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rgbecker

(4,831 posts)
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:06 PM Jan 2022

My speculation on why Breyer chose right now to announce retirement:

He just returned from the meeting where all the justices state their positions on the Mississippi abortion case. He came to realize that the Trump appointees are actually going to overturn Roe vs. Wade after it being the law for almost 50 years. He can see the writing on the wall that should the Democrats lose the Senate in November, there may be no possibility of keeping his seat a liberal voice on the court, moving the return to sanity on the bench even further into the future. A political move? You betcha.

Whadayu think?

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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My speculation on why Breyer chose right now to announce retirement: (Original Post) rgbecker Jan 2022 OP
Sounds spot on. Angleae Jan 2022 #1
I think he should have done it six months ago. LakeArenal Jan 2022 #2
I think he's 83 and would like to get out of that soul sucking job and enjoy his retirement In It to Win It Jan 2022 #3
you mean, like Ginsburg did? Skittles Jan 2022 #6
I mean like Ginsburg didn't do In It to Win It Jan 2022 #10
Legacy of voice. He keeps it alive cachukis Jan 2022 #4
Was he hoping it wasn't that bad? rgbecker Jan 2022 #5
Yes, I think your speculation is on target. Next, I hope Pres. Biden makes a public NCjack Jan 2022 #7
Is Justice Thomas not a 'real African-American male'? nt kelly1mm Jan 2022 #12
No, he is a fake. NCjack Jan 2022 #14
How so? nt kelly1mm Jan 2022 #21
I think Thomas will be the next to go. ecstatic Jan 2022 #18
I think he'll cling to that seat until he dies or until a Republican president comes along In It to Win It Jan 2022 #20
especially if his wife has anything to do with it. kskiska Jan 2022 #22
He doesn't want to be around after the overturn of Roe. roamer65 Jan 2022 #8
K&R spanone Jan 2022 #9
K&R n/t denbot Jan 2022 #11
How did this vote change anything? brooklynite Jan 2022 #13
If you're correct, then before he retires, no_hypocrisy Jan 2022 #15
Maybe, but it's still only three liberal justices. ecstatic Jan 2022 #16
I would think ForgedCrank Jan 2022 #17
Probably worried about losing the Senate this year too madville Jan 2022 #19
Here's a possible alternative reason, a bit simpler scipan Jan 2022 #23

In It to Win It

(8,248 posts)
3. I think he's 83 and would like to get out of that soul sucking job and enjoy his retirement
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:08 PM
Jan 2022

That's my story and I'm sticking to it.

rgbecker

(4,831 posts)
5. Was he hoping it wasn't that bad?
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:17 PM
Jan 2022

Did he think they would find a middle of the road verdict? Maybe they would simply move the allowable time framework to maybe Texas's 6 week heartbeat rule? Probably the radicals are going for complete removal of the Federal Government from any say in what a pregnant women can or can't do. "State's Rights", they call it, always have. That would be enough to start anyone like Breyer thinking about how he needs to make sure to get someone to replace him that will bring the court back to the middle.

NCjack

(10,279 posts)
7. Yes, I think your speculation is on target. Next, I hope Pres. Biden makes a public
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:24 PM
Jan 2022

offer to Justice Clarence Thomas -- if he will resign now, a real African-American male will be appointed to replace him on SCOTUS

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
8. He doesn't want to be around after the overturn of Roe.
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:25 PM
Jan 2022

I think you are spot on.

If you think the polarity is bad in this country right now, wait until after the overturn.

There are going to be a large amount of state referenda in 2024 on codification of Roe v Wade into state constitutions and I expect the religious Nazis to get violent as most of them will pass easily.

no_hypocrisy

(46,094 posts)
15. If you're correct, then before he retires,
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:55 PM
Jan 2022

Breyer better have one ass-kicking dissent to the decision that overturns Roe, castigating The Court.

ecstatic

(32,701 posts)
16. Maybe, but it's still only three liberal justices.
Wed Jan 26, 2022, 11:57 PM
Jan 2022

RBG sabotaged her legacy, unfortunately. With the 6/3 split, why are we even turning to the Supreme Court for guidance anymore? It's a joke. Not credible.

ForgedCrank

(1,779 posts)
17. I would think
Thu Jan 27, 2022, 12:00 AM
Jan 2022

that he is making the move at the appropriate time for his country.
We all know the historical trend of mid-term elections, and that almost has to be heavy on his mind.
At his age I would also assume that he has already been thinking about retiring, and right now is the best time for everyone.

madville

(7,410 posts)
19. Probably worried about losing the Senate this year too
Thu Jan 27, 2022, 12:04 AM
Jan 2022

Had to be a factor, couldn’t take a chance on that if he was planning on leaving in the next couple of years anyway.

scipan

(2,350 posts)
23. Here's a possible alternative reason, a bit simpler
Thu Jan 27, 2022, 05:20 PM
Jan 2022

Or it can be both reasons.

Justice Stephen Breyer has announced that he will retire effective this June, signaling that he wants President Joe Biden to replace him—and for a Senate controlled by Democrats to confirm that replacement—before the midterm elections in November. Typically, retirements are announced at the close of the court’s term, but the January announcement appears to confirm that Breyer, who’s served on the Supreme Court for 27 years, wants to give the president ample time to select and confirm a replacement.


https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/01/stephen-breyer-justice-retirement-supreme-court-reason.html
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