change.